SE Texas weather thread #2 - Flood watch issued!

[JenBayles]

OK, we've got the timing for the storms, but does that coincide with frontal passage? I know a lot of times the storms are way ahead of the actual front, so am wondering where the heck the thing is right now.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Looks like the rain is trying to build back toward the city right now:

[Extremeweatherguy]

OK, we've got the timing for the storms, but does that coincide with frontal passage? I know a lot of times the storms are way ahead of the actual front, so am wondering where the heck the thing is right now.

the surface front should pass with the storms tonight/tomorrow...but the "main" push of cooler, drier air may hold off until late morning or early afternoon.

[JenBayles]

Yep - just noticed the little 'blip' south of I-10...

[Extremeweatherguy]

this front's strength looks to be playing out well across the north. It just moved through Dallas and within about an hour or so they are down 10F (from 86F to 76F), and then in Fort worth, they are down nearly 20F in just 3 hours (from 83F to 65F)!!!

update: Dallas is now also down to 65F and Fort Worth is down to 58F! What an amazing drop! Based on this, I wouldn't be surprised to see forecasts for SE Texas adjusted downward another few degrees for tomorrow/tomorrow night.

[southerngale]

Flash Flood Warning

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC199-241-457-190115-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
521 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
TYLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 520 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL THAT WILL MOVE
ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM SARATOGA TO BUNA...AND SOUTH OF
A LINE FROM WOODVILLE TO JASPER. RAINFALL RATES OVER NORTHWEST
HARDIN COUNTY ARE ESTIMATED AT ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR...AND
THE THUNDERSTORM RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHEAST...WHILE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN MOVES IN FROM THE
WEST AND TRACKS OVER THE SAME AREAS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
KOUNTZE
VILLAGE MILLS
FRED
KIRBYVILLE

HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS RAPIDLY...SO DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE WHERE WATERS OF AN UNKNOWN DEPTH COVERS THE ROAD.

DURING HEAVY RAINS...STAY AWAY FROM DRAINAGE DITCHES...BAYOUS AND
CREEKS. THEY ARE PRONE TO RAPID RISES AND MAY FLOOD THE AREA QUICKLY.

CALL 337-477-5285 TO REPORT FLOODING TO THE WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3048 9471 3048 9453 3049 9452 3056 9452
3063 9455 3087 9387 3047 9390 3021 9462

[JenBayles]

Wow! That's a heck of a temp drop. Wonder how effective it will be on our temps by the time it goes through. Hopefully, we'll get the same.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Wow! That's a heck of a temp drop. Wonder how effective it will be on our temps by the time it goes through. Hopefully, we'll get the same.

I think our high is suppose to happen tomorrow morning with dropping (or steady) temps. through the day. It will feel considerably cooler than today.

[JenBayles]

Oh I love it when that happens and you can actually experience the change from hot and soupy to cool and dry. My dogs love it too.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Waco has also just experienced the front. They went from 90F to 77F in just one hour! BTW, they are also getting some strong winds too:

N 22 G 31

[JenBayles]

Yee haw! Almost a proper "Blue Norther"!

[southerngale]

Geez, it's raining and it just keeps raining over the same areas. Water is already up to the rooftops in some areas in Newton County, a lot of flooding in Jasper County, Hardin County, and Jefferson County and it's been pouring over these areas for hours. Hardin County is the county just north of Beaumont (Jefferson County) and now it's raining heavy here too. This is so not good.

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
640 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

TXC199-241-457-190115-
JASPER TX-TYLER TX-HARDIN TX-
640 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR
HARDIN...TYLER AND JASPER COUNTIES...

AT 630 PM CDT...LOCAL MEDIA REPORTS INDICATED THAT 3 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAINFALL HAD FALLEN OVER SOUTHERN TYLER AND NORTHERN HARDIN COUNTIES
SINCE 5 PM. HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE WARNED AREA
FROM THE WEST. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT HOUR AND A HALF.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WARREN...KIRBYVILLE...FRED...AND KOUNTZE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN LAKE
CHARLES.

LAT...LON 3048 9471 3048 9453 3049 9452 3056 9452
3063 9455 3087 9387 3047 9390 3021 9462

[Extremeweatherguy]

It is coming down pretty good where I am right now (and has been doing so for the last half an hour). Water is already starting to pond up too since it has nowhere to drain. This is going to be a long night..

[Yankeegirl]

I still havent gotten any rain here today!!

[southerngale]

I still havent gotten any rain here today!!

Is that a bad thing? Any flooding over there?

[JenBayles]

'gale - how about your immediate vicinity? You hanging OK or is a bug-out imminent?

Yanks - I got a really good downpour around noon here, but nothing since. Just as well - fast as it all ran off we'd be in deep doo-doo if it kept up.

[southerngale]

I don't know yet, Jen. Pine Island Bayou is still rising and this is just gonna make things worse. As of now, the water is to the top of the bridge by my house, but hasn't gone over yet. I've been checking it fairly often. All the rain here and to the north of here the past several hours will eventually make it rise more though, I would think. The underpass just past my house is closed as the bayou has completely covered the feeder road on both sides of the highway as well as the underpass itself. If all the rain that is expected tonight and tomorrow actually occurs, well...I don't know what to say.
Thanks for asking about things over here.

[Yankeegirl]

I guess its a good thing... that we havent gotten any rain yet... Im sure we will get some later on tonight!!

[Stratosphere747]

Wow...

Even though some of the focus has been towards the Houston area. The rainfall that the folks have been getting north of Beaumont and into Louisiana is something else....

Stay safe Kelly...Looks like the training line is drifting your way...

[Ptarmigan]

Looks like the rain is trying to build back toward the city right now:

Looks like this could be a training event. I'd keep an eye especially after midnight. I am beginning to think 6 to 12 inches is not out of the picture.