I can forecast the weather better by flipping a coin.

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Scott Patterson wrote:Last Saturday, according to the NWS there was a 0% chance of rain or snow with sunny skies. We got dumped on with rain. Tuesday, 3-5 inches of snow was supposed to fall and the chance of snow was 90%. None fell. Today the forecast says sunny (and still does). It is snowing.
I can forecast the weather better by flipping a coin.
Sounds like they are taking forecasts from somewhere besides where you actually live.
Scott Patterson wrote:Last Saturday, according to the NWS there was a 0% chance of rain or snow with sunny skies. We got dumped on with rain. Tuesday, 3-5 inches of snow was supposed to fall and the chance of snow was 90%. None fell. Today the forecast says sunny (and still does). It is snowing.
I can forecast the weather better by flipping a coin.
Category 5 wrote:I got the mother of all forecast busts.
The area got 1-3 inches of snow and another inch of rain and sleet. One weatherman was run out of Philadelphia by death threats. To this day I have no confidence in our local news stations forecast. Even people who don't follow the weather around here remember it. Personally, I measured 4 inches but half of it was sleet.
I named the storm "The No Show Blizzard" March 4-6 2001
Its easy to bust on a forecaster when you don't do it yourself. I don't know the situation, but it could be that if the temperatures aloft were 1-2 degrees colder, the huge snow forecast could have been realized. you'll get a better than 10-1 ratio up there and probably closer to 20-1. It really wasn't THAT bad of a forecast. Unfortunately, most of the public that ran him off are completely ignorant on the whole subject
wall_cloud wrote:Category 5 wrote:I got the mother of all forecast busts.
The area got 1-3 inches of snow and another inch of rain and sleet. One weatherman was run out of Philadelphia by death threats. To this day I have no confidence in our local news stations forecast. Even people who don't follow the weather around here remember it. Personally, I measured 4 inches but half of it was sleet.
I named the storm "The No Show Blizzard" March 4-6 2001
Its easy to bust on a forecaster when you don't do it yourself. I don't know the situation, but it could be that if the temperatures aloft were 1-2 degrees colder, the huge snow forecast could have been realized. you'll get a better than 10-1 ratio up there and probably closer to 20-1. It really wasn't THAT bad of a forecast. Unfortunately, most of the public that ran him off are completely ignorant on the whole subject.
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