C/SC Texas weather thread - a cold, wet Easter

Kelarie · #21 Postby **Kelarie** » Thu Oct 19, 2006 7:54 am

Don't know about the rest of y'all Central Texans, but the most I got was rain, thunder and some pretty fireworks. Was a nice change to get up this morning and instead of having to crank up the AC and have to reach for a blanket.

cctxhurricanewatcher · #22 Postby **cctxhurricanewatcher** » Thu Oct 19, 2006 8:34 am

Very little rain in some parts down here, but if feels good outside. 64 degrees and the humidity is gone!!!! This is after a 95 degree and sauna like past few days!!

I'm a happy camper for now. Can't wait for the next GFS run! :ggreen:

#23 Postby **Portastorm** » Thu Oct 19, 2006 8:49 am

Kelarie -- we didn't even get much thunder-n-lightning in my part of north Austin ... just about an inch of rain and that was it.

Cctxhurricanewatcher -- I'm with you. Good riddance to summer temps and bring on fall/winter!

#24 Postby **Portastorm** » Thu Oct 19, 2006 9:03 am

Temps continuing to fall here. At 9 a.m., we're down to 53 degrees in north Austin. Winds remain gusty out of the north, 10-20.

Kelarie · #25 Postby **Kelarie** » Thu Oct 19, 2006 9:24 am

I just hope that the 90's are over and that we might just see an occasional 80, but I just want to see 60's and 70's from here on out. I want snow and ice. I mean is that too much to ask for, deep in the heart of Texas??

double D · #26 Postby **double D** » Thu Oct 19, 2006 9:45 pm

wow! what a gorgeous day it was today. It has now cooled down to 53 in Fredericksburg at 9:40. Feels great.

I'm suprised we did not get any rain last night considering we had storms all around us. Llano county got hit pretty hard though.

double D · #27 Postby **double D** » Thu Oct 19, 2006 9:54 pm

Kelarie wrote:I just hope that the 90's are over and that we might just see an occasional 80, but I just want to see 60's and 70's from here on out. I want snow and ice. I mean is that too much to ask for, deep in the heart of Texas??

I also want to have snow, but could do without all the ice (causes too many problems). It would be nice if we could have a "real" winter in Central Texas this year, it seems like the past couple of years have been very warm. We shall see

#28 Postby **Portastorm** » Fri Oct 20, 2006 8:29 am

Got down to 46 here in north Austin this morning. Wow, invigorating!

Looks like we'll have a relative lull in our weather until the middle of next week, when the El Nino pattern flexes its muscle over us and more rain and possible storms/flooding will be back in the picture.

Enjoy the fabulous weekend, everyone!! 8-)

double D · #29 Postby **double D** » Fri Oct 20, 2006 9:06 am

We got down to 41 in here in Fredericksburg this morning and the air smells so fresh.

It looks like Sunday will be another cool day with highs in the middle 60's and lows' in the middle 40's. Keep it coming.

double D · #30 Postby **double D** » Fri Oct 20, 2006 4:04 pm

Looks like it will continue to be cool. BTW: According to the 12z GFS, it looks like a really strong cold front could make it's way down to central Texas late next week.

Discussion from this afternoon.
000
FXUS64 KEWX 202036
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
336 PM CDT FRI OCT 20 2006

.DISCUSSION...PROGRESSIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN TO CONTINUE ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS ALREADY RETURNED TO MUCH
OF THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND MOIST GULF ADVECTION WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. WESTERLY PERTURBATIONS IN THE UPPER
LEVEL SUBTROPICAL JET WILL BRING RAIN CHANCES MAINLY TO EASTERN
AREAS EAST OF THE ESCARPMENT TOMORROW AS SURFACE CONVERGENCE
IS BEST FOCUSED THERE. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT GIVEN UPPER TRAJECTORIES
WILL TAP SOME OF THE POLAR REGIONS AS WELL AS A DECENT SNOW
FIELD TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION...WHICH MAY SERVE TO HELP
ANCHOR COLDER AIR OVER THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ANOTHER
UPPER LOW TO OUR SOUTHWEST AND CONTINUED WESTERLY PERTURBATIONS
WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH LOW
TO MODERATE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANOTHER
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA NEXT FRIDAY DROPPING TEMPERATURES
BELOW NORMAL.

#31 Postby **Portastorm** » Fri Oct 20, 2006 4:10 pm

Yeah double D, a number of us have seen that 12z GFS run. Will be interesting over the next few days to see if it continues to suggest such strong frontal passage and if other models support that scenario.

cctxhurricanewatcher · #32 Postby **cctxhurricanewatcher** » Fri Oct 20, 2006 4:24 pm

Great Football watching weather on the way. Bring it and bring more of it! :ggreen:

#33 Postby **Portastorm** » Sat Oct 21, 2006 8:42 am

Yeah, we better enjoy the next few days because the rain is coming back ... and perhaps with a vengeance by mid week as another El Nino-ish pattern sets up and may be enhanced by moisture from TD #17 in the eastern Pacific.

Here's an except from this morning's forecast discussion out of New Braunfels (Austin/San Antonio NWS):

SUNDAY AND MONDAY LOOK TO BE DRY ALTHOUGH MOISTURE WILL HANG UP TO THE SOUTH OVER OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND MAKE A QUICK RETURN LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS AN UPPER TROF APPROACHES BAJA. THE COMBINATION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF AND MID-UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT IN DEEP MOISTURE AND INCREASED RAIN CHANCES OVER S TX THRU THE WORK WEEK. A SERIES OF S/W RIPPLES WILL EJECT NEWD ACROSS TX AHEAD OF THE SLOWLY APPROACHING TROF WHICH WILL BRING A COLD FRONT THRU THE REGION SOMETIME FRIDAY. OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION LIKELY TO LINGER BEHIND THE COLD FRONT UNTIL THE UPPER TROF FINALLY MOVES EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE SATURDAY.

double D · #34 Postby **double D** » Sat Oct 21, 2006 9:32 am

At least we will have a nice weekend to enjoy with cool temperatures. Hopefully this pattern of rain will continue during the winter months and maybe just myabe we could have a little snow this year.

#35 Postby **Portastorm** » Sun Oct 22, 2006 8:36 am

OK, its 46 degrees here in A-town with a stiff north breeze at 8 a.m. Definitely a marked difference from yesterday when it was 63 degrees at the same time.

double D · #36 Postby **double D** » Sun Oct 22, 2006 9:05 am

yeah it's 46 here too in Fredericksburg at 9:00am and with a north wind of 15 -20 mph it feels right down chilly outside.

#37 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sun Oct 22, 2006 9:19 am

double D wrote:yeah it's 46 here too in Fredericksburg at 9:00am and with a north wind of 15 -20 mph it feels right down chilly outside.

Means the beer at the brewery will be at just the right temperature!!! I'll be right over!!!

cctxhurricanewatcher · #38 Postby **cctxhurricanewatcher** » Sun Oct 22, 2006 10:24 am

Well the winds are really howling here in Corpus this morning with a nice wintery looking overcast and temps in the mid to upper 50's. My guess is if this front came in month latter, we'd be sitting in the 40's right now down here.

Please let the trend be our friend.

double D · #39 Postby **double D** » Sun Oct 22, 2006 11:08 am

vbhoutex wrote:
double D wrote:yeah it's 46 here too in Fredericksburg at 9:00am and with a north wind of 15 -20 mph it feels right down chilly outside.

Means the beer at the brewery will be at just the right temperature!!! I'll be right over!!!

I guess that is way Main street is so crowded today

BTW, at 11:00 the temperature is 54 degrees, that is down from 56 degrees just an hour ago.

#40 Postby **Portastorm** » Mon Oct 23, 2006 9:10 am

We reached a low temp this morning of 44 degrees at Camp Mabry here in Austin, which is located a few miles northwest of downtown.

Definitely a chilly morning ...

C/SC Texas weather thread - a cold, wet Easter

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