C/SC Texas weather thread - a cold, wet Easter

[Kelarie]

It was chilly. I actually had to turn the heater on in the house for a few minutes. Okay, yeah, I know, but the house was chilly this monring.

So, just maybe, we will have a decent winter this year. I really would like to see snow this year and be able to use my fireplace. (I know crazy talk)

[double D]

After a potentially wet Wednesday and a warm Thursday, it looks like we are going to have some beautiful fall like weather for the weekend.

Now this is what fall is supposed to be like.

[JenBayles]

We went to Fredericksburg over the weekend. What a shock come Sunday morning! Almost 90 Saturday afternoon, and I'm guessing in the low 40's by the next morning. Pics posted in Off Topic and the SE TX weather thread if y'all want to check them out. Just love your part of Texas!

[Kelarie]

Well it is gray and cloudy outside. Just looked at the radar and there appeared to be some rain moving into the Austin area. The forecast for tonight includes for the occasional thunderstorm.

Interesting October weather, eh?

[Portastorm]

And it could get even a lot more interesting as we head into November. Check out the latest run of the Euro:

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.ecmwf850t.html

That would be a massive polar high heading down to Texas along the front range of the Rockies!

We'll need several more days of consistent model runs to seriously get our hopes up, but it's worth watching right now. The 18z GFS run earlier today also painted a cold scenario for later next week.

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

And it could get even a lot more interesting as we head into November. Check out the latest run of the Euro:

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.ecmwf850t.html

That would be a massive polar high heading down to Texas along the front range of the Rockies!

We'll need several more days of consistent model runs to seriously get our hopes up, but it's worth watching right now. The 18z GFS run earlier today also painted a cold scenario for later next week.

So does this mean heavy jacket time for my trip next Saturday up to Austin to see the Horns take on Okie State? If so, fantastic!

[Shoshana]

Brr! I need time for my blood to adjust or something!!!

Off to dig out the sweatshirts...

'shana

[Portastorm]

. . . and sure enough, all it took was a night's sleep and the models (both the GFS and Euro) have changed their take on next week. The look for middle to latter part of next week is not nearly as cold as it was last night.

The 0z run of the GFS:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _192.shtml

The 0z run of the Euro, pay attention to days 5-6 on the loop:

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.ecmwf850t.html

[JenBayles]

This far out get ready for lots of waffling in that forecast.

[double D]

Let the flip-flopping begin. Although when both models show it not to be as cold, then that is kind of discouraging news. Oh well, we will have many more opportunties to watch the models fip-flop through out the winter.

[Portastorm]

Are you kidding me? That's one of the best activities on this board ... watching the models flip flop! Indeed, we WILL have many more opportunities for that.

Meanwhile, the rains (albeit) light continue to fall in the Austin area and the radar out to the west looks busy. Also the mid morning model runs appear to slow down the storm system over us and it may keep raining well into Thursday.

[double D]

Also it looks like the NAM wants to break out some precip. on Friday. That would be a change from the NWS forecast of mostly sunny skies. We shall see if this verifies.


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 66_m.shtml

[JenBayles]

I sure hope y'all get a good soaker. Riding along Grape creek was so discouraging - only a few little stagnant pools of water where it usually at least has a steady flow even in the summer. My MIL reports Wimberley has been blasted brown for months. Time to charge up that aquifer!

[JenBayles]

FYI, found this announcement:

http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByStat ... ype=public

NOUS44 KFWD 252002
PNSFWD
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-252200-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
302 PM CDT WED OCT 25 2006

...INTERNET CONNECTION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS DOWN...

ALL EXTERNAL INTERNET CONNECTIVITY TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICES WITHIN THE SOUTHERN REGION IS DOWN AT THIS TIME. TECHNICIANS
ARE AWARE OF THE PROBLEM AND WORKING ON A SOLUTION...BUT ESTIMATED
TIME OF SERVICE RESTORATION IS NOT KNOWN.

[double D]

Thanks Jen for the information. The NWS southern region seems to be working again as of 4:20.

BTW, it looks like tomorrow could get interesting. The NWS is calling for severe storms tomorrow night, especially along and east of I-35.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Thanks Jen for the information. The NWS southern region seems to be working again as of 4:20.

BTW, it looks like tomorrow could get interesting. The NWS is calling for severe storms tomorrow night, especially along and east of I-35.

yeah, it looks like a significant squall line could set up and push through the area.

[JenBayles]

Posted this in SE TX thread, but might as well put it here too.

Regarding the internet outage earlier, I sent a comment in asking about it and here's the reply:

The fiber optic cable connecting the server farm that hosts that site to
the Internet was cut by a back hoe.

Ron Jones
Web Manager / Internet Projects
NOAA's National Weather Service
Office of the Chief Information Officer
Silver Spring, MD

I'm impressed I got a reply, but really want to know who the backhoe operator was!

[angelwing]

Sounds like something Comcast does out here, they did and knock out power then say they didn't do it, sigh

[Portastorm]

Squall line will roll through the Hill Country and I-35 corridor later this afternoon or early this evening. Will be interesting to see how fast the line is moving and just how much water it'll squeeze out of the atmosphere.

[JenBayles]

I checked about an hour ago and didn't see any signs of squall line formation. Be fun watching later on.