SE TX weather thread #3 - windy and cooler Wednesday

[jasons2k]

We've been getting some heavy rain all evening. I can't check the gauge but it has to be seomwhere in the 2-3" range going by radar estimates. All the drainage ditches are full and the water is very close to flooding a lot of the streets. Some houses along Rayford have lakes in the front yard. Looks like a long night:

[KatDaddy]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
718 PM CDT THU OCT 26 2006

TXC201-339-473-270215-
718 PM CDT THU OCT 26 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NORTHERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 718 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
TRAINING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE
AFTERNOON SEABREEZE HAS STALLED ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL SERVE AS
A FOCUS FOR CONTINUED SHOWER AND STORM DEVELOPMENT AS GULF AND
PACIFIC MOISTURE BOTH STREAM OVERHEAD. ONE TO THREE INCHES HAS
ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THIS AREA TODAY...WITH LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES OBSERVED. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
BEGIN RUNNING OFF DUE TO THE SATURATED GROUNDS TO PRODUCE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND STREETS. PORTIONS OF THIS ADVISORY
AREA MAY EVENTUALLY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...OR
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

[KatDaddy]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
729 PM CDT THU OCT 26 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS

* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT

* AT 724 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
ANOTHER ROUND OF TRAINING HEAVY RAINFALL TO MOVE ACROSS LIBERTY
COUNTY FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST. THOUGH MOST OF THE COUNTY WILL
SEE HEAVY RAINFALL...THOSE MOST AT RISK OF FLOODING ARE LOCATIONS IN
THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY AND THOSE IN THE EXTREME
SOUTHERN PORTIONS. RADAR ESTIMATES WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCHES HAS
ALREADY FALLEN AT THOSE LOCATIONS WITH LOCALIZED 4 TO 5 INCH
AMOUNTS. LIBERTY COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS SOME ROADS STILL CLOSED DUE
TO FLOODING FROM EARLIER RAINS. THOSE INCLUDE FM 223 10 MILES EAST
OF CLEVELAND ALONG WITH COUNTY ROADS 2132 AND 2212. EXPECT ANOTHER 1
TO 3 INCHES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

* FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN OR NEAR...
ROMAYOR...MOSS HILL...NORTH CLEVELAND...LIBERTY...KENEFICK...
HARDIN...DEVERS...DAYTON LAKES...DAYTON...DAISETTA...CLEVELAND AND
AMES.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

[JenBayles]

Can't hear nuthin' yet, so I'll take your word for it.

Anyone - Are the storms currently popping in the Hill Country what will later turn into the forecasted squall line? Or do you think they'll be the strong "popcorn" variety without forming a true line?

[KatDaddy]

I expect a squall line overnight this time around.

[Yankeegirl]

well maybe its just my washing machine? lol... can you at least see the lightning, jen?

[Extremeweatherguy]

lots of lightning to my north right now with some thunder too.

[jasons2k]

There is a LOT of lightning out there...

All the cross-like symbols indicate it:

[JenBayles]

I can see it AND hear the thunder in the house now. Man oh man - I've been watching this line all afternoon and it just will not budge. Hope my sister isn't floating away up in Cypress.

[KLP124]

Near Winnie here... We've had at least 8" of rain. I was stuck in Port Arthur and made the trip home around 7:30. Water is receding but it's over the road in places I've NEVER seen it! We almost had it in our house and that's never happened before either.

[JenBayles]

Keep us posted KLP - can't believe how stubborn these storms are about not moving.

[Extremeweatherguy]

well I have been watching quite a lightning show for the last hour or two, but as of this moment I have only recieved a few drops of rain from the system. Seems like most of it is just north of here.

[Yankeegirl]

Yeah, I understand about the storms not moving... I have been watching the light show out to my north for the longest time... example, I ordered pizza and it took about an hour to get here, it was lightning when i ordered it, and i was hoping that the rain held off till my pizza got here...

[KatDaddy]

Thanks for the update. You got pounded today. At least it did not get in your home.

[TexasLady]

I've been watching a pretty good lightning show for the past hour, just to my south. Must be hitting the Conroe/Woodlands area pretty hard. I am in the southern most part of Walker County (half-way between Conroe and Huntsville). We got some VERY hard rain here, early this morning, about 3 am and again around 6 am. But today, it's been light hit and miss type of showers. And no rain here....yet, tonight.

[Ptarmigan]

Had some heavy rain today. Some rain early this morning. I expect more rain tonight.

[Yankeegirl]

Hey Jen, looks like the bear creek dome is back in action... the storms went to out north and the other line looks like a split and went to out south....

[jeff]

Flash Flood Warning in effect for Harris, Waller and Montgomery counties until 1000pm

Flood Warning for Willow Creek

Expected rise to bankfull on Spring Creek overnight due to ongoing excessive rainfall

Stalled training band of excessive rainfall from Waller to The Woodlands. ALERT station at Spring Creek and SH 249 has recorded 4.81 inches in the last hour and 1.32 inches in the last 15 minutes. Flash flooding is ongoing per Montgomery County EOC in The Woodlands and in subdivisions along and north of Spring Creek. 6-hr rainfall totals are 4-6 inches across the area including 6.46 inches at SH 249 and a 24 hour total of 9.02 inches.

Training band appears per radar trends to be weakening slightly and shifting southward on to already flooded areas of Willow Creek. Thunderstorms may refire over Harris County as meso-outflow boundary is produced and shifts southward with time under density considerations from intense short term rainfall rates.

[KatDaddy]

Thanks Jeff!

[Extremeweatherguy]

Flash Flood Warning in effect for Harris, Waller and Montgomery counties until 1000pm

Flood Warning for Willow Creek

Expected rise to bankfull on Spring Creek overnight due to ongoing excessive rainfall

Stalled training band of excessive rainfall from Waller to The Woodlands. ALERT station at Spring Creek and SH 249 has recorded 4.81 inches in the last hour and 1.32 inches in the last 15 minutes. Flash flooding is ongoing per Montgomery County EOC in The Woodlands and in subdivisions along and north of Spring Creek. 6-hr rainfall totals are 4-6 inches across the area including 6.46 inches at SH 249 and a 24 hour total of 9.02 inches.

Training band appears per radar trends to be weakening slightly and shifting southward on to already flooded areas of Willow Creek. Thunderstorms may refire over Harris County as meso-outflow boundary is produced and shifts southward with time under density considerations from intense short term rainfall rates.

how about later tonight? Does it still look like a squall line will form in move in from the west?