Tropical Depression Chebi - spinning down in South China Sea

[wxmann_91]

Does this WPAC season seem like it is behaving more like a post-El Nino season rather than an El Nino season?

I agree. Very queer. In fact, in all accounts, since September, the synoptic patterns around the world are not really acting as if there was an El Nino. In fact, yesterday's SOI was nearly +20!! :cough:

[Chacor]

WTPQ20 RJTD 130600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0620 CHEBI (0620) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130600UTC 15.9N 113.2E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 140600UTC 16.4N 110.6E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
48HF 150600UTC 17.7N 108.4E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
72HF 160600UTC 19.7N 107.4E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

[AussieMark]

Does this WPAC season seem like it is behaving more like a post-El Nino season rather than an El Nino season?

I agree. Very queer. In fact, in all accounts, since September, the synoptic patterns around the world are not really acting as if there was an El Nino. In fact, yesterday's SOI was nearly +20!! :cough:

I beg to differ. The synoptic pattern across australia is very typical of el nino event.

[wxmann_91]

Does this WPAC season seem like it is behaving more like a post-El Nino season rather than an El Nino season?

I agree. Very queer. In fact, in all accounts, since September, the synoptic patterns around the world are not really acting as if there was an El Nino. In fact, yesterday's SOI was nearly +20!! :cough:

I beg to differ. The synoptic pattern across australia is very typical of el nino event.

Okay, maybe Australia is different, but at least in the northern hemisphere, it is almost as if el nino did not exist.

1) Strong pacific jet, dry SW, Pac NW absolutely drenched, warm east (that's reminscent of La Nina in fact).

2) Typhoons are forming very far to the west and striking the Philippines. Usually they form far east and recurve or strike Japan.

3) OLR at the dateline is positive. Result: shear is decreasing in the Atlantic.

[HurricaneBill]

I wonder if the effects of the El Nino simply didn't spread into the WPAC.

In 2004, didn't the EPAC not really feel any effects from El Nino?

[P.K.]

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 0620 CHEBI (0620)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140600UTC 18N 111E
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 1006HPA

[Chacor]

Shear took a heavy toll, JTWC has issued final advisory.

[wxmann_91]

Paraphasing Steve (aslkahuna),

"The NE Monsoon always wins against typhoons."

[Coredesat]

And JMA no longer has this as anything.