2006 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reports Thread

[f5]

sure is strange to have a 9 storm season after the heel of a 28 storm season also the storms were for the most part weak they weren't these super typhoon monsters we had last year i don't have to name them they been talked to death already

[brunota2003]

super typhoon? you can tell that the Atlantic has been quite for a while when someone says "super typhoon" instead of hurricane

[Jim Cantore]

We do want to look out for some possible new storms, such as the one in mid-July that formed further up the front from Beryl. I believe wxman57 had a good map showing it at one time.

Granted we can't anticipate these, but there were two or three candidates for additional inclusion as storms, such as the one of the NC coast in late June and the one I mentioned above, as well as 91C (though that one probably wouldn't come via the NHC).

Yeah, 96L is the one I think will definitely be included. Originally, the NHC said it was a "frontal low" off Nova Scotia. I saved a surface plot showing SE winds and low 70 dew points all across Nova Scotia as the low passed offshore. If it was a frontal low, there should have been a front south of Nova Scotia, but there was no front offshore. Whether the NHC includes it or not before Nov. 30th affects who wins our office pool for named storms/hurricanes/majors.


It was clearly a tropical storm. Here's the picture.

I remember this little fella came close too. Helped feed that massive flood here back in June. I forget which invest number it was (I think it was 91L or 92L)

[CrazyC83]

That definitely appears to be a tropical storm, or even a hurricane...

[Coredesat]

Fairly sure that was a 91L.

[f5]

super typhoon? you can tell that the Atlantic has been quite for a while when someone says "super typhoon" instead of hurricane

remember how big Katrina was at 175 mph
remember how big Rita was 895 with 180 mph winds
Remember the super bomb named wilma that went all the way down to 882 mb those were WPAC type storms that happened to be in the wrong basin

[HurricaneBill]

Not much to look forward to, unlike with last season afterward. Not only are there probably few surprises coming in the TCR's, the 2012 list will likely be the same as the 2006 list.

Unless they decide to retire Ernesto for being such a pain in the rear.

[cycloneye]

Andrew92,let's see if this week,they put out at least 2 reports,Florence and Chris,then next week Ernesto will be the last one and the most anticipated one this season.But maybe I will be wrong and all three left are up or this week or in the first week in December.

[Chacor]

Not a TCR per se, but the November/final Tropical Weather Summary is now out. As usual, the final summary is a seasonal summary:

ftp://ftp.met.fsu.edu/pub/weather/tropi ... 114.ABNT30

THE 2006 SEASON PRODUCED NINE NAMED STORMS...OF WHICH FIVE BECAME
HURRICANES AND TWO BECAME MAJOR HURRICANES. THESE NUMBERS ARE JUST
SLIGHTLY BELOW THE LONG-TERM AVERAGES. HOWEVER...THE SEASON WAS
COMPACT AND THE FOUR HURRICANES THAT FORMED DURING SEPTEMBER IS
ABOVE THE LONG-TERM AVERAGE FOR THAT MONTH. THREE SYSTEMS MADE
LANDFALL IN THE UNITED STATES AS TROPICAL STORMS. NO HURRICANES HIT
THE UNITED STATES THIS YEAR...WHICH IS THE FIRST TIME THIS HAS
OCCURRED SINCE 2001.

Confirmation from the NHC re. the July LOW:
IN ADDITION...A JULY WEATHER SYSTEM OVER THE ATLANTIC SOUTH OF NOVA
SCOTIA IS BEING REEXAMINED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS
PART OF ITS STANDARD POST-STORM ANALYSIS PROCESS...TO DETERMINE
WHETHER IT QUALIFIES AS AN UNNAMED TROPICAL CYCLONE.

[cycloneye]

A question that hangs about the tropical cyclone reports of 2006 is if Ernesto will be downgraded to a tropical storm when it was south of Haiti.

[AnnularCane]

Has a storm ever been downgraded posthumously?

[HURAKAN]

Has a storm ever been downgraded posthumously?

WIKIPEDIA:

The name Mike was used for a cyclone that was not considered a tropical storm after the fact late in the season, and was not included in the official tropical cyclone database. Mike and Kendra (1966) are the only two known named cyclones to be removed from the hurricane database, after the fact, in the Atlantic Basin due to their lack of tropical storm status.

[Andrew92]

Not a TCR per se, but the November/final Tropical Weather Summary is now out. As usual, the final summary is a seasonal summary:

ftp://ftp.met.fsu.edu/pub/weather/tropi ... 114.ABNT30

Can't get the link to work, I don't think my Internet supports FTP format. Is it available anywhere else?

-Andrew92

[cycloneye]

Andrew92,my question about the links to the reports is=Why dont make it simple to the public,making them available on HTML form instead of FIP,PDF or MSWord forms.

[Andrew92]

Andrew92,my question about the links to the reports is=Why dont make it simple to the public,making them available on HTML form instead of FIP,PDF or MSWord forms.

I agree, and like I said, my college Internet doesn't support the FTP format. I am OK with PDF, but I prefer HTML because it's easier to load and takes less time.

-Andrew92

[cycloneye]

HTML



Here is the HTML version of the 2006 hurricane season summary.

[Andrew92]

YES!!!

I'm surprised they didn't mention the debate of lowering Ernesto to a tropical storm in the Caribbean near Haiti. Then again, I expect Ernesto's report to be the last one up, but still, they mentioned the debate about Cindy last year, and I believe they mentioned the debates of Erika in '03 and Gaston in '04.

On a side note, not that I don't mind, but what is with these names hardly ever hitting land as hurricanes? The only exceptions to that rule are Florence, Gilbert, and Joan, all in '88, Gordon in '94 (although it was really offshore as a hurricane, its major destruction was as a TS and yes he should have been retired), and Keith in 2000. I suppose there could have been some minor ones that I don't remember well (especially in '82 and '88, I wasn't yet born in '82 and I was 4 years old in '88). But hey, I'll take it any year.

-Andrew92

[Jim Cantore]

It says Ernesto caused $500 Million in damage in the U.S, I find that hard to believe.

[CrazyC83]

It says Ernesto caused $500 Million in damage in the U.S, I find that hard to believe.

Considering the amount of people and property affected, that is quite modest...

[wxman57]

It says Ernesto caused $500 Million in damage in the U.S, I find that hard to believe.

Ernesto was quite likely a Cat 1 hurricane at landfall, but with a very large tropical storm force wind field. H. Cindy produced about $320 million in damage across SE LA last year, and Ernesto was a bit better organized than Cindy at landfall. I'm not surprised at all that it produced $500 million in damage, particularly since it hit a much more populated area with some very expensive real estate.