Unusual ULL forecast around Florida

[boca]

This is out of Key West.
MON THROUGH THU...A MOST EXTRAORDINARY UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA
IS FORECAST BY GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS TO FORM NEAR NORTH FLORIDA
AND SINK SOUTH TO NEAR THE KEYS OR NW BAHAMAS...WITH EXTRAORDINARILY
COLD TEMPS AT 500 MB FOR THIS AREA...MINUS 18 TO MINUS 22 CELCIUS.
A STRONG SURFACE SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS INDICATED TO PUSH OVER
THE GULF TO THE KEYS...WHILE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE FORMS SOMEWHERE
NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS, EAST OF FLORIDA...WHIPPING NW TO N WINDS OVER
THE REGION. I WILL INDICATE COOLER TEMPS...20 PCT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
MON-TUE...AND BREEZY CONDITIONS...BUT ALL THIS MAY NEED UPGRADING TO
COOLER AND STRONGER WINDS...MAYBE HIGHER THREAT OF RAIN AND EVEN
THUNDER AT SOME POINT DURING THIS PERIOD.

The Miami NWS was referring this storm system to be simular to Thanksgiving 1984 with beach erosion and coastal flooding.

This is the 00z GFS run.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

[Nimbus]

That forecast does sound cold but look on the bright side. Too cold for suntanning but there should be some good wave action off the East coast of Florida. thhe Shellers should have a real payday!