Texas winter weather thread #2 - winter weather on Friday?

[HarlequinBoy]

how do you make images static?

I think you have to upload the image to a hosting site, like Photobucket.

[Extremeweatherguy]

how do you make images static?

I think you have to upload the image to a hosting site, like Photobucket.

yes, that is what I did, I used photobucket to upload my images. It works very well and is easy to use.

[Extremeweatherguy]

This morning I wasn't sure if the NWS was talking about winter precip. with their AFD use of "bear watch", but this afternoon I am not so sure. In fact, I think they now may be. Take a look for yourself..

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
317 PM CST SAT DEC 2 2006

.DISCUSSION...
NO REAL ISSUES WITH PCPN THESE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE MAIN CON-
CERNS INCLUDE THIS NEXT FROPA (LATER THIS EVENING) AND THE BKN/
OVC DECK THAT HAS BEEN SLOWLY MOVING IN FROM THE SW TODAY. THIS
AREA OF CLOUDS COULD REACH AS FAR EAST AS I-45 THIS EVENING BE-
FORE THE NLY WINDS/SLIGHTLY LOWER DEWPOINTS WITH THIS NEXT COLD
AIRMASS HAVE AN IMPACT. WE COULD SEE SUBFREEZING TEMPS AGAIN BY
MON MORNING AS FAR SOUTH AS I-10...ABOUT 4-5 HRS ACROSS THE FAR
NRN TIER COUNTIES TO ABOUT 1-2 HRS CLOSER TO THE HOUSTON METRO.
A BIT OF A WARM-UP FOR TUE/WED AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES EAST OF
THE REGION AND A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW SETS UP. THIS DEVELOPING SFC
PATTERN ALONG WITH THE RATHER PERSISTENT W/SWLY UPPER FLOW WILL
HELP SET THE STAGE FOR INCREASED POPS BY THE MIDDLE/END OF NEXT
WEEK. THESE RUNS STILL INDICATING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WELL-DE-
FINED COASTAL TROF OVER THE MID TX COAST BEFORE NUDGING IT NEWD
IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION WED/WED NIGHT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE
NEXT COLD FRONT AND POSSIBLY SOME S/WV ENERGY IN THE SRN STREAM
ALOFT. THE MAIN QUESTION MARK (AT THIS EARLY STAGE OF THE GAME)
WOULD SEEM TO BE AVAILABLE MOISTURE. FROM THE LOOKS OF IT...THE
EXTENDED GUIDANCE DOES APPEAR TO SUGGEST A RATHER SHARP COOLING
WITH THIS NEXT FRONT AS THE RIDGE IS PROGGED TO TAP INTO A VERY
ARCTIC AIRMASS. STAY TUNED...A BEAR WATCH REMAINS IN PLACE. 41

A "very arctic airmass" + precipitation could be very interesting. I will be watching closely for sure.

[JonathanBelles]

at the end of that it says a bear watch is in place, what does that mean?

[weatherrabbit_tx]

there is that word again "bear watch", see that sometimes during the tropical season too, could get exciting again.....just have to simmer till then

[HarlequinBoy]

Hmm, that is a bit more interesting than their previous one. It's something to watch.


lol.. I don't even live in Texas and I keep posting on this thread.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Hmm, that is a bit more interesting than their previous one. It's something to watch.


lol.. I don't even live in Texas and I keep posting on this thread.

lol. That's fine! There are no limits as to who does or doesn't post on here. Anyone can join in.

And besides, the weather that comes here will usually be affecting your area too, so this is a good place for you to get a heads up on what may be coming your way next.

[Extremeweatherguy]

this next blast of cold air coming tomorrow, though warmer overall to our north, will likely be just as cold as this last one (highs in the lower to middle 50s, lows near freezing) for tomorrow and Monday. This is due to the snowcover to our north that will not allow this air to moderate as much. Below is a static image of the snowcover today:



It is amazing to see that many areas of north TX still have a pretty good snowpack even 2 days after it fell.

Update: I just realized that this picture actually comes from yesterday and is not a new image. Either way though, lots of the snow from yesterday is likely still around today for many (since it has been so cold up there).

[HarlequinBoy]

Haha, okay!

Yeah, it looks to be pretty cold. On Thursday the cold air got damned up against the Ozarks and it took a while to slide into our area.. I wonder if it will do the same this time?

[double D]

This morning I wasn't sure if the NWS was talking about winter precip. with their AFD use of "bear watch", but this afternoon I am not so sure. In fact, I think they now may be. Take a look for yourself. Quote from EWG.

I not so sure about that. I have browsed through other NWS discussions and haven't found anything that might be that cold. Maybe the Houston NWS is using the EURO for thier forecast? Here is a little snipet from the Fort Worth NWS:

OVERALL...IT WILL BE A COOL BUT PLEASANT WEEK WITH ONLY ONE
SIGNIFICANT CHANCE FOR RAIN LATE IN THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL
NOT BE EXTREMELY COLD...JUST SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL.

[Extremeweatherguy]

This morning I wasn't sure if the NWS was talking about winter precip. with their AFD use of "bear watch", but this afternoon I am not so sure. In fact, I think they now may be. Take a look for yourself. Quote from EWG.

I not so sure about that. I have browsed through other NWS discussions and haven't found anything that might be that cold. Maybe the Houston NWS is using the EURO for thier forecast? Here is a little snipet from the Fort Worth NWS:

OVERALL...IT WILL BE A COOL BUT PLEASANT WEEK WITH ONLY ONE
SIGNIFICANT CHANCE FOR RAIN LATE IN THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL
NOT BE EXTREMELY COLD...JUST SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL.

Yeah, I am not sure myself if anything like that will happen, but the Houston AFD sure does make it sound that way this afteroon. Other areas don't seem as thrilled. I guess we will see what happens..

[ETXHAMXYL]

I think the term Bear Watch is a term created by a forecaster for entertainment purposes...probably means Bares Watching something to keep an eye on in the near future...sort of like Eyeballing. Just my thoughts.

[cheezyWXguy]

im pretty sure its gonna take a lot longer than a week to form a large and strong high and strong arctic front...whether you got any or not, it still happened...its preobably not gonna be that we see another chance until late december that we see anymore sleet or snow, up here in NTX, but houston probably may see a shot at it this winter...but its not always that certain down there. Sure Xmas 2004 brought snow to south TX but that was a once, maybe twice in a lifetime event...god knows how long its gonna be until Victoria gets another foot of snow

[Kelarie]

Hmm, that is a bit more interesting than their previous one. It's something to watch.


lol.. I don't even live in Texas and I keep posting on this thread.

Well then maybe it is a sign. There is plenty of room, come on down.... Then you can really jump on board with all of us crazys who want winter weather

[HarlequinBoy]

Haha. Maybe I should move to Texas!

Right now I'm just a crazy in Mississippi who wouldn't mind some winter weather, lol.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Beaumont has a special weather statement out tonight for the next shot of cold air that will come in overnight/tomorrow:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
528 PM CST SAT DEC 2 2006

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-031200-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-
NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...ALEXANDRIA...MARKSVILLE...
DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...LAKE CHARLES...
JENNINGS...CROWLEY...LAFAYETTE...ST. MARTINVILLE...CAMERON...
ABBEVILLE...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...WOODVILLE...JASPER...
NEWTON...LUMBERTON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
528 PM CST SAT DEC 2 2006

...VARIOUS HAZARDOUS WEATHER EPISODES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...

A DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS COLORADO WILL TRANSLATE SOUTH, THEN
EAST, REACHING CENTRAL TEXAS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AS A CONSEQUENCE,
LARGE DIFFERENCES-IN-PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN
UPPER GULF COAST STATES. THESE PRESSURE DIFFERENCES WILL GENERATE
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS, ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

THE SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS BY MIDAFTERNOON WILL RANGE, FROM 20 MPH
ACROSS THE LAKES REGION AND PINEY HILLS, TO 25 MPH ACROSS THE I-10
CORRIDOR. THE GUST WIND SPEEDS WILL RANGE, FROM 30 MPH ACROSS THE
LAKES REGION AND PINEY HILLS, TO 35 MPH ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE SUNDAY EVENING WIND SPEEDS, ALTHOUGH DECREASING, WILL BE
SUSTAINED AT 10 TO 15 MPH, GENERATING RATHER COLD WIND CHILLS. THE
WIND-CHILL EQUIVALENT TEMPERATURES FOR EARLY MONDAY MORNING WILL
RANGE, FROM THE MID 20S ACROSS THE PINEY HILLS AND LAKES REGION, TO
THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

THE CENTRAL TEXAS DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD
TRANSLATION, REACHING CENTRAL LOUISIANA MONDAY EVENING. IDEAL
CONDITIONS FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE IN PLACE; CALM WINDS,
CLEAR SKIES, AND LOW HUMIDITIES. THE EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES ON
TUESDAY WILL RANGE, FROM THE MID 20S ACROSS THE PINEY HILLS AND
LAKES REGION, TO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Here is the cold front location this evening. It will probably reach us by tomorrow morning:

[jasons2k]

Hey EWG,

Many thanks for posting the static images. It's really helpful when coming back online after being gone, and reading thru the thread to catch up. Thank you!!

And I have to agree, the latest disco. is interesting.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Hey EWG,

Many thanks for posting the static images. It's really helpful when coming back online after being gone, and reading thru the thread to catch up. Thank you!!

And I have to agree, the latest disco. is interesting.

No problem! And I have to agree that the static images are very helpful. They will be great when looking back on these old threads for historical information or for those trying to catch up (like you were tonight).

[Extremeweatherguy]

The evening Houston AFD mentions now that this airmass coming in could be colder than the last. They also are now calling for a freeze for most of SE Texas tomorrow night. In the short term...things could be getting interesting real soon. If things play out right, then I think tomorrow night may be one of the coldest of the season so far.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
848 PM CST SAT DEC 2 2006

.DISCUSSION...
DECK OF MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS HAS BEEN ADVANCING SLOWLY EASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. LEADING EDGE OF NEXT SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE APPEARS TO BE OVER NORTH TX AND WILL PUSH ACROSS SE TX
LATER TONIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY PERSIST UNTIL THE DRIER
AIRMASS MOVES IN. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF THE EXTENSIVE
CLOUDINESS...HAVE RAISED MIN TEMPS OVER MOST OF SE TX TONIGHT.
THIS NEXT AIRMASS LOOKS AS COLD OR MAYBE A LITTLE COLDER THAN
PREVIOUS AIRMASS. FREEZING TEMPS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF SE TX
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.