Max Mayfield - most memorable storm....

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Derek Ortt

#21 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Jan 05, 2007 12:19 pm

a recent study came out (I cited it at PNJ on my hurricane season blog there) that found that the 1926 Miami/Pensacola hurricane damage would be 153 billion if it were to hit today

The 90 billion cited before is low
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johngaltfla
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#22 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Jan 05, 2007 7:11 pm

The commentary that Max made referencing Tampa has at least woken up a few folks in this area. If a Cat 4 were to hit here, or heck, just north of here with the eye crossing into Pinellas near Clearwater or New Port Richy, the storm surge would be terrifying.

Especially if it was a Charlie type path moving parallel to the coast then NE at the last minute. The devastation would be unimaginable.
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#23 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jan 05, 2007 7:28 pm

johngaltfla wrote:The commentary that Max made referencing Tampa has at least woken up a few folks in this area. If a Cat 4 were to hit here, or heck, just north of here with the eye crossing into Pinellas near Clearwater or New Port Richy, the storm surge would be terrifying.

Especially if it was a Charlie type path moving parallel to the coast then NE at the last minute. The devastation would be unimaginable.


if a cat 4 hit clear water or New Port Rickey, southern Pinellas county will become an island, MacDill would go under water, St. Petersburg and Tampa would go under water in most places. 80% of pinellas county would be under water and 30-40% of hillsbourough county would be under.
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#24 Postby Lindaloo » Fri Jan 05, 2007 8:37 pm

sunny wrote:I thought this was about Max Mayfield's thoughts.....



It is supposed to be.
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#25 Postby f5 » Sat Jan 06, 2007 2:03 am

Derek Ortt wrote:to this day, the last minute rapid collapse of the eyewall of Katrina is yet to be determined. Was not eyewall replacement as some have suggested (based upon what, I have no clue as the flight level winds only changed within the eyewall, not an outer band)

However, it did and that may have saved many lives (especially in NO... the attics would have been out of the question had it not have weakened, cat 3 winds instead of cat 1 would have probably occurred in the western eyewall)


how about if Katrina went 15 miles west of N.O.?
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Derek Ortt

#26 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jan 06, 2007 12:01 pm

if Katrina had maintained its intensity and hit just west of NO, NO may have turned into Bangladesh and the death toll then could have topped that from Dresden and Hamburg in the second World War.

That was the scenario modeled in the Hurricane Pam exercize and the projections called for 60,000 dead
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#27 Postby f5 » Sat Jan 06, 2007 12:35 pm

N.O is on borrowed time its not a matter of if but when the next storm will put the final touch on what Katrina could of done what scares me is the report about southern louisiana sliding into the GOM i thought cally was suppose to slide into the pacific giving Arizona ocean front property
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#28 Postby sunny » Sat Jan 06, 2007 12:39 pm

f5 wrote:N.O is on borrowed time its not a matter of if but when the next storm will put the final touch on what Katrina could of done what scares me is the report about southern louisiana sliding into the GOM i thought cally was suppose to slide into the pacific giving Arizona ocean front property


I love you, too :(
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