Florida to stay warm even with new cold invasion next week!

[Burn1]

Looks like the upcoming cold spells will focus on Plains down through Texas with the cold then migrating to the Northeast....

Especially Southern Florida with temps remaining 10 to 15 degrees above normal probably for rest of winter

[AL Chili Pepper]

Accuweather's forecasting rain/freezing rain/sleet for Mobile, Jackson, and Birmingham for Jan 15 and 16. Could be that some of that cold air makes it to Florida. Then again, they still have 9 days to change their minds.

[Burn1]

Looks like sub-tropical wants to continue dominating SW to NE run just
over N. FL... Looks like cold air will make a run to Cental Texas or so then make a run to the NE with this....

[HURRICANELONNY]

http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc ... Lauderdale

[Aquawind]

http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=MFL&StateCode=FL&SafeCityName=Fort_Lauderdale

Wow..I will be a tad shocked if it get's that cold down here in SW Florida..

[Burn1]

That is a brief one night stand with current front coming through......Talking about some real cold stuff next weekend.....Isn't going to make it into Central and Southern Florida if even Northern..... Also 50's is hardly and cold event for South Florida...Low 30's is more like it

[JonathanBelles]

i wasnt expecting a cool down of more that 20 degrees.

[Opal storm]

Here in the panhandle this front is going to cool us off a good bit,highs in the 50's and overnight lows near freezing.But NW FL and S FL are two totally different worlds.lol

[jinftl]

Basically we will get a 24 hour cool down here in South Florida...and by cool down, temps will be maybe 5 degrees below normal....there hasn't been much 'hype' about this from the local mets....only that the cool shot won't last long at all....and in reality won't be that far from what the normal temps should be

We have gotten so used to highs in the 80's and lows in the 70's that we have forgotten the normal is more like 75 for the high and 60 for the low this time of year!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/forecast/MapCli ... &map.y=104[url]

[Patrick99]

I think it's hilarious that we now think that a "strong cold front" is one that sends our low temperatures into the 50s for a 1-2 day period. In JANUARY, no less!!!

Let's get the tropics started

[CajunMama]

shhhhhhhhhh! I'll be at Disneyworld Jan. 11-15. I don't want it cold! As of right now it's supposed to be in the upper 70's during the day and the mid 50's at night. Sounds heavenly to me!

[gatorcane]

That is a brief one night stand with current front coming through......Talking about some real cold stuff next weekend.....Isn't going to make it into Central and Southern Florida if even Northern..... Also 50's is hardly and cold event for South Florida...Low 30's is more like it

Flow behind the front will quickly shift to the NE and blow moderating air off the warm Gulf stream. South Florida's temps will stay in the 60s and 70s at night consequently.

[Windtalker1]

i hear it is to get down to 58 then 52 wednesday night in S florida

[jdray]

Lo 36°F Tuesday
Hi 61°F Tuesday

Lo 30°F Wednesday (probably be in the upper 20's myself)
Hi 59°F Wednesday

Lo 38°F Thursday
Hi 68°F Thursday


Bout time. It was 86F at my house saturday.

[boca]

I wonder if the cold air predicted for Texas will slide east and cool Florida down next week or will the SE ridge bake us some more. By the way this is for the week of the 15th.

[HURRICANELONNY]

Not in the short term Boca. Maybe later on next week.
Medium range guidance continues to advertise fairly benign weather
across South Florida for the remainder of the extended forecast...
with temperatures expected to slowly increase as height rise aloft.
The European model (ecmwf) and gfslr continue to show remarkable strong agreement on
a significant amplification of the longwave pattern across the
western Continental U.S. By end of the week...with a bitterly cold invasion of
Arctic air into the central/Southern Plains. However... downstream
ridging will maintain temperatures warmer than normal across South
Florida...with gradually increasing low-level moisture resulting in
increasing chances of shower through Monday.

[Patrick99]

This air does not really feel all that cool. Pleasant, certainly.....but hardly much of a cold front.

I think predictions of lower 50s for the metro areas of Miami tonight are a little far-fetched. Especially after all this sun blasting all our concrete all day. Based on what I feel outside, 57-60 seems reasonable. Comfortable and pleasant...not at all cold.

[gatorcane]

This air does not really feel all that cool. Pleasant, certainly.....but hardly much of a cold front.

I think predictions of lower 50s for the metro areas of Miami tonight are a little far-fetched. Especially after all this sun blasting all our concrete all day. Based on what I feel outside, 57-60 seems reasonable. Comfortable and pleasant...not at all cold.

You also have to remember the Atlantic waters off the SE coast of Florida are running very warm without any signficant cold fronts since Nov. For example, I was swimming in the water up in Jupiter this past weekend and it wasn't that bad.

So what that means is that as soon as the winds have the slightest easterly component temps will DRAMATICALLY moderate.......50 to 65 in less than an hour once the winds go more NE.

[HURRICANELONNY]

looks like another cool down next week. don't know how much but atleast more cool air is on it's way: The
most recent runs of the gfslr/European model (ecmwf) now bring a strong cold front
southward across the forecast area next Tuesday...with very cold
Arctic airmass expected to have overspread much of the eastern
two-thirds of the Continental U.S. By this time. Will indicate slightly
higher probability of precipitation and cooler temperatures on Tuesday...although guidance
may be a bit too warm if this solution actually verifies.

[boca]

Miami NWS and Melbourne have two different scenarios regarding next week cold air. This is from Melbourne which I'll take over Miami's outcome.

EXTENDED...TUE WL MENTION SLIGHT CHC OF PRECIP FOR ADVERTISED
FRONTAL PSG OVER THE PENINSULA. NOT A LOT OF FORCING THIS FAR SOUTH
W/SYSTEM. SHALLOW FRONT COLD IS SHOWN HANGING UP NEAR AREA PAST MON
W/ISENTROPIC LIFT KEEPING CLOUDS AND MOISTURE OVER AREA EARLY NEXT
WEEK. AT ANY RATE NO ARCTIC BLAST IS IN THE CARDS FOR AT LEAST THE
NEXT 7 TO 9 DAYS WITH THIS SCENARIO.

This is out of Miami NWS.

NO MAJOR CHANGES ON THE WAY IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST...WITH PERSISTENT EASTERLY FETCH EXPECTED TO PROVIDE A
SLOWLY MOISTENING AIRMASS AND ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS TO PRIMARILY THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND.
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN FORECASTING AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BECOME REESTABLISHED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO SLOWLY CLIMB
BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL VALUES. THE
MOST RECENT RUNS OF THE GFSLR/ECMWF NOW BRING A STRONG COLD FRONT
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA NEXT TUESDAY...WITH VERY COLD
ARCTIC AIRMASS EXPECTED TO HAVE OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE EASTERN
TWO-THIRDS OF THE CONUS BY THIS TIME. WILL INDICATE SLIGHTLY
HIGHER POPS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH GUIDANCE
MAY BE A BIT TOO WARM IF THIS SOLUTION ACTUALLY VERIFIES.