Winter Cancel for Central and Southern Florida

[jinftl]

Now that we are in mid-Janaury and no signs of cold in the coming week, we certainly can say we have made it through the first half of the climatological winter (Dec-Jan-Feb) with no real cold weather.

There is still about another 6 weeks or so to go, but the window of oppoprtunity for cold snaps is begin to close (although certainly not ruling those out at all). With the days starting to get longer and the sun angle inching higher as we move into February, sustained period of cold weather seem less likely as well.

[wx247]

You have winter in Central and South Florida??

I think that is worthy of BREAKING NEWS.

[NDG]

Eventhough last year's winter was warm & dry, I had a couple of frosty nights by this time last year here in central FL, dry NW winds last year gave us many nights of good radiational cooling. This year it has been way different, persistant easterly winds has kept us a lot milder and humid at the surface.

[CajunMama]

I've been blessed with wonderful vacation weather here in Orlando. It's been around 80 and sunny. Today it's a little cooler and misty. Headed home tomorrow where it's going to be cccccccccold.

[JonathanBelles]

right now its 75 degreees and sunny.

[Brent]

You have winter in Central and South Florida??

I think that is worthy of BREAKING NEWS.

!!!!!!!!

[Opal storm]

This winter has been a dud,last time we saw a freeze up here was before Christmas.Since then it's been very mild for this time of year.

Forget winter,I'm ready for spring and summer time,can't wait to bust out the boardshorts and sun tan lotion.

[JonathanBelles]

i had the boardshorts on yesturday and went to fort desoto.

[simplykristi]

I am not trying to be mean or anything... But winter in Florida is nothing like it is here in KC. The laast two days the temps have been in the teens for highs and ice/sleet on the ground. I just don't have sympathy for you if the coolest weather you have is the 40s or 50s on a cold day in FL. I know freezes can be devastating there.

Kristi

[Cookiely]

I guess we'll have one more shot at cool weather when the state fair starts. Always seems to rain and get cool about that time.

[JonathanBelles]

looks like tomorrrow will be the last day of 80's for us. Did anyone else notice the seabreeze was back today?

[HURRICANELONNY]

I'm not to surprised at the temps in s.fl being above normal but mostly no rain is a little perplexing since were in an el nino. I hope we don't end up in a La Nina because the fire season isn't far away.

[jinftl]

Of couse 'winter' is a relative term.....obviously when you compare South Florida's normal winter weather weather to just about anywhere else in the continental U.S., it will never be able to compete. Everywhere else is colder.

That said, we have 'winter'...as defined by local climatological standards. Ask any resident of South Florida if they can tell the difference between a July day vs. a January day.

The benchmark for whether or not South Florida is having a 'cold' winter is not by comparing it to New York City or Chicago or Ohio winter weather norms.

Compared to the North Pole, one could claim, "what winter in Ohio?"

Climatologically, it has been a warm winter for South Florida...no oxymoron intended!

[boca]

Last time I shut my AC off was the week of Thanksgiving.

[JonathanBelles]

Last time I shut my AC off was the week of Thanksgiving.

mines been off since early december.

[JonathanBelles]

has any floridians looked at the 06z 240hr-300hr it looks like the freezing line is at or well below tampa bay. at hr 288 it is south of port charollote.

[Patrick99]

Last time I shut my AC off was the week of Thanksgiving.

Yeah - I've been running my AC all throughout December and January. LOL

That "window" for longer periods of chill will definitely be closing soon. I wouldn't say we won't have *any* more chilly weather, just that it's usually not protracted in February and March. For as long as I've lived here, late December and January have seen the longest-lasting arctic air. 1997-1998 was an exception...to my recollection, that entire winter season featured absolutely no arctic air, as well as thunderstorms in January and February.

[AL Chili Pepper]

has any floridians looked at the 06z 240hr-300hr it looks like the freezing line is at or well below tampa bay. at hr 288 it is south of port charollote.

Not only that, but the ensembles have been carving out a deep trough in the east also, and it pattern seems to stick around a while. Looks like winter's finally heading east.

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens/ ... ation.html

[HURRICANELONNY]

According to the GFS this winter has been colder then normal in S. Fl if you consider each early runs of the GFS. They need to throw the GFS out the window and start with something that is atleast accurate to some point within 48 hours.
http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc ... Lauderdale

[boca]

This insert by the NWS Miami justifies the title of this thread.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WOW, LET`S TALK ABOUT UNCERTAINTIES AND THE
SWITCHING BACK AND FORTH OF THE ONLY MODEL GUIDANCE (GFS) AVAILABLE FOR
THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST. 48 HOURS AGO GFS ADVERTISED A SECOND
SLIGHTLY STRONGER FRONT MOVING THROUGH S FL LATE SAT/EARLY SUN
MORNING...NO PRECIP, AND TEMPS FALLING TO SEASONAL VALUES BY
SUNDAY. 24 HRS AGO IT INDICATED A MUCH STRONGER FRONT...STILL NO
PRECIP BUT TEMPS PLUMMETING INTO THE LOW 40S INTERIOR AND EVEN LOW
50S ERN METRO AREAS. NOT READY TO JUMP ON IT...DECIDED TO WAIT
FOR ANOTHER RUN. WELL, WHAT DO YOU THINK? THE NEW RUN, NOT ONLY
HAS A MUCH WEAKER FRONT, THICKNESS VALUES NOT EVEN REMOTELY CLOSE
TO PREVIOUS RUN, AND TEMPS REMAINING AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL
VALUES FOR THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST. THE ONLY CONSISTENCY IS,
NO PRECIP. SO DECIDED TO GO CLOSER TO MODEL RUN 48 HRS AGO WITH
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE EXPECTED TEMPS FOR THIS PERIOD.