Severe Weather for the South Feb 24-25...
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Memphis NWS
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI AND EASTERN ARKANSAS SATURDAY. THE MODERATE RISK AREA
IS ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH AND WEST OF A CHERRY VALLEY TO WEST
MEMPHIS TO COFFEEVILLE.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE MID SOUTH SATURDAY.
A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE PLAINS STATES
TONIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
PERSIST INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THE THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES.
IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...STRONG WINDS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE MID
SOUTH. WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH WILL BE
LIKELY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI AND EASTERN ARKANSAS SATURDAY. THE MODERATE RISK AREA
IS ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH AND WEST OF A CHERRY VALLEY TO WEST
MEMPHIS TO COFFEEVILLE.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE MID SOUTH SATURDAY.
A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE PLAINS STATES
TONIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
PERSIST INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THE THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES.
IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...STRONG WINDS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE MID
SOUTH. WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH WILL BE
LIKELY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
First MD issued. Likely to become a watch soon.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0177
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS INTO THE ERN TX
PNHDL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 231954Z - 232200Z
COLD UPPER TROUGH IS STILL OVER THE GREAT BASIN/SOUTHERN PLATEAU
REGION...BUT LATEST RUC MODEL SUGGESTS THAT SOUTHWEST MID-LEVEL FLOW
IS BEGINNING TO STRENGTHEN ON ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY...ACROSS
NORTHERN SONORA/CHIHUAHUA. THE JET STREAK IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE
INTENSIFYING AND PROPAGATE TOWARD SOUTHWEST TEXAS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...IT IS UNCERTAIN WHETHER THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO SIGNIFICANT FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ALONG SOUTHERN
PLAINS DRY LINE BEFORE NIGHTFALL.
THE RUC HAS SUGGESTED THE PRESENCE OF A SUBTLE DOWNSTREAM IMPULSE
WITH WEAK LOWER/MID-TROPOSPHERIC COOLING...WHICH MAY INTERACT WITH
THE DRY LINE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IN CONJUNCTION WITH CONTINUED
SURFACE HEATING ALONG DRY LINE...AND LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION/
SLOWLY INCREASING MOISTURE TO ITS EAST...INHIBITION MAY WEAKEN
ENOUGH FOR INITIATION OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS. THIS
APPEARS POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS 21-22Z...EAST OF BIG SPRING INTO THE
CHILDRESS AREA.
BENEATH 50 TO 90 KT MID/UPPER FLOW...DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS ALREADY
STRONG IN CONDITIONALLY AND CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT NEAR
DRY LINE. ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY...WITH HAIL/DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS MAIN THREATS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A RISK FOR
TORNADOES...BUT THIS POTENTIAL MAY BE BETTER AFTER 24/00-01Z ...WHEN
LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ENLARGE AND SOUTHWESTERLY LOW/MID TROPOSPHERIC
WINDS /AROUND 700 MB/ ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN.
..KERR.. 02/23/2007
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
35170129 35260028 34509977 33279991 32520022 32160103
32260181 33170156 33980142
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0177
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS INTO THE ERN TX
PNHDL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 231954Z - 232200Z
COLD UPPER TROUGH IS STILL OVER THE GREAT BASIN/SOUTHERN PLATEAU
REGION...BUT LATEST RUC MODEL SUGGESTS THAT SOUTHWEST MID-LEVEL FLOW
IS BEGINNING TO STRENGTHEN ON ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY...ACROSS
NORTHERN SONORA/CHIHUAHUA. THE JET STREAK IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE
INTENSIFYING AND PROPAGATE TOWARD SOUTHWEST TEXAS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...IT IS UNCERTAIN WHETHER THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO SIGNIFICANT FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ALONG SOUTHERN
PLAINS DRY LINE BEFORE NIGHTFALL.
THE RUC HAS SUGGESTED THE PRESENCE OF A SUBTLE DOWNSTREAM IMPULSE
WITH WEAK LOWER/MID-TROPOSPHERIC COOLING...WHICH MAY INTERACT WITH
THE DRY LINE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IN CONJUNCTION WITH CONTINUED
SURFACE HEATING ALONG DRY LINE...AND LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION/
SLOWLY INCREASING MOISTURE TO ITS EAST...INHIBITION MAY WEAKEN
ENOUGH FOR INITIATION OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS. THIS
APPEARS POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS 21-22Z...EAST OF BIG SPRING INTO THE
CHILDRESS AREA.
BENEATH 50 TO 90 KT MID/UPPER FLOW...DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS ALREADY
STRONG IN CONDITIONALLY AND CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT NEAR
DRY LINE. ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY...WITH HAIL/DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS MAIN THREATS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A RISK FOR
TORNADOES...BUT THIS POTENTIAL MAY BE BETTER AFTER 24/00-01Z ...WHEN
LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ENLARGE AND SOUTHWESTERLY LOW/MID TROPOSPHERIC
WINDS /AROUND 700 MB/ ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN.
..KERR.. 02/23/2007
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...
35170129 35260028 34509977 33279991 32520022 32160103
32260181 33170156 33980142
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TexasStooge
- Category 5
- Posts: 38127
- Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
- Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
- Contact:
Still the same story for North Texas so far.
NWS - Fort Worth wrote:THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS AS A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS OKLAHOMA.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHWEST TEXAS THIS
EVENING AND SPREAD EASTWARD INTO NORTH TEXAS DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE. A TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A
GAINESVILLE...DECATUR...TO BRECKENRIDGE LINE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RAPIDLY MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY
MORNING AND BE IN EAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA BY MIDDAY. THESE STORMS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS BEFORE THEY EXIT
ALL OF NORTH TEXAS BY MID MORNING.
THE EXITING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ON
SATURDAY WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP
TO 45 OR 50 MPH...AND A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH
TEXAS SATURDAY DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.
FINALLY...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE WEST OF A SHERMAN...HILLSBORO...TO
LAMPASAS LINE AFTER 8 PM AND ACROSS THE REMAINDER NORTH TEXAS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Tornado Watch issued...
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS
PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA
LARGE PART OF EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF DODGE
CITY KANSAS TO 70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...APPROACH OF VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET AND
RAPID ADVECTION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT INCREASING
POTENTIAL F0R SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING. INITIAL
STORMS EXPECTED ALONG/JUST E OF N/S DRY LINE TX PANHANDLE AND THEN
MOVING RAPIDLY NEWD INTO SWRN KS. ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL...THE VERY
STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORT TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS
PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA
LARGE PART OF EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF DODGE
CITY KANSAS TO 70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...APPROACH OF VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET AND
RAPID ADVECTION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT INCREASING
POTENTIAL F0R SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING. INITIAL
STORMS EXPECTED ALONG/JUST E OF N/S DRY LINE TX PANHANDLE AND THEN
MOVING RAPIDLY NEWD INTO SWRN KS. ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL...THE VERY
STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORT TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 232107
WOU7
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
TORNADO WATCH 27 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
KSC025-033-057-067-069-081-097-119-175-189-240400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.070223T2110Z-070224T0400Z/
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK COMANCHE FORD
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
KIOWA MEADE SEWARD
STEVENS
OKC007-009-045-055-057-059-065-129-139-151-153-240400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.070223T2110Z-070224T0400Z/
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM ELLIS
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODS WOODWARD
TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-155-169-179-191-195-
197-211-233-263-269-275-295-345-357-393-433-483-240400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.070223T2110Z-070224T0400Z/
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY
FLOYD FOARD GARZA
GRAY HALL HANSFORD
HARDEMAN HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON
KENT KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB MOTLEY OCHILTREE
ROBERTS STONEWALL WHEELER
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...LUB...OUN...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 27 TORNADO KS OK TX 232110Z - 240400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
5NW DDC/DODGE CITY KS/ - 70SE LBB/LUBBOCK TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /33E GCK - 63WNW ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 37819894 32959993 32950200 37810112
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 27 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS
PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA
LARGE PART OF EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF DODGE
CITY KANSAS TO 70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...APPROACH OF VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET AND
RAPID ADVECTION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT INCREASING
POTENTIAL F0R SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING. INITIAL
STORMS EXPECTED ALONG/JUST E OF N/S DRY LINE TX PANHANDLE AND THEN
MOVING RAPIDLY NEWD INTO SWRN KS. ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL...THE VERY
STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORT TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS
PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA
LARGE PART OF EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF DODGE
CITY KANSAS TO 70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...APPROACH OF VERY STRONG UPPER TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET AND
RAPID ADVECTION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT INCREASING
POTENTIAL F0R SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING. INITIAL
STORMS EXPECTED ALONG/JUST E OF N/S DRY LINE TX PANHANDLE AND THEN
MOVING RAPIDLY NEWD INTO SWRN KS. ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL...THE VERY
STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORT TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 232107
WOU7
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
TORNADO WATCH 27 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
KSC025-033-057-067-069-081-097-119-175-189-240400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.070223T2110Z-070224T0400Z/
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK COMANCHE FORD
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
KIOWA MEADE SEWARD
STEVENS
OKC007-009-045-055-057-059-065-129-139-151-153-240400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.070223T2110Z-070224T0400Z/
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM ELLIS
GREER HARMON HARPER
JACKSON ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODS WOODWARD
TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-155-169-179-191-195-
197-211-233-263-269-275-295-345-357-393-433-483-240400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.070223T2110Z-070224T0400Z/
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY
FLOYD FOARD GARZA
GRAY HALL HANSFORD
HARDEMAN HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON
KENT KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB MOTLEY OCHILTREE
ROBERTS STONEWALL WHEELER
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...LUB...OUN...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 27 TORNADO KS OK TX 232110Z - 240400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
5NW DDC/DODGE CITY KS/ - 70SE LBB/LUBBOCK TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /33E GCK - 63WNW ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 37819894 32959993 32950200 37810112
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 27 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
0 likes
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6SpeedTA95
- Category 5
- Posts: 1206
- Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:25 pm
- Location: Oklahoma
- Contact:
-
Weatherfreak14
- Category 5
- Posts: 1383
- Joined: Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:40 pm
- Location: Beaufort, SC
- Contact:
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC129-232315-
/O.NEW.KAMA.SV.W.0001.070223T2248Z-070223T2315Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
448 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
DONLEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
* UNTIL 515 PM CST
* AT 441 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CLARENDON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREENBELT LAKE...
HOWARDWICK...
CLARENDON...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
IF ON GREENBELT LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE TO SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT BE
CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM!
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 3 3 5 1 1 2 1.
LAT...LON 3496 10108 3482 10087 3518 10055 3518 10096
$$
JJB
TXC129-232315-
/O.NEW.KAMA.SV.W.0001.070223T2248Z-070223T2315Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
448 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
DONLEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
* UNTIL 515 PM CST
* AT 441 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CLARENDON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREENBELT LAKE...
HOWARDWICK...
CLARENDON...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
IF ON GREENBELT LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE TO SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT BE
CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM!
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 3 3 5 1 1 2 1.
LAT...LON 3496 10108 3482 10087 3518 10055 3518 10096
$$
JJB
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
TORNADO WARNING
TXC179-483-240045-
/O.NEW.KAMA.TO.W.0001.070224T0008Z-070224T0045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
608 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN GRAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
SOUTHWESTERN WHEELER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
* UNTIL 645 PM CST
* AT 602 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
MCLEAN...OR ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF SHAMROCK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KELLERVILLE...
MCLEAN...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 3 3 5 1 1 2 1.
LAT...LON 3526 10077 3520 10052 3537 10023 3547 10056
$$
JJB
TXC179-483-240045-
/O.NEW.KAMA.TO.W.0001.070224T0008Z-070224T0045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
608 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN GRAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
SOUTHWESTERN WHEELER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
* UNTIL 645 PM CST
* AT 602 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
MCLEAN...OR ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF SHAMROCK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KELLERVILLE...
MCLEAN...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 3 3 5 1 1 2 1.
LAT...LON 3526 10077 3520 10052 3537 10023 3547 10056
$$
JJB
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brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
New watch:
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 28
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
830 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
RUSSELL KANSAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF DODGE CITY KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 27...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS NOW IN FAR SW KS EXPECTED TO JOINED BY ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY IN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS AS LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER HEIGHT
FALLS/MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH POTENT NRN NM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVERSPREAD REGION. AS MID LEVEL SW TO SSWLY FLOW
INCREASES TO AOA 60 KTS AND BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY INCREASE AHEAD OF W KS SFC LOW...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
SHORT LINES/CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS WITH HIGH WIND/POSSIBLE HAIL AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...CORFIDI
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 28
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
830 PM CST FRI FEB 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
RUSSELL KANSAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF DODGE CITY KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 27...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS NOW IN FAR SW KS EXPECTED TO JOINED BY ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY IN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS AS LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER HEIGHT
FALLS/MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH POTENT NRN NM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVERSPREAD REGION. AS MID LEVEL SW TO SSWLY FLOW
INCREASES TO AOA 60 KTS AND BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY INCREASE AHEAD OF W KS SFC LOW...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
SHORT LINES/CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS WITH HIGH WIND/POSSIBLE HAIL AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...CORFIDI
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