#129 Postby icicle » Sun Feb 25, 2007 9:33 am
I didnt see anywhere else to post this discussion on the next system.
NWS, Jackson Ms.
CHANGES WILL BEGIN TO TAKE PLACE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING AS THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION...AND A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES MOVES INTO THE
GREAT PLAINS. MEANWHILE AT THE SURFACE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
ACCOMPANIED BY A TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THERMODYNAMIC AND KINEMATIC FIELDS
CONTINUE TO LOOK IMPRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT TREKS NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND THE COLD FRONT SWINGS EAST THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT.
ONCE AGAIN...MOISTURE RETURN AND AVAILABLE INSTABILITY BOTH LOOK TO
BE DETERMINING FACTORS IN SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL OVER THE CWFA...
BUT IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT MODELS HAVE BEEN SOMEWHAT MORE CONSISTENT
AT SHOWING BETTER DEWPOINTS AND INSTABILITY WITH THIS UPCOMING
SYSTEM...THAN THEY WERE SHOWING WITH THIS LAST SYSTEM THAT PUSHED
THROUGH THE AREA. WITH THAT SAID...I`LL CONTINUE THE TREND SET BY THE
PREVIOUS DAY SHIFT BY MENTIONING THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER
LATE IN THE WORK WEEK...BUT LATER MODEL RUNS WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED IN ORDER TO GET A BETTER IDEA ABOUT HOW THIS SYSTEM WILL
PLAY OUT.
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