Tornado outbreak February 28-March 2, 20 dead, EF4 in Kansas

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HarlequinBoy
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#121 Postby HarlequinBoy » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:19 pm

Wow. 45%? And the Mid South is dead center in the middle.

I wonder if things will get bad.. I was a bit surprised that the risk was that high here.
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#122 Postby simplykristi » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:21 pm

Flash Flood Warning for metro KC until 4 AM.

Kristi
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#123 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:28 pm

HarlequinBoy wrote:Wow. 45%? And the Mid South is dead center in the middle.

I wonder if things will get bad.. I was a bit surprised that the risk was that high here.
Yeah NOAA is going out on a limb with such a broad mdt box tomorrow. Although as of now conditions definately warrant the MDT, but they're typically a bit more conservative.
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#124 Postby wx247 » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:36 pm

The storm that now has a warning out for Miami Couty, Kansas is getting into to more populated areas.
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#125 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:39 pm

Adrian MO - population 1,800 - in the bullseye for this destructive tornado...
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#126 Postby ncupsscweather » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:40 pm

I have been hearing reports that one of these tornados are acutally 3 tornados rapped into one.
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#127 Postby senorpepr » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:43 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Adrian MO - population 1,800 - in the bullseye for this destructive tornado...


A good friend of mine in Adrian said the hail there is really nasty right now. No idea, though, the size. He's not going to check for a little while. :wink:
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#128 Postby snoopj » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:46 pm

WFUS53 KEAX 010244
TOREAX
MOC013-037-083-101-010345-
/O.NEW.KEAX.TO.W.0005.070301T0244Z-070301T0345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
844 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN BATES COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
SOUTHEASTERN CASS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
NORTHWESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
SOUTHWESTERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI

* UNTIL 945 PM CST

* AT 842 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ADRIAN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...
CREIGHTON AND URICH BY 910 PM CST.
CHILHOWEE BY 930 PM CST.

THE TOWNS OF QUICK CITY AND BLAIRSTOWN ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS
TORNADIC STORM.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING TORNADOES. PERSONS IN
THE PATH SHOULD SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW!

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3848 9439 3836 9439 3840 9373 3864 9385

$$

BOOKBINDER
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#129 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:50 pm

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#130 Postby Calasanjy » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:51 pm

I'll be interested to see how much longer this tornado currently in Bates County, MO will continue. The cell still looks about as healthy as they can get on radar, with a pronounced hook in the southwest corner probably indicating a significant tornado.

I've read that the size of a tornado is not specifically connected to its strength, but the Weather Channel is hyping this one and it almost always seems that reports specifying "large tornado on the ground" are later verified to be (E)F3+ tornadoes. Without making a definite statement, does anyone have any guess on the intensity of the (thus far) Anderson/Linn/Bates county twister? I heard reports that at least one house was demolished, but they didn't state what type of house it was.
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#131 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:52 pm

Calasanjy wrote:I'll be interested to see how much longer this tornado currently in Bates County, MO will continue. The cell still looks about as healthy as they can get on radar, with a pronounced hook in the southwest corner probably indicating a significant tornado.

I've read that the size of a tornado is not specifically connected to its strength, but the Weather Channel is hyping this one and it almost always seems that reports specifying "large tornado on the ground" are later verified to be (E)F3+ tornadoes. Without making a definite statement, does anyone have any guess on the intensity of the (thus far) Anderson/Linn/Bates county twister? I heard reports that at least one house was demolished, but they didn't state what type of house it was.


I'd say EF3 based on what we have heard.
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#132 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:54 pm

Bumping my advice:

For whoever lives in that area, here are some suggestions:

1) If you don't have enough water, food and other essentials for at least 3 days, you should get them now and then store them somewhere that is well-protected.

2) If you aren't up to speed on where to go when a tornado threatens, practice now!

3) Have your weather radio ready with brand new batteries, you could need it!

4) If you have a basement, you should sleep there tonight if the threat is overnight (western areas of the threat + tonight's risk area). If you live in a mobile home, consider going to a friend's house or a motel tonight, with your weather radio and essentials. Either way, make sure it is at your bedside and on!
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#133 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:54 pm

am i right in saying that tornado has been on the ground for at least 20 miles?
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#134 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 28, 2007 9:58 pm

fact789 wrote:am i right in saying that tornado has been on the ground for at least 20 miles?


Very possible, although I believe it did left just before Adrian.
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#135 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Feb 28, 2007 10:01 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
fact789 wrote:am i right in saying that tornado has been on the ground for at least 20 miles?


Very possible, although I believe it did left just before Adrian.


so is it gone or is it cycling?
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#136 Postby senorpepr » Wed Feb 28, 2007 10:01 pm

My friend just stepped outside... he measured 1 1/2" hail, but of course there was some melting. That jives with the storm report of 1 3/4" just west of Adrian.
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#137 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Wed Feb 28, 2007 10:03 pm

fact789 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:
fact789 wrote:am i right in saying that tornado has been on the ground for at least 20 miles?


Very possible, although I believe it did left just before Adrian.


so is it gone or is it cycling?
No way to tell for sure but the setup for tonight is very capable of producing long track storms. So you shouldn't be surprised if it is cycling.
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#138 Postby simplykristi » Wed Feb 28, 2007 10:04 pm

It's hard to say.... There are spotters out tracking the storm in SE Cass, NE Bates, and NW Henty Counties MO.

There are also spotters watching the storm in Miami County KS.

Kristi
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#139 Postby snoopj » Wed Feb 28, 2007 10:04 pm

From what I'm seeing, it's cycling. The hook became less defined over Adrian, and now it appears to be regenerating the hail core and the hook again.
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#140 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 28, 2007 10:04 pm

fact789 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:
fact789 wrote:am i right in saying that tornado has been on the ground for at least 20 miles?


Very possible, although I believe it did left just before Adrian.


so is it gone or is it cycling?


Redeveloping as we speak.
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