SITUATION
At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Odette, 992 hPa was centred within 30 nautical
miles of 17.2 S 155.0 E and near stationary.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles of the centre
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 30/40 knots increasing to 45 knots within 24 hours.
Seas rising rough to very rough and moderate to heavy swells developing.
Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 04 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 17.3 south 154.6 east
Central pressure 990 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots.
At 1200 UTC 04 March: Within 90 nautical miles of 17.3 south 154.7 east
Central pressure 990 hPa.
Winds to 45 knots.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email
to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through
Land Earth Station Perth 222.
WEATHER BRISBANE
SW Pacific Ocean: Tropical Low Ex-Odette
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
187
AXAU21 ABRF 031245
IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1244 UTC 03/03/2007
Tropical Cyclone: Odette
Data At: 1200 UTC
Latitude: 17.2S
Longitude: 155.0E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: south southeast [154 deg]
Speed of Movement: 2 knots [4 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [90 km/h]
Central Pressure: 992 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: 60 nm [110 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/3.0/W1.0/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar:1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 300 nm [550 km]
Storm Depth: medium
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 04/0000: 17.3S 154.6E: 060 [110]: 040 [075]: 990
+24: 04/1200: 17.3S 154.7E: 090 [165]: 045 [085]: 990
+36: 05/0000: 17.7S 154.8E: 130 [240]: 050 [095]: 985
+48: 05/1200: 18.3S 154.8E: 180 [335]: 050 [095]: 985
+60: 06/0000: 18.8S 154.8E: 200 [370]: 055 [100]: 980
+72: 06/1200: 19.6S 155.7E: 220 [405]: 060 [110]: 975
REMARKS:
Odette remains a sheared system with the cloud pattern showing strong diurnal
variation.
Odette was classified as a minimal category 1 cyclone at 030100 UTC based on
ship obs of gale force winds within 100nm of the centre.
Deep convection in eastern quadrants is likely to develop closer to the LLCC
again overnight Saturday.
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 03/1900 UTC by Brisbane
AXAU21 ABRF 031245
IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1244 UTC 03/03/2007
Tropical Cyclone: Odette
Data At: 1200 UTC
Latitude: 17.2S
Longitude: 155.0E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: south southeast [154 deg]
Speed of Movement: 2 knots [4 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [90 km/h]
Central Pressure: 992 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: 60 nm [110 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/3.0/W1.0/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar:1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 300 nm [550 km]
Storm Depth: medium
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 04/0000: 17.3S 154.6E: 060 [110]: 040 [075]: 990
+24: 04/1200: 17.3S 154.7E: 090 [165]: 045 [085]: 990
+36: 05/0000: 17.7S 154.8E: 130 [240]: 050 [095]: 985
+48: 05/1200: 18.3S 154.8E: 180 [335]: 050 [095]: 985
+60: 06/0000: 18.8S 154.8E: 200 [370]: 055 [100]: 980
+72: 06/1200: 19.6S 155.7E: 220 [405]: 060 [110]: 975
REMARKS:
Odette remains a sheared system with the cloud pattern showing strong diurnal
variation.
Odette was classified as a minimal category 1 cyclone at 030100 UTC based on
ship obs of gale force winds within 100nm of the centre.
Deep convection in eastern quadrants is likely to develop closer to the LLCC
again overnight Saturday.
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 03/1900 UTC by Brisbane
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302
TPPS10 KGWC 031233 COR
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NE OF AUSTRALIA
B. 03/1131Z (11)
C. 16.7S/4
D. 154.5E/5
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T1.0/1.0/W0.5/30HRS -03/1131Z-
G. IR/EIR
47A/ PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC MEASURES
120NM WNW OF DG YIELDING AN UNCLASSIFIABLE DT.
FT BASED ON PT. MET AGREES. COR LINE F. FOR
TREND AND REMARKS FOR DT INFORMATION.
COR 03/1501Z...
VAN SCHAICK/CRUZ/KRAMER
TPPS10 KGWC 031233 COR
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NE OF AUSTRALIA
B. 03/1131Z (11)
C. 16.7S/4
D. 154.5E/5
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T1.0/1.0/W0.5/30HRS -03/1131Z-
G. IR/EIR
47A/ PBO PTLY XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. LLCC MEASURES
120NM WNW OF DG YIELDING AN UNCLASSIFIABLE DT.
FT BASED ON PT. MET AGREES. COR LINE F. FOR
TREND AND REMARKS FOR DT INFORMATION.
COR 03/1501Z...
VAN SCHAICK/CRUZ/KRAMER
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REMARKS:
Upper levels of the atmosphere still shearing the system. Ship observations
yesterday of gale force winds near the centre indicated the system had attained
tropical cyclone status, but no such information has been received today. The
system is now classified as a TROPICAL LOW. No further technical bulletins will
be issued unless the situation changes.
Upper levels of the atmosphere still shearing the system. Ship observations
yesterday of gale force winds near the centre indicated the system had attained
tropical cyclone status, but no such information has been received today. The
system is now classified as a TROPICAL LOW. No further technical bulletins will
be issued unless the situation changes.
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983
WOAU01 ABRF 060718
IDQ20008
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF
METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0718 UTC 6 March 2007
GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA
SITUATION
At 060600 UTC a tropical low [Ex-Tropical Cyclone Odette], 995 hPa was centred
within 30 nautical miles of 16.8 S 158.5 E and moving east southeast about
8 knots. The low may redevelop into a tropical cyclone within the next
12 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 180 nm nautical miles of the centre in the eastern semicircle.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 30/40 knots increasing to 45 knots within 24 hours.
Seas rising rough to very rough. Moderate to heavy swells developing.
Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 06 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 18.0 south 159.0 east
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds 30/40 knots.
At 0600 UTC 07 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 19.2 south 159.5 east
Central pressure 990 hPa.
Winds 35/45 knots.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41
through Land Earth Station Perth 222.
WOAU01 ABRF 060718
IDQ20008
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF
METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0718 UTC 6 March 2007
GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA
SITUATION
At 060600 UTC a tropical low [Ex-Tropical Cyclone Odette], 995 hPa was centred
within 30 nautical miles of 16.8 S 158.5 E and moving east southeast about
8 knots. The low may redevelop into a tropical cyclone within the next
12 to 24 hours.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 180 nm nautical miles of the centre in the eastern semicircle.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 30/40 knots increasing to 45 knots within 24 hours.
Seas rising rough to very rough. Moderate to heavy swells developing.
Forecast positions
At 1800 UTC 06 March: Within 50 nautical miles of 18.0 south 159.0 east
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds 30/40 knots.
At 0600 UTC 07 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 19.2 south 159.5 east
Central pressure 990 hPa.
Winds 35/45 knots.
REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41
through Land Earth Station Perth 222.
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- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 06/2326 UTC 2007 UTC.
TROPICAL LOW [ EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE ODETTE ] [ 995HPA] NEAR 17.9S
160.5E AT 062100UTC. DEPRESSION SLOWLY MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST.
POSITION FAIR BASED ON IR/VISHR IMAGERY AND 06/2206 UTC
SCATTEROMETER. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELCIUS.
SYSTEM LIES TO THE WEST UNDERNEATH A 250 HPA DIFFLUENT REGION IN A
MODERATE TO STRONG SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF
THE SYSTEM. CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED FOR THE LAST 6 HOURS
DUE TO DIURNAL VARIATION. ORGANISATION IS POOR. MOST GLOBAL MODELS
AGREES IN THE SYSTEM MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST. SYSTEM TO REDEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IS LOW.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 06/2326 UTC 2007 UTC.
TROPICAL LOW [ EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE ODETTE ] [ 995HPA] NEAR 17.9S
160.5E AT 062100UTC. DEPRESSION SLOWLY MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST.
POSITION FAIR BASED ON IR/VISHR IMAGERY AND 06/2206 UTC
SCATTEROMETER. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELCIUS.
SYSTEM LIES TO THE WEST UNDERNEATH A 250 HPA DIFFLUENT REGION IN A
MODERATE TO STRONG SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF
THE SYSTEM. CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED FOR THE LAST 6 HOURS
DUE TO DIURNAL VARIATION. ORGANISATION IS POOR. MOST GLOBAL MODELS
AGREES IN THE SYSTEM MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST. SYSTEM TO REDEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IS LOW.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.
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