SE TX / SW LA - Heavy rains this week-Tues. and Fri???
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- Yankeegirl
- Category 5
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- Location: Cy-Fair, Northwest Houston
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- weatherrabbit_tx
- Category 1
- Posts: 270
- Joined: Wed Dec 21, 2005 3:13 pm
- Location: Kingwood,Tx
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- Extremeweatherguy
- Category 5
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- Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
- Location: Florida
There have been some reports of pea to dime sized hail in the Houston vicinity from the cell currently moving through down there. However, there is no warning for it at the moment (which is strange since it is obviously right on the "edge" of being severe). Besides that storm, it now looks like another strong cell will be moving in from the NW. This one may also produce some hail..possibly closer to my area and in the northern part of the county. It will be interesting to see if this one gets a warning.
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- weatherrabbit_tx
- Category 1
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- Location: Kingwood,Tx
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- weatherrabbit_tx
- Category 1
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- Location: Kingwood,Tx
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- jasons2k
- Storm2k Executive
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- Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
- Location: The Woodlands, TX
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0286
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 PM CDT WED MAR 14 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...THE MIDDLE TX COAST
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 62...
VALID 142011Z - 142145Z
ELEVATED SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES...WHILE CONDITIONAL/LOW-PROBABILITY
THREAT FOR SURFACE-BASED SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS APPARENT.
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ABOVE CAPPED BOUNDARY LAYER IN THE MIDDLE TX
COASTAL PLAIN...WHERE THREAT FOR HAIL CONTINUES. POTENTIALLY-MORE
SIGNIFICANT THREAT -- OF THE LOW PROBABILITY/CONDITIONAL VARIETY --
PERSISTS NEAR OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...WHICH NOW LIES WNW-ESE BETWEEN
CORPUS CHRISTI TX AND PALACIOS TX. ACROSS THIS REGION...EWD
ADVECTION OF WARM AIR WITHIN THE CAPPING LAYER CONTINUES -- AS
SUPPORTED BY LACK OF A TCU FIELD. HOWEVER...PRESENCE OF UPPER 60S
TO LOW 70S DEWPOINTS AND FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR INVOF THIS
BOUNDARY ALONG WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WOULD SUPPORT
VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS AND LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONE/TORNADO DEVELOPMENT
GIVEN STORM INITIATION. ATTM...IT APPEARS MORE LIKELY THAT CAPPING
AND SUBSIDENCE SHOULD PRECLUDE STORM DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY. HOWEVER...WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION --
PARTICULARLY OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES NEAR VICTORIA TX -- FOR ANY
HINTS OF THE IMMINENCE OF DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT -- WHICH WOULD
LIKELY REQUIRE RAPID UPGRADE TO TORNADO WATCH.
..GOSS.. 03/14/2007
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 PM CDT WED MAR 14 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...THE MIDDLE TX COAST
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 62...
VALID 142011Z - 142145Z
ELEVATED SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES...WHILE CONDITIONAL/LOW-PROBABILITY
THREAT FOR SURFACE-BASED SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS APPARENT.
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ABOVE CAPPED BOUNDARY LAYER IN THE MIDDLE TX
COASTAL PLAIN...WHERE THREAT FOR HAIL CONTINUES. POTENTIALLY-MORE
SIGNIFICANT THREAT -- OF THE LOW PROBABILITY/CONDITIONAL VARIETY --
PERSISTS NEAR OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...WHICH NOW LIES WNW-ESE BETWEEN
CORPUS CHRISTI TX AND PALACIOS TX. ACROSS THIS REGION...EWD
ADVECTION OF WARM AIR WITHIN THE CAPPING LAYER CONTINUES -- AS
SUPPORTED BY LACK OF A TCU FIELD. HOWEVER...PRESENCE OF UPPER 60S
TO LOW 70S DEWPOINTS AND FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR INVOF THIS
BOUNDARY ALONG WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WOULD SUPPORT
VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS AND LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONE/TORNADO DEVELOPMENT
GIVEN STORM INITIATION. ATTM...IT APPEARS MORE LIKELY THAT CAPPING
AND SUBSIDENCE SHOULD PRECLUDE STORM DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY. HOWEVER...WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION --
PARTICULARLY OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES NEAR VICTORIA TX -- FOR ANY
HINTS OF THE IMMINENCE OF DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT -- WHICH WOULD
LIKELY REQUIRE RAPID UPGRADE TO TORNADO WATCH.
..GOSS.. 03/14/2007
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- JenBayles
- Category 5
- Posts: 3461
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Aug 26, 2003 3:27 pm
- Location: Houston, TX
- Contact:
Yankee - you and I must be cut from the same cloth - I just finished vacuuming and doing a general cleanup. LOL!
RE: last night's action, we had water knocking at the back door in 15-20 minutes, and judging by the water level in the pool (rain gauge is trashed) we got a good 4" last night. My mom lives 2 miles from me and she had some marble size hail last night.
Today has been a great day to hole-in and like Yankee said, putter around the house. It's getting darker by the minute and not a puff of wind. Lots of thunder rumbling, but the rain hasn't kicked us just yet.
RE: last night's action, we had water knocking at the back door in 15-20 minutes, and judging by the water level in the pool (rain gauge is trashed) we got a good 4" last night. My mom lives 2 miles from me and she had some marble size hail last night.
Today has been a great day to hole-in and like Yankee said, putter around the house. It's getting darker by the minute and not a puff of wind. Lots of thunder rumbling, but the rain hasn't kicked us just yet.
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- weatherrabbit_tx
- Category 1
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- Location: Kingwood,Tx
- Contact:
- JenBayles
- Category 5
- Posts: 3461
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Aug 26, 2003 3:27 pm
- Location: Houston, TX
- Contact:
Hmmmm.... anyone notice the recently updated forecast for Harris county? Just upped us from 30% for tonite to 70%. Guess this system is going to take it's own sweet time bugging out of our area.
Hazardous weather condition(s):
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Severe Weather Statement
This Afternoon: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could be severe. Partly cloudy, with a high near 71. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 56. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Hazardous weather condition(s):
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Severe Weather Statement
This Afternoon: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the storms could be severe. Partly cloudy, with a high near 71. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 56. North wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
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- JenBayles
- Category 5
- Posts: 3461
- Age: 62
- Joined: Tue Aug 26, 2003 3:27 pm
- Location: Houston, TX
- Contact:
This just in:
Flood Statement
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
329 PM CDT WED MAR 14 2007
TXC039-157-167-201-142330-
329 PM CDT WED MAR 14 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NORTHERN GALVESTON COUNTY...
NORTHERN BRAZORIA COUNTY...
EXTREME EASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY...
HARRIS COUNTY...
* UNTIL 630 PM CDT
* AT 329 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM A THUNDERSTORM NEAR HOBBY AIRPORT.
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR...
BELLAIRE...CLOVERLEAF...DEER PARK...GALENA PARK...HOUSTON...JACINTO
CITY...SOUTHSIDE PLACE...WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE...THE GALLERIA...
HERMAN PARK...MINUTE MAID PARK...RELIANT PARK AND THE MEDICAL
CENTER.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF LAND
ADJACENT TO CREEKS AND BAYOUS...DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
ADDITIONALLY...FLOODING MAY OCCUR ON...STREETS...FRONTAGE ROADS...AND
HIGHWAY UNDERPASSES. AVOID LOCATIONS WHERE WATER COVERS THE GROUND!
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...OR
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 2949 9555 2943 9531 2967 9496 2988 9500
3007 9552 3006 9589
$$
Flood Statement
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
329 PM CDT WED MAR 14 2007
TXC039-157-167-201-142330-
329 PM CDT WED MAR 14 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED AN
* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NORTHERN GALVESTON COUNTY...
NORTHERN BRAZORIA COUNTY...
EXTREME EASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY...
HARRIS COUNTY...
* UNTIL 630 PM CDT
* AT 329 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM A THUNDERSTORM NEAR HOBBY AIRPORT.
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR...
BELLAIRE...CLOVERLEAF...DEER PARK...GALENA PARK...HOUSTON...JACINTO
CITY...SOUTHSIDE PLACE...WEST UNIVERSITY PLACE...THE GALLERIA...
HERMAN PARK...MINUTE MAID PARK...RELIANT PARK AND THE MEDICAL
CENTER.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF LAND
ADJACENT TO CREEKS AND BAYOUS...DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
ADDITIONALLY...FLOODING MAY OCCUR ON...STREETS...FRONTAGE ROADS...AND
HIGHWAY UNDERPASSES. AVOID LOCATIONS WHERE WATER COVERS THE GROUND!
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...OR
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 2949 9555 2943 9531 2967 9496 2988 9500
3007 9552 3006 9589
$$
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