Joe Bastardi's Hurricane Ideas

[Evil Jeremy]

This is Joe's two part look at the Hurricane Season.

Part 1: http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-s ... &article=8
Part 2: http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-s ... &article=9


this is the final line, and i dont like it:

This DOES not exclude the Northeast coast as we did in the years '04
and '05; it simply identifies a possible spray of storms with Florida
as the center point of the spray.

[HURRICANELONNY]

"higher-than-normal rainfall in the 500-mile-wide swath from
east of the Leewards to Florida and into the southeast Gulf is giving
me more than the normal amount of confidence on the forecast from so
far out."
His quote of Florida having more rainfall? Then why is my lawn brown? I think Florida will be spared this year with more tropical systems curving up the coast. New York better be prepared this year.

[tgenius]

"higher-than-normal rainfall in the 500-mile-wide swath from
east of the Leewards to Florida and into the southeast Gulf is giving
me more than the normal amount of confidence on the forecast from so
far out."
His quote of Florida having more rainfall? Then why is my lawn brown? I think Florida will be spared this year with more tropical systems curving up the coast. New York better be prepared this year.

This isn't -removed-, but I don't know if you remember in 1992 it was a VERY dry Spring (Very similar to the water restrictions that have been placed now) and we ended up with Andrew.... Not the same, but don't base the rainfall now on what will be for the hurricane season.

[bocadad]

"The 2006 season will be a creeping threat," said Bastardi. "Early in the season-June and July-the Texas Gulf Coast faces the highest likelihood of a hurricane strike, possibly putting Gulf energy production in the line of fire. As early as July, and through much of the rest of the season, the highest level of risk shifts to the Carolinas. From mid-August into early October, the window is open for hurricane strikes to spread northward to the more densely populated Northeast coast. At the very end of the season, southern Florida also faces significant hurricane risk."

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/promo-ad.as ... e=hurr2006

Bastardi, who in March of last year correctly forecasted that the region would get "minimal" attention by that season's hurricanes, said that this year, "the Gulf and Florida face a renewed threat, and we will see more powerful storms across the board. We will not get anywhere near the amount of storms that we did in 2005, but it is the intensity of the storms we do get that will be of major concern."

http://www.namic.org/topnews/070328st1.asp

Am I missing something or has Mr. Bastardi elelvated spin to a new standard?

[x-y-no]

"higher-than-normal rainfall in the 500-mile-wide swath from
east of the Leewards to Florida and into the southeast Gulf is giving
me more than the normal amount of confidence on the forecast from so
far out."
His quote of Florida having more rainfall? Then why is my lawn brown? I think Florida will be spared this year with more tropical systems curving up the coast. New York better be prepared this year.

Ummm ... you chopped off "The forecast of". That makes a big difference. He was talking about what the European climo model forecasts for the hurricane season.