South Florida very dry!!!
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So why has this dry season been so severe? It hasn't struck me as all that abnormal from my experience. We've had *some* rain in the winter months. Nothing big, but it hasn't been COMPLETELY dry, either.
However, the rainy/hurricane season seemed to shut down abrupt and early last year, in early October. Some years we continue to get decent rains into December. Was this the root cause of the current drought, the dry October/November 2006?
However, the rainy/hurricane season seemed to shut down abrupt and early last year, in early October. Some years we continue to get decent rains into December. Was this the root cause of the current drought, the dry October/November 2006?
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I think my very localized area has skewed a little higher on the rainfall than that. I don't see any visible signs of drought in my immediate area...no scorched brown lawns or lakes/ponds anywhere near as low as I remember them in past droughts.
Saturday evening, it actually rained unexpectedly hard in my area.
Saturday evening, it actually rained unexpectedly hard in my area.
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From NWS Tampa:
000
NOUS42 KTBW 291000
PNSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-300000-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
600 AM EDT THU MAR 29 2007
...EL NINO DOESN`T LIVE UP TO ITS EXPECTATIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
THE MUCH ANTICIPATED RAINFALL USUALLY ASSOCIATED WITH EL NINO NEVER
REALLY MATERIALIZED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS
PAST WINTER. INTERESTINGLY, WHILE EL NINO WAS PEAKING IN DECEMBER,
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED FROM THE BAHAMAS THROUGH
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO SHUNTED MOST STORMS, AND THEIR ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL ZONES, WELL NORTH OF THE SUNSHINE STATE. THIS PATTERN
PRODUCED WARM AND LARGELY RAIN-FREE WEATHER FOR MUCH OF DECEMBER AND
JANUARY. WHEN THE ATMOSPHERIC PATTERN CHANGED IN LATE JANUARY TO
ONE OF MORE FREQUENT COLD FRONTS, EL NINO WAS FADING FAST. MOST
OF THESE FRONTS SWEPT QUICKLY ACROSS THE PENINSULA, LEAVING DRY AND
COOL AIR IN THEIR WAKE.
IN FACT, THE TYPICAL "DRY SEASON" HAS TURNED OUT TO BE EVEN DRIER
THAN NORMAL WITH MANY LOCATIONS FROM ABOUT SARASOTA TO SEBRING
SOUTHWARD RECEIVING LESS THAN 50 PERCENT OF THE NORMAL RAINFALL SINCE
NOVEMBER 1, 2006, AS INDICATED IN TABLE 1, PLACING A FEW SPOTS IN THE
TOP TEN DRIEST FOR THIS TIME PERIOD, AS SHOWN IN TABLE 2.
-------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE 1: THE TABLE BELOW LIST THE NOVEMBER 2006 THROUGH MARCH 2007
TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES, THE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME PERIOD
AND THE PERCENT OF NORMAL (BASED ON 1971-2000 NORMALS) AT
A SOME SITES ACROSS THE REGION.
RAINFALL
TOTAL NORMAL PERCENT
NOV 06 TO RAINFALL OF
OBSERVING SITE COUNTY MAR 07 TOTAL NORMAL
FORT MYERS/PAGE FIELD LEE 4.03 10.36 39%
ARCHBOLD BIO STN HIGHLANDS 4.66 11.97 39%
TARPON SPRINGS SWG PLT PINELLAS 5.59 15.51 36%
PUNTA GORDA/CHARLOTTE CO CHARLOTTE 6.34 10.91 58%
AVON PARK 2 W HIGHLANDS 6.39 12.05 53%
SARASOTA-BRADENTON INTL MANATEE 6.41 13.76 46%
VENICE SARASOTA 7.09 12.62 56%
INVERNESS 3 SE CITRUS 9.00 15.51 58%
LAKELAND LINDER POLK 9.07 12.82 71%
PLANT CITY HILLSBOROUGH 9.19 13.84 66%
ST PETE/ALBERT WHITTED PINELLAS 9.27 13.56 68%
ST. LEO PASCO 9.81 16.02 61%
TAMPA INTL HILLSBOROUGH 10.05 11.70 86%
LAKE WALES POLK 10.10 12.26 82%
BROOKSVILLE/CHIN HILL HERNANDO 10.50 15.57 67%
CHIEFLAND 5 SE LEVY 16.76 18.49 91%
-------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE 2: THE TABLE BELOW LIST THE CURRENT NOVEMBER TO MARCH TOTAL
RAINFALL IN INCHES AND WHAT RANK THIS IS, AS WELL AS THE
DRIEST NOVEMBER TO MARCH AND WHAT YEAR IT OCCURRED.
RAINFALL
TOTAL DRIEST/ YEAR
NOV 06 TO ENDING RECORDS
OBSERVING SITE MAR 07 RANK YEAR BEGAN
FORT MYERS/PAGE FIELD 4.03 20TH 1.29/1949 1902
ARCHBOLD BIO STN 4.66 5TH 3.86/1971 1969
TARPON SPRINGS SWG PLT 5.59 6TH 3.27/1907 1892
PUNTA GORDA/CHARLOTTE CO 6.34 9TH 2.62/1974 1965
AVON PARK 2 W 6.39 16TH 1.13/1907 1892
SARASOTA-BRADENTON INTL 6.41 7TH 2.22/1976 1948
VENICE 7.09 10TH 3.85/1976 1955
INVERNESS 3 SE 9.00 12TH 4.50/1956 1948
LAKELAND LINDER 9.07 27TH 3.90/1935 1915
PLANT CITY 9.19 32ND 1.43/1907 1893
ST PETE/ALBERT WHITTED 9.27 27TH 2.57/1939 1914
ST. LEO 9.81 27TH 2.26/1907 1895
TAMPA INTL 10.05 51ST 1.97/1907 1890
LAKE WALES 10.10 23RD 3.78/1976 1935
BROOKSVILLE/CHIN HILL 10.50 34TH 4.57/1945 1892
CHIEFLAND 5 SE 16.76 19TH 8.47/2002 1956
-------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE 3: THE TABLE BELOW LIST THE CURRENT MARCH TOTAL RAINFALL IN
INCHES AND WHAT RANK THIS IS, AS WELL AS THE DRIEST MARCH
AND WHAT YEAR IT OCCURRED.
RAINFALL YEAR
TOTAL DRIEST/ RECORDS
OBSERVING SITE MARCH 07 RANK YEAR BEGAN
PUNTA GORDA/CHARLOTTE CO 0.09 1ST 0.01/2007 1965
FORT MYERS/PAGE FIELD 0.13 TIED 8TH 0.00/1935 1902
SARASOTA-BRADENTON INTL 0.28 2ND 0.26/1956 1948
LAKE WALES 0.44 6TH 0.20/2006 1935
PLANT CITY 0.53 11TH 0.00/1908 1893
& 1907
VENICE 0.60 10TH 0.10/1956 1955
ST PETE/ALBERT WHITTED 0.63 13TH 0.03/1956 1914
ARCHBOLD BIO STN 0.66 4TH 0.05/1974 1969
LAKELAND LINDER 0.67 5TH 0.22/2006 1915
& 1916
TARPON SPRINGS SWG PLT 0.75 13TH 0.00/1907 1892
AVON PARK 2 W 0.85 20TH 0.02/1908 1892
TAMPA INTL 0.92 22ND TRACE/2006 1890
& 1907
CHIEFLAND 5 SE 0.95 3RD 0.06/2006 1956
ST. LEO 1.07 19TH 0.00/1907 1895
BROOKSVILLE/CHIN HILL 1.09 16TH 0.00/2006 1892
& 1956
INVERNESS 3 SE 1.50 12TH 0.00/1956 1948
-------------------------------------------------------------
UNFORTUNATELY WE ARE HEADING INTO APRIL AND EARLY MAY WHICH IS
USUALLY ONE OF THE DRIEST TIMES OF THE YEAR WITH NUMEROUS DAYS
HAVING HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S, EVEN SOME LOWER 90S, ALONG WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT. THIS COMBINED WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE LAST FIVE MONTHS ALREADY LESS THAN 50
PERCENT OF NORMAL IN MANY LOCATIONS MAY BE SETTING THE STAGE FOR AN
ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER SEASON, WHICH USUALLY BEGINS IN APRIL AND
CONTINUES UNTIL THE SUMMER THUNDERSTORM SEASON BEGINS IN LATE MAY OR
EARLY JUNE. THIS IS FURTHER SUPPORTED BY THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT
INDEX (KBDI) WHICH INDICATES VALUES OVER 500 ACROSS MOST OF WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA, WITH EVEN A LARGE PORTION OF LEE
COUNTY OVER 700.
FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI) VISIT
THE FLORIDA DIVISION OF FORESTRY WEBSITE AT THE FOLLOWING ADDRESS:
HTTP://FLAME.FL-DOF.COM/FIRE_WEATHER/KBDI/INDEX.HTML AND FOR MORE
CLIMATE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT THE FOLLOWING ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY AND THEN CLICK ON THE LOCAL CLIMATE
LINK ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE PAGE.
$$
PRC
000
NOUS42 KTBW 291000
PNSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-300000-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
600 AM EDT THU MAR 29 2007
...EL NINO DOESN`T LIVE UP TO ITS EXPECTATIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
THE MUCH ANTICIPATED RAINFALL USUALLY ASSOCIATED WITH EL NINO NEVER
REALLY MATERIALIZED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS
PAST WINTER. INTERESTINGLY, WHILE EL NINO WAS PEAKING IN DECEMBER,
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED FROM THE BAHAMAS THROUGH
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO SHUNTED MOST STORMS, AND THEIR ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL ZONES, WELL NORTH OF THE SUNSHINE STATE. THIS PATTERN
PRODUCED WARM AND LARGELY RAIN-FREE WEATHER FOR MUCH OF DECEMBER AND
JANUARY. WHEN THE ATMOSPHERIC PATTERN CHANGED IN LATE JANUARY TO
ONE OF MORE FREQUENT COLD FRONTS, EL NINO WAS FADING FAST. MOST
OF THESE FRONTS SWEPT QUICKLY ACROSS THE PENINSULA, LEAVING DRY AND
COOL AIR IN THEIR WAKE.
IN FACT, THE TYPICAL "DRY SEASON" HAS TURNED OUT TO BE EVEN DRIER
THAN NORMAL WITH MANY LOCATIONS FROM ABOUT SARASOTA TO SEBRING
SOUTHWARD RECEIVING LESS THAN 50 PERCENT OF THE NORMAL RAINFALL SINCE
NOVEMBER 1, 2006, AS INDICATED IN TABLE 1, PLACING A FEW SPOTS IN THE
TOP TEN DRIEST FOR THIS TIME PERIOD, AS SHOWN IN TABLE 2.
-------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE 1: THE TABLE BELOW LIST THE NOVEMBER 2006 THROUGH MARCH 2007
TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES, THE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME PERIOD
AND THE PERCENT OF NORMAL (BASED ON 1971-2000 NORMALS) AT
A SOME SITES ACROSS THE REGION.
RAINFALL
TOTAL NORMAL PERCENT
NOV 06 TO RAINFALL OF
OBSERVING SITE COUNTY MAR 07 TOTAL NORMAL
FORT MYERS/PAGE FIELD LEE 4.03 10.36 39%
ARCHBOLD BIO STN HIGHLANDS 4.66 11.97 39%
TARPON SPRINGS SWG PLT PINELLAS 5.59 15.51 36%
PUNTA GORDA/CHARLOTTE CO CHARLOTTE 6.34 10.91 58%
AVON PARK 2 W HIGHLANDS 6.39 12.05 53%
SARASOTA-BRADENTON INTL MANATEE 6.41 13.76 46%
VENICE SARASOTA 7.09 12.62 56%
INVERNESS 3 SE CITRUS 9.00 15.51 58%
LAKELAND LINDER POLK 9.07 12.82 71%
PLANT CITY HILLSBOROUGH 9.19 13.84 66%
ST PETE/ALBERT WHITTED PINELLAS 9.27 13.56 68%
ST. LEO PASCO 9.81 16.02 61%
TAMPA INTL HILLSBOROUGH 10.05 11.70 86%
LAKE WALES POLK 10.10 12.26 82%
BROOKSVILLE/CHIN HILL HERNANDO 10.50 15.57 67%
CHIEFLAND 5 SE LEVY 16.76 18.49 91%
-------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE 2: THE TABLE BELOW LIST THE CURRENT NOVEMBER TO MARCH TOTAL
RAINFALL IN INCHES AND WHAT RANK THIS IS, AS WELL AS THE
DRIEST NOVEMBER TO MARCH AND WHAT YEAR IT OCCURRED.
RAINFALL
TOTAL DRIEST/ YEAR
NOV 06 TO ENDING RECORDS
OBSERVING SITE MAR 07 RANK YEAR BEGAN
FORT MYERS/PAGE FIELD 4.03 20TH 1.29/1949 1902
ARCHBOLD BIO STN 4.66 5TH 3.86/1971 1969
TARPON SPRINGS SWG PLT 5.59 6TH 3.27/1907 1892
PUNTA GORDA/CHARLOTTE CO 6.34 9TH 2.62/1974 1965
AVON PARK 2 W 6.39 16TH 1.13/1907 1892
SARASOTA-BRADENTON INTL 6.41 7TH 2.22/1976 1948
VENICE 7.09 10TH 3.85/1976 1955
INVERNESS 3 SE 9.00 12TH 4.50/1956 1948
LAKELAND LINDER 9.07 27TH 3.90/1935 1915
PLANT CITY 9.19 32ND 1.43/1907 1893
ST PETE/ALBERT WHITTED 9.27 27TH 2.57/1939 1914
ST. LEO 9.81 27TH 2.26/1907 1895
TAMPA INTL 10.05 51ST 1.97/1907 1890
LAKE WALES 10.10 23RD 3.78/1976 1935
BROOKSVILLE/CHIN HILL 10.50 34TH 4.57/1945 1892
CHIEFLAND 5 SE 16.76 19TH 8.47/2002 1956
-------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE 3: THE TABLE BELOW LIST THE CURRENT MARCH TOTAL RAINFALL IN
INCHES AND WHAT RANK THIS IS, AS WELL AS THE DRIEST MARCH
AND WHAT YEAR IT OCCURRED.
RAINFALL YEAR
TOTAL DRIEST/ RECORDS
OBSERVING SITE MARCH 07 RANK YEAR BEGAN
PUNTA GORDA/CHARLOTTE CO 0.09 1ST 0.01/2007 1965
FORT MYERS/PAGE FIELD 0.13 TIED 8TH 0.00/1935 1902
SARASOTA-BRADENTON INTL 0.28 2ND 0.26/1956 1948
LAKE WALES 0.44 6TH 0.20/2006 1935
PLANT CITY 0.53 11TH 0.00/1908 1893
& 1907
VENICE 0.60 10TH 0.10/1956 1955
ST PETE/ALBERT WHITTED 0.63 13TH 0.03/1956 1914
ARCHBOLD BIO STN 0.66 4TH 0.05/1974 1969
LAKELAND LINDER 0.67 5TH 0.22/2006 1915
& 1916
TARPON SPRINGS SWG PLT 0.75 13TH 0.00/1907 1892
AVON PARK 2 W 0.85 20TH 0.02/1908 1892
TAMPA INTL 0.92 22ND TRACE/2006 1890
& 1907
CHIEFLAND 5 SE 0.95 3RD 0.06/2006 1956
ST. LEO 1.07 19TH 0.00/1907 1895
BROOKSVILLE/CHIN HILL 1.09 16TH 0.00/2006 1892
& 1956
INVERNESS 3 SE 1.50 12TH 0.00/1956 1948
-------------------------------------------------------------
UNFORTUNATELY WE ARE HEADING INTO APRIL AND EARLY MAY WHICH IS
USUALLY ONE OF THE DRIEST TIMES OF THE YEAR WITH NUMEROUS DAYS
HAVING HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S, EVEN SOME LOWER 90S, ALONG WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT. THIS COMBINED WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE LAST FIVE MONTHS ALREADY LESS THAN 50
PERCENT OF NORMAL IN MANY LOCATIONS MAY BE SETTING THE STAGE FOR AN
ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER SEASON, WHICH USUALLY BEGINS IN APRIL AND
CONTINUES UNTIL THE SUMMER THUNDERSTORM SEASON BEGINS IN LATE MAY OR
EARLY JUNE. THIS IS FURTHER SUPPORTED BY THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT
INDEX (KBDI) WHICH INDICATES VALUES OVER 500 ACROSS MOST OF WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA, WITH EVEN A LARGE PORTION OF LEE
COUNTY OVER 700.
FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI) VISIT
THE FLORIDA DIVISION OF FORESTRY WEBSITE AT THE FOLLOWING ADDRESS:
HTTP://FLAME.FL-DOF.COM/FIRE_WEATHER/KBDI/INDEX.HTML AND FOR MORE
CLIMATE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT THE FOLLOWING ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAMPABAY AND THEN CLICK ON THE LOCAL CLIMATE
LINK ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE PAGE.
$$
PRC
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Yeah, I suspect we'll all be feeling the pinch in April and probably nearly all of May.
All it takes is one good stalled front to put a dent in the drought. Never seems to happen much anymore, though. Fronts either seem to want to blast through, or dissipate and lose identity as they try to sag down the state.
All it takes is one good stalled front to put a dent in the drought. Never seems to happen much anymore, though. Fronts either seem to want to blast through, or dissipate and lose identity as they try to sag down the state.
0 likes
ESFMFL
FLZ063-066>075-310000-
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1115 AM EDT THU MAR 29 2007
...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AND FAR NORTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY...
...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...
MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA HAS RECEIVED LESS THAN ONE INCH OF RAIN DURING
THE MONTH OF MARCH...EXCEPT FOR PARTS OF MIAMI DADE COUNTY WHERE BETWEEN
1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN. MOST OF THE RAINY SEASON OF 2006 AND THE
CURRENT DRY SEASON OF 2006-2007 HAS BEEN QUITE DRY OVER SOUTH FLORIDA.
THESE DRY CONDITIONS OVER AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME HAS RESULTED IN
LARGE RAINFALL DEFICITS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
HERE ARE SOME RAINFALL TOTALS...NORMALS...AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL
FOR SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THE DRY SEASON OF 2006-2007 FOR THE 15 MONTH
PERIOD FROM JANUARY 1, 2006 TO MARCH 28, 2007.
AIRPORTS DRY SEASON : DRY SEASON : 15 MONTH : 15 MONTH TOTALS
2007 DEPARTURES TOTALS DEPARTURES
MIAMI INTERNATIONAL : 10.11 : -1.52 : 69.54 : 4.88
FORT LAUDERDALE INTERNATIONAL : 9.02 : -3.93 : 52.92 : -17.01
PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL : 17.44 : 1.27 : 56.06 : -14.75
NAPLES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT : 2.08 : -7.38 : 51.40 : -6.44
SECONDARY OBSERVATION SITES
IMMOKALEE : 5.69 : -4.34 : 45.38 : -15.15
DEVILS GARDEN : 4.95 : -5.95 : 45.99 : -14.59
CLEWISTON : 3.98 : -6.86 : 38.83 : -18.88
BELLE GLADE : 3.99 : -6.79 : 37.99 : -19.83
FLAMINGO RANGER STATION : 7.28 : -5.02 : 48.66 : -11.41
MIAMI BEACH : 8.03 : -2.13 : 62.48 : 6.89
THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX REMAINS IN THE 550 TO 650 RANGE
ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...EXCEPT FOR GLADES COUNTY WHERE IT IS IN
THE 700 TO 750 RANGE. THIS INDICATES AN HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTH FLORIDA. WELLS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ARE RUNNING AT 10 TO 30 PERCENT
OF NORMAL LEVELS...EXCEPT FOR THE EAST COAST AREAS WHERE THEY REMAIN
AT NORMAL LEVELS. UNDERGROUND RESERVOIRS ARE AT ADEQUATE LEVELS ACROSS
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA.
DUE TO THE PROLONGED DRY CONDITIONS...THE LEVEL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAS
FALLEN TO AROUND 10.5 FEET. THIS IS ABOUT 4 FEET BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. THE SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT HAS KEPT THE
WATER RESTRICTION USAGE TO 30 PERCENT FOR THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA...WITH
THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS UNDER A GENERAL WATER RESTRICTION.
AS A RESULT...THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA AND FAR NORTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY
ARE NOW IN A SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITION STATUS (D2)...WHILE THE REST OF
SOUTH FLORIDA REMAINS IN A MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITION STATUS (D1).
THE FORECAST FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK IS FOR LOW PROBABILITIES OF RAIN DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING
THE AREA.
THE APRIL PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER IS
FOR A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS
WILL LIKELY AGGRAVATE THE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.
It looks like this will be like 1998 fire season.
FLZ063-066>075-310000-
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1115 AM EDT THU MAR 29 2007
...SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AND FAR NORTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY...
...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...
MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA HAS RECEIVED LESS THAN ONE INCH OF RAIN DURING
THE MONTH OF MARCH...EXCEPT FOR PARTS OF MIAMI DADE COUNTY WHERE BETWEEN
1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN. MOST OF THE RAINY SEASON OF 2006 AND THE
CURRENT DRY SEASON OF 2006-2007 HAS BEEN QUITE DRY OVER SOUTH FLORIDA.
THESE DRY CONDITIONS OVER AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME HAS RESULTED IN
LARGE RAINFALL DEFICITS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
HERE ARE SOME RAINFALL TOTALS...NORMALS...AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL
FOR SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THE DRY SEASON OF 2006-2007 FOR THE 15 MONTH
PERIOD FROM JANUARY 1, 2006 TO MARCH 28, 2007.
AIRPORTS DRY SEASON : DRY SEASON : 15 MONTH : 15 MONTH TOTALS
2007 DEPARTURES TOTALS DEPARTURES
MIAMI INTERNATIONAL : 10.11 : -1.52 : 69.54 : 4.88
FORT LAUDERDALE INTERNATIONAL : 9.02 : -3.93 : 52.92 : -17.01
PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL : 17.44 : 1.27 : 56.06 : -14.75
NAPLES MUNICIPAL AIRPORT : 2.08 : -7.38 : 51.40 : -6.44
SECONDARY OBSERVATION SITES
IMMOKALEE : 5.69 : -4.34 : 45.38 : -15.15
DEVILS GARDEN : 4.95 : -5.95 : 45.99 : -14.59
CLEWISTON : 3.98 : -6.86 : 38.83 : -18.88
BELLE GLADE : 3.99 : -6.79 : 37.99 : -19.83
FLAMINGO RANGER STATION : 7.28 : -5.02 : 48.66 : -11.41
MIAMI BEACH : 8.03 : -2.13 : 62.48 : 6.89
THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX REMAINS IN THE 550 TO 650 RANGE
ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...EXCEPT FOR GLADES COUNTY WHERE IT IS IN
THE 700 TO 750 RANGE. THIS INDICATES AN HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTH FLORIDA. WELLS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ARE RUNNING AT 10 TO 30 PERCENT
OF NORMAL LEVELS...EXCEPT FOR THE EAST COAST AREAS WHERE THEY REMAIN
AT NORMAL LEVELS. UNDERGROUND RESERVOIRS ARE AT ADEQUATE LEVELS ACROSS
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA.
DUE TO THE PROLONGED DRY CONDITIONS...THE LEVEL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAS
FALLEN TO AROUND 10.5 FEET. THIS IS ABOUT 4 FEET BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. THE SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT HAS KEPT THE
WATER RESTRICTION USAGE TO 30 PERCENT FOR THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA...WITH
THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS UNDER A GENERAL WATER RESTRICTION.
AS A RESULT...THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA AND FAR NORTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY
ARE NOW IN A SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITION STATUS (D2)...WHILE THE REST OF
SOUTH FLORIDA REMAINS IN A MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITION STATUS (D1).
THE FORECAST FOR MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK IS FOR LOW PROBABILITIES OF RAIN DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING
THE AREA.
THE APRIL PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER IS
FOR A CONTINUATION OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS
WILL LIKELY AGGRAVATE THE DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.
It looks like this will be like 1998 fire season.
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Authorities on Monday will consider requiring harsher water restrictions across South Florida with two months to go in what has become a near-record dry season.
Drought deepens across state
Conservation enforcement may become more stringent
By JOEL MORONEY
jmoroney@news-press.com
Originally posted on April 01, 2007
"In just the past week, the water shortage situation has grown considerably more grave," said Carol Ann Wehle, executive director of the South Florida Water Management District in announcing the meeting to consider stiffening restrictions.
"We could potentially be facing a critical water shortage situation the likes of which our residents have never experienced," Wehle said.
Lee and Glades counties are the two driest areas of the state in terms of fire danger, according to the Florida Division of Forestry.
The National Weather service calls for little or no rain in the next 10 days with daily highs in the mid to upper 80s.
"It doesn't really look promising," said meteorologist Joel Rothfuss in Miami. "We are in a long-term drought (with) a very meager chance of rain."
Rothfuss said the next 30 to 60 days are likely to be drier than normal.
"The fire danger is really high," Rothfuss said. "We have a lot of dead fuel out there. It is really dangerous and people need to exercise extreme caution."
However, year-around conservation efforts on this coast have helped maintain an adequate water supply for now, according Kurt Harclerode, operations manager for the Lee County Division of Natural Resources.
He said said Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Bonita Springs and other cities and unincorporated areas could see more enforcement of current lawn-watering and other water restrictions.
"We need people to do there part and conserve," Harclerode said. "We'll continue to monitor and we'll be ready to have additional enforcement if that's necessary."
The water district had declared a moderate water shortage for the entire lower east coast, where the aim is to conserve 15 percent of water use, primarily through agricultural restrictions.
A severe water shortage affects the agricultural area around Lake Okeechobee, stretching west along the Caloosahatchee into Lee County, where the aim is to lower water usage 30 percent.
Water managers will consider declaring extreme water shortages for those areas at Monday's meeting.
Hot and Dry
Wehle said spring forecasts show little or no relief in sight — and the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center marks South Florida as one of three areas in the country where droughts are expected to persist or intensify.
The 2.61 inches of rain reported by the water district so far this year makes it the driest start to the year since 1976, according to statistics from the Florida State University's climate center.
"We want residents to be mindful of the severity of this shortage and adhere to the water restrictions," Wehle said. "Because rainfall is the primary source for freshwater supply ... conservation practices will help stretch dwindling water supplies."
Shrinking supply
Water in lake Okeechobee has dropped at a rate of 3 inches a week this month to below 10.5 feet, more than 4 feet below where it sat last year at this time and the sixth-lowest level since modern recordkeeping began in the 1930s.
At 10.2 feet the gravity system needed to feed the surrounding areas with water for agriculture and drinking no longer functions.
Water managers are installing 14 enormous submersible pumps — each capable of filling 4,300 swimming pools a day — to draw the water in the lake to about 7 feet, if necessary, to feed the area's water needs.
As the lake gets shallow, its evaporation rate becomes a bigger concern as water warms and disappears at a rate of about 1.5 million gallons a minute, the Army Corps of Engineers has estimated.
The water district anticipates the lake dropping below 9.5 feet — it's second-lowest level in history.
During rainy season, when water is purged to relieve pressure on the dike protecting surrounding areas, it can pump 2 billion gallons a day into rivers and channels before the water level drops an inch.
Those high-volume releases have been blamed for harming the health of the Caloosahatchee and St. Lucie rivers.
The lake hit its historic low of 8.97 feet in May 2001 — before then it had been more than 20 years since it dropped below its current level.
"It's chaos on the East Coast now that the district has put them on restrictions," Harclerode said. "We are a little more used to it but conditions are very dry right now and we will be watching water levels."
http://www.news-press.com/apps/pbcs.dll ... 10409/1075
Come rainy season this can change radicaly.. last year we were dry like every year we are just prior to rainy season and we then had 2 months of flooding rains.. There are always some pockets with less or more.
Drought deepens across state
Conservation enforcement may become more stringent
By JOEL MORONEY
jmoroney@news-press.com
Originally posted on April 01, 2007
"In just the past week, the water shortage situation has grown considerably more grave," said Carol Ann Wehle, executive director of the South Florida Water Management District in announcing the meeting to consider stiffening restrictions.
"We could potentially be facing a critical water shortage situation the likes of which our residents have never experienced," Wehle said.
Lee and Glades counties are the two driest areas of the state in terms of fire danger, according to the Florida Division of Forestry.
The National Weather service calls for little or no rain in the next 10 days with daily highs in the mid to upper 80s.
"It doesn't really look promising," said meteorologist Joel Rothfuss in Miami. "We are in a long-term drought (with) a very meager chance of rain."
Rothfuss said the next 30 to 60 days are likely to be drier than normal.
"The fire danger is really high," Rothfuss said. "We have a lot of dead fuel out there. It is really dangerous and people need to exercise extreme caution."
However, year-around conservation efforts on this coast have helped maintain an adequate water supply for now, according Kurt Harclerode, operations manager for the Lee County Division of Natural Resources.
He said said Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Bonita Springs and other cities and unincorporated areas could see more enforcement of current lawn-watering and other water restrictions.
"We need people to do there part and conserve," Harclerode said. "We'll continue to monitor and we'll be ready to have additional enforcement if that's necessary."
The water district had declared a moderate water shortage for the entire lower east coast, where the aim is to conserve 15 percent of water use, primarily through agricultural restrictions.
A severe water shortage affects the agricultural area around Lake Okeechobee, stretching west along the Caloosahatchee into Lee County, where the aim is to lower water usage 30 percent.
Water managers will consider declaring extreme water shortages for those areas at Monday's meeting.
Hot and Dry
Wehle said spring forecasts show little or no relief in sight — and the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center marks South Florida as one of three areas in the country where droughts are expected to persist or intensify.
The 2.61 inches of rain reported by the water district so far this year makes it the driest start to the year since 1976, according to statistics from the Florida State University's climate center.
"We want residents to be mindful of the severity of this shortage and adhere to the water restrictions," Wehle said. "Because rainfall is the primary source for freshwater supply ... conservation practices will help stretch dwindling water supplies."
Shrinking supply
Water in lake Okeechobee has dropped at a rate of 3 inches a week this month to below 10.5 feet, more than 4 feet below where it sat last year at this time and the sixth-lowest level since modern recordkeeping began in the 1930s.
At 10.2 feet the gravity system needed to feed the surrounding areas with water for agriculture and drinking no longer functions.
Water managers are installing 14 enormous submersible pumps — each capable of filling 4,300 swimming pools a day — to draw the water in the lake to about 7 feet, if necessary, to feed the area's water needs.
As the lake gets shallow, its evaporation rate becomes a bigger concern as water warms and disappears at a rate of about 1.5 million gallons a minute, the Army Corps of Engineers has estimated.
The water district anticipates the lake dropping below 9.5 feet — it's second-lowest level in history.
During rainy season, when water is purged to relieve pressure on the dike protecting surrounding areas, it can pump 2 billion gallons a day into rivers and channels before the water level drops an inch.
Those high-volume releases have been blamed for harming the health of the Caloosahatchee and St. Lucie rivers.
The lake hit its historic low of 8.97 feet in May 2001 — before then it had been more than 20 years since it dropped below its current level.
"It's chaos on the East Coast now that the district has put them on restrictions," Harclerode said. "We are a little more used to it but conditions are very dry right now and we will be watching water levels."
http://www.news-press.com/apps/pbcs.dll ... 10409/1075
Come rainy season this can change radicaly.. last year we were dry like every year we are just prior to rainy season and we then had 2 months of flooding rains.. There are always some pockets with less or more.
0 likes
000
NOUS42 KMFL 021627 CCA
PNSMFL
FLZ063-066>075-030100-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED SPACING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1225 PM EDT MON APR 2 2007
...DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION AND PALM BEACH...
VERY DRY WEATHER CONTINUED THROUGH MARCH ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AND PALM BEACH REGIONS OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA.
AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, ONLY 0.36 INCH OF RAIN FELL
DURING MARCH 2007. THIS IS THE 6TH DRIEST MARCH AT PALM BEACH
SINCE 1888. THE SIX DRIEST MARCH RAINFALL TOTALS INCLUDE
0.001907, 1922
0.121938
0.331956
0.351949
0.362007
IN ADDITION, THE YEAR 2007 HAS BEEN EXCEPTIONALLY DRY ACROSS PALM
BEACH COUNTY SO FAR. THE 3-MONTH TOTAL RAIN FOR JANUARY, FEBRUARY
AND MARCH AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT OF 1.95 INCHES IS
THE 4TH DRIEST THREE MONTH TOTAL RAIN SINCE 1888. THE FOUR DRIEST
JANUARY, FEBRUARY AND MARCH 3-MONTH TOTALS INCLUDE
1.691939
1.731956
1.781949
1.952007
AT NAPLES REGIONAL AIRPORT ONLY 0.26 INCH OF RAIN FELL DURING
MARCH 2007. THIS IS THE 12TH DRIEST MARCH AT NAPLES SINCE 1943 NOT
INCLUDING 1950 AND 1951 WHEN DATA IS NOT AVAILABLE. THE 12 DRIEST
MARCH RAINFALL TOTALS INCLUDE
0.001945,1974
0.051956,1977
0.082006
0.111971
0.131963
0.152004
0.171949
0.221976
0.231946
0.262007
IN ADDITION, THE YEAR 2007 HAS BEEN EXCEPTIONALLY DRY ACROSS THE
NAPLES AREA SO FAR. THE 3-MONTH TOTAL RAIN FOR JANUARY, FEBRUARY
AND MARCH AT NAPLES REGIONAL AIRPORT OF 1.22 INCHES IS THE 4TH
DRIEST THREE MONTH TOTAL RAIN SINCE 1943 NOT INCLUDING 1950 AND
1951. THE FOUR DRIEST JANUARY, FEBRUARY AND MARCH 3-MONTH TOTALS
INCLUDE
0.171949
0.531974
1.061975
1.222007
OTHER MARCH AND 3-MONTH TOTALS FOR LOCATIONS ACROSS THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE AND SOUTHWEST GULF COAST AREAS INCLUDE
STATION MARCH RAIN 3-MONTH RAIN JAN FEB MAR
--------------------------------------------------------
MOORE HAVEN 0.22 1.60
CANAL POINT 0.19 1.21
DEVILS GARDEN 0.45 1.91
IMMOKALEE 0.38 1.98
ORTONA 0.37 1.38
LOXAHATCHEE 0.03 1.56
FARTHER SOUTH, NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL HAS FALLEN ACROSS BROWARD,
MIAMI- DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. AROUND 5 TO 6 INCHES HAS
FALLEN ACROSS MIAMI- DADE COUNTY INCLUDING 5.38 INCHES AT MIAMI
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, 4.83 INCHES AT HOMESTEAD, 5.40 INCHES AT
MIAMI BEACH AND 5.74 INCHES AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
NEAR SWEETWATER.
IN BROWARD COUNTY, FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN INCLUDING
5.42 INCHES AT FORT LAUDERDALE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, 6.45 INCHES
AT HOLLYWOOD, AND 4.04 AT FORT LAUDERDALE EXECUTIVE AIRPORT.
IN MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY, AROUND 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
INCLUDING 3.23 INCHES AT FLAMINGO.
$$
NOUS42 KMFL 021627 CCA
PNSMFL
FLZ063-066>075-030100-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED SPACING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1225 PM EDT MON APR 2 2007
...DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION AND PALM BEACH...
VERY DRY WEATHER CONTINUED THROUGH MARCH ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AND PALM BEACH REGIONS OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA.
AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, ONLY 0.36 INCH OF RAIN FELL
DURING MARCH 2007. THIS IS THE 6TH DRIEST MARCH AT PALM BEACH
SINCE 1888. THE SIX DRIEST MARCH RAINFALL TOTALS INCLUDE
0.001907, 1922
0.121938
0.331956
0.351949
0.362007
IN ADDITION, THE YEAR 2007 HAS BEEN EXCEPTIONALLY DRY ACROSS PALM
BEACH COUNTY SO FAR. THE 3-MONTH TOTAL RAIN FOR JANUARY, FEBRUARY
AND MARCH AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT OF 1.95 INCHES IS
THE 4TH DRIEST THREE MONTH TOTAL RAIN SINCE 1888. THE FOUR DRIEST
JANUARY, FEBRUARY AND MARCH 3-MONTH TOTALS INCLUDE
1.691939
1.731956
1.781949
1.952007
AT NAPLES REGIONAL AIRPORT ONLY 0.26 INCH OF RAIN FELL DURING
MARCH 2007. THIS IS THE 12TH DRIEST MARCH AT NAPLES SINCE 1943 NOT
INCLUDING 1950 AND 1951 WHEN DATA IS NOT AVAILABLE. THE 12 DRIEST
MARCH RAINFALL TOTALS INCLUDE
0.001945,1974
0.051956,1977
0.082006
0.111971
0.131963
0.152004
0.171949
0.221976
0.231946
0.262007
IN ADDITION, THE YEAR 2007 HAS BEEN EXCEPTIONALLY DRY ACROSS THE
NAPLES AREA SO FAR. THE 3-MONTH TOTAL RAIN FOR JANUARY, FEBRUARY
AND MARCH AT NAPLES REGIONAL AIRPORT OF 1.22 INCHES IS THE 4TH
DRIEST THREE MONTH TOTAL RAIN SINCE 1943 NOT INCLUDING 1950 AND
1951. THE FOUR DRIEST JANUARY, FEBRUARY AND MARCH 3-MONTH TOTALS
INCLUDE
0.171949
0.531974
1.061975
1.222007
OTHER MARCH AND 3-MONTH TOTALS FOR LOCATIONS ACROSS THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE AND SOUTHWEST GULF COAST AREAS INCLUDE
STATION MARCH RAIN 3-MONTH RAIN JAN FEB MAR
--------------------------------------------------------
MOORE HAVEN 0.22 1.60
CANAL POINT 0.19 1.21
DEVILS GARDEN 0.45 1.91
IMMOKALEE 0.38 1.98
ORTONA 0.37 1.38
LOXAHATCHEE 0.03 1.56
FARTHER SOUTH, NEAR NORMAL RAINFALL HAS FALLEN ACROSS BROWARD,
MIAMI- DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. AROUND 5 TO 6 INCHES HAS
FALLEN ACROSS MIAMI- DADE COUNTY INCLUDING 5.38 INCHES AT MIAMI
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, 4.83 INCHES AT HOMESTEAD, 5.40 INCHES AT
MIAMI BEACH AND 5.74 INCHES AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
NEAR SWEETWATER.
IN BROWARD COUNTY, FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN INCLUDING
5.42 INCHES AT FORT LAUDERDALE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, 6.45 INCHES
AT HOLLYWOOD, AND 4.04 AT FORT LAUDERDALE EXECUTIVE AIRPORT.
IN MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY, AROUND 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
INCLUDING 3.23 INCHES AT FLAMINGO.
$$
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-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
You might wanna amend the title to "Big changes"
There was rain on the radar today, and we "expect" rain for the first time in a month. This front will cool us off by 10-15 degrees. I'm suprised we're even getting a front in april. There are now 3 chance of rain this week, small chances, but still its rain. not jumping to conclusions, but could this be our break into the rainy season?
There was rain on the radar today, and we "expect" rain for the first time in a month. This front will cool us off by 10-15 degrees. I'm suprised we're even getting a front in april. There are now 3 chance of rain this week, small chances, but still its rain. not jumping to conclusions, but could this be our break into the rainy season?
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- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23
- Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 4:48 pm
- Location: South Florida
- Contact:
The current ongoing drought here in South Florida continues to get worst each day. Here is a series of photo's and some video showing how bad it's getting.
http://stormvideographer.com/blog/2007/ ... and-video/
Jeff Gammons
http://www.stormvideographer.com/blog/
http://stormvideographer.com/blog/2007/ ... and-video/
Jeff Gammons
http://www.stormvideographer.com/blog/
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Well, as much as I hate to say this, I am actually glad my dishwasher isnt hooked up.(remodeling our kitchen, but waiting for IKEA to open this summer in Sunrise). I'll be using the gray water from my dishwashing (yes I and frugal with w/ how I wash my dishes:)and use it to water my fruit trees. My grass I could care less about. Thank goodness I dont have an HOA.
And how bout that new golf course down in Boca that's using 30,000,000 gallons of DRINKING WATER a month. One day a week watering, here we come..............
Barb
And how bout that new golf course down in Boca that's using 30,000,000 gallons of DRINKING WATER a month. One day a week watering, here we come..............
Barb
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bosag wrote:Yup, they passed that ruling (golf course) the same day we got the 2 day a week water restrictions. Makes sense huh?
Barb
The South Florida Water Management District approved the permits for water usage for the golf course. The course will adhere to the restrictions but the approval for this course by the county was misguided in my opinion.
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