Possible severe weather once again for MS

[MississippiHurricane]

Current HWO: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jan/cgi-bin/cgi ... GH%20SEVEN

Best chance looks to be late-week. There is a chance mid-week but looks to be weaker than the chance for later in the week.

FYI: If you listen to the Jackson transmitter, (KIH-38) they just added a coastal marine forecast for the coast of ms. They have had it for the Hattiesburg and Mccomb trasmitters. I like this new product personally and there are companies in the Jackson area that head to the coast daily for seafood.

[HarlequinBoy]

I'm watching the Friday/Saturday event with interest.

Memphis's AFD was very interesting for the potential for tornadic supercells on Friday afternoon into Friday evening.

[HarlequinBoy]

After reading their latest AFD they have backed off somewhat on the tornado threat at the moment, due to the timing of the storm.

But still indicate a severe potential as do surrounding offices.

It still looks interesting.

[breeze]

I'm watching this system!

~Annette~


ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 100909
SPC AC 100909

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0409 AM CDT TUE APR 10 2007

VALID 131200Z - 181200Z

...SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM FRI-13 APR THROUGH SUN-15
APR FROM ERN PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS EWD ACROSS THE LWR MS/TN RVR
VLYS AND THE SERN STATES...

...DISCUSSION...
POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW ARRIVING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS ON FRI THE
13TH WILL DEAMPLIFY SOMEWHAT AND TRACK INTO THE MIDWEST AND LWR MS
VLY BY SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN BECOME ENERGIZED AGAIN
OVER THE MID-OH VLY AS IT PHASES WITH THE POLAR STREAM ON SUNDAY
WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET PUNCHING EWD ACROSS THE DEEP S AND
SERN STATES. OTHERWISE...SHORT WAVE LENGTHS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND AS AN UPSTREAM IMPULSE QUICKLY MOVES INTO THE DESERT SW BY
SUNDAY-MONDAY.

AT THE SFC...THE LOW ASSOCD WITH THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM
CNTRL OK MIDDAY FRI NEWD TO THE LWR OH VLY BY SATURDAY EVE THEN INTO
THE MID-OH VLY BY EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE REDEVELOPING NEAR THE DELMARVA
AREA SUNDAY AFTN. A COLD FRONT TRAILING THE LOW WILL SWEEP EWD FROM
THE SRN PLAINS TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND SERN STATES BY THE END OF
THE WEEKEND.

GULF MOISTURE WILL SURGE NWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...LWR MS VLY AND
PARTS OF THE DEEP S IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. STRONG FORCING
ALOFT AND STRENGTHENING DRYLINE/FRONT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR TSTMS TO
DEVELOP ACROSS CNTRL/ERN OK AND ERN TX FRI AFTN...EVENTUALLY MOVING
DOWNSTREAM INTO THE MID-SOUTH OVERNIGHT. STRONGEST CROSS-OVER
BETWEEN THE LLJ AND WSWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL OCCUR FRI EVENING OVER
AR...E TX AND LA. HERE...A MORE RICH SOURCE OF GULF MOISTURE SHOULD
HAVE ADVECTED NWD FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT SUPERCELLS WITH
TORNADOES. OTHERWISE...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
LIKELY.

AS THE TROUGH GAINS POSITIVE TILT...THE FLOW DOWNSTREAM WILL BACK TO
SWLY AND LIKELY RESULT IN AN INCREASINGLY LINEAR EVOLUTION TO THE
TSTMS. STRONG FLOW ALOFT...HOWEVER...AND AT LEAST MODEST MOISTURE
RETURN SHOULD RESULT IN ORGANIZED STORMS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/ WITH
DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL AND ISOLD TORNADOES ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH...DEEP
SOUTH AND SERN STATES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. IN FACT...GIVEN A
STRENGTHENING UPPER JET DURING THE WEEKEND ACROSS THE DEEP S/SERN
STATES...A SLIGHTLY HIGHER THREAT FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT STORMS MAY
EVOLVE ACROSS SRN GA AND NRN FL BY SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY.
MEANWHILE...NRN PARTS OF THE LINE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONGEST
FORCING ALOFT...BUT INSTABILITY WILL BE LESS ACROSS THE OH VLY
REGION...MITIGATING WIDESPREAD SVR WEATHER.

..RACY.. 04/10/2007


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[MississippiHurricane]

Its a bit "Green" outside here. Were under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 1pm and Im currently under a Severe thunderstorm warning with Tornado Warings not far from me