World's Worst Case Scenario

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Ptarmigan
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World's Worst Case Scenario

#1 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:25 am

I wonder what area is the worst place for a hurricane to hit worldwide, since we know in America, the worst case scenarios are, New York, New Orleans, Miami, and Houston. I have heard Tokyo and Hong Kong being the worst case scenario for a typhoon hitting those cities.
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#2 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:26 am

Bangladesh. No doubt about it. Overpopulation rampant and almost all of the country is near sea level. A Cat 5 cyclone nowadays could kill millions of people.

Now in terms of economic impact, Hong Kong, Tokyo and New York would be the worst.
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#3 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Thu Apr 12, 2007 2:22 am

Definitiel Bangladesh in terms of threat to human life. Economically, in the typhoon belt I would also including Shanghai with Hong Kong and Tokyo.
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#4 Postby Aslkahuna » Thu Apr 12, 2007 3:38 am

Just look at the 1970 Bengali Cyclone to see the wrose case scenario for human toll in action.

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#5 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Apr 12, 2007 5:30 am

Hasnt Honk Kong already been hit numerous times?

you forgot tampa bay on the list of america "hot spots" of doom.
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#6 Postby AussieMark » Thu Apr 12, 2007 6:15 am

Economically Shanghai would have to be a catastrophe wouldn't it?
along with Tokyo
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#7 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Thu Apr 12, 2007 11:30 am

It's only a matter of time until it happens but a major strike on Shanghai would be catastrophic - the city would be impossible to evacuate. The financial heart of the city lies in Pudong which used to be marsh land and is barely above sea level.

If Saomai had made landfall 150 - 200 miles further north it would have been possibley the most costly (economicaly) natural disaster in China for decades!
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#8 Postby Coredesat » Thu Apr 12, 2007 5:47 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:Bangladesh. No doubt about it. Overpopulation rampant and almost all of the country is near sea level. A Cat 5 cyclone nowadays could kill millions of people.


This is why I was extremely concerned about Mala before it made landfall in Myanmar instead.
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#9 Postby AussieMark » Thu Apr 12, 2007 7:15 pm

I remember the super cyclone in late october 1999 in the bay of bengal.

I was worried about the Ganges delta. but it hit Orissa state in India instead killing around 10,000 people
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#10 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Apr 12, 2007 7:21 pm

fact789 wrote:Hasnt Honk Kong already been hit numerous times?

you forgot tampa bay on the list of america "hot spots" of doom.


Forgot about it.
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#11 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Thu Apr 12, 2007 10:20 pm

A really bad situation would be a powerful typhoon striking the Pearl River delta region in Southern China. Not only would this affect Hong Kong and it's mainland trading neighbour Shenzhen, Macau would be hit along with Zhuhai (on the boarder.) If it went further up the delta Guangzhou (Canton), one of largest cities in S China would also badly effected!
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#12 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Apr 12, 2007 10:38 pm

What about the situation Typhoon Nina caused in 1975? When China blew up a bunch of dams because of too much flooding?
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#13 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Apr 13, 2007 1:03 am

HurricaneBill wrote:What about the situation Typhoon Nina caused in 1975? When China blew up a bunch of dams because of too much flooding?


Typhoon Nina disaster killed at least 200,000. 40 inches of rain fell in the affected areas. It was the Banqiao Dam that caused death and destruction. It came a year before the 1976 earthquake in northern China that claimed 250,000 to 750,000 lives. Nina was a supertyphoon with 160 mph winds. It was large.
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#14 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 13, 2007 9:51 am

wxmann_91 wrote:Bangladesh. No doubt about it. Overpopulation rampant and almost all of the country is near sea level. A Cat 5 cyclone nowadays could kill millions of people.

Now in terms of economic impact, Hong Kong, Tokyo and New York would be the worst.


Definitely. If a Katrina-type storm, with its large size and enormous storm surge, hit western Bangladesh, it could kill more people than there were directly affected by Katrina!
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#15 Postby chris_fit » Fri Apr 13, 2007 10:18 am

I saw an episode on the Discovery Channel and also Derrek Ortt mentioned this before.... A weak stalled Tropical storm over the Canary islands, affecting the island of La Palma. All the heavy rain would cause the already slowly falling apart island to "break apart" and slide into the ocean, producing a mega tsunami traveling at hundreds of miles per hour, hundreds feets high, stricking the entire Atlantic seaboard, destroying everything in it's path with little to no warning.

I don't think it can get worse than that.

Image
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#16 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Apr 13, 2007 11:16 am

if the La Palma scenario were to occur, and the chances are very small and may need a concurrent earthquake, nobody would expect it. As I said before, the unexpected s the worst case

Miami may be somewhat protected thanks to the Bahamas, though it would still be as bad as a major hurricane tidal surge. Therest of the coast, bye bye and nobody would be prepared
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#17 Postby rainydaze » Fri Apr 27, 2007 6:41 pm

Derek, what could we do to prepare here in SoFla if we wanted to?
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#18 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Apr 27, 2007 7:18 pm

rainydaze wrote:Derek, what could we do to prepare here in SoFla if we wanted to?


run for the hills is all you can do in a tsunami. at least go insland a mile or 2.
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#19 Postby flightwxman » Fri Apr 27, 2007 8:07 pm

I would Hate to live in Bermuda in that situation
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#20 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat Apr 28, 2007 9:05 am

I would hate to be in NYC in that situation. That situation would be worse than the Tsunami of 2004! :eek: Good thing the chances are very small.
Last edited by HurricaneHunter914 on Sat Apr 28, 2007 4:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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