Weekend Nor'Easter: could it go subtropical or tropical?

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CrazyC83
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Weekend Nor'Easter: could it go subtropical or tropical?

#1 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 13, 2007 9:45 am

Is there any chance of such happening?
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#2 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Apr 13, 2007 11:07 am

Eh... GFS says me no think so.

[web]http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/archive/07041306/69.phase1.zoom.png[/web]
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#3 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Apr 13, 2007 11:14 am

Although I would look more closely at the current synoptics (instead of the models), this is a cold-core system. I don't see any synoptic indicators for warm-core cyclogenesis. As the surface low generates and moves offshore, the mean flow is not conducive for tropical or subtropical development. With the mid-level tropospheric trough enhancing nontropical genesis, this will be a signature coastal storm event.
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#4 Postby boca » Fri Apr 13, 2007 11:39 am

Even so aren't the water temps off New Jersey in the upper 40's or 50's. I think a cold core system all the way.
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#5 Postby Category 5 » Sat Apr 14, 2007 12:13 pm

boca wrote:Even so aren't the water temps off New Jersey in the upper 40's or 50's. I think a cold core system all the way.


Yep, not going to get a Hurricane up here.
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