Early flare-up ready for BOC?

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dixiebreeze
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Early flare-up ready for BOC?

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Apr 14, 2007 7:47 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Apr 14, 2007 7:57 pm

Normal land to BOC flare up. Should die down,,,also strong wind shear with maybe a weak upper low at 20/95. Wait about 2 months.
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Apr 14, 2007 8:09 pm

I know it's too early, just the first sign of action I've seen so far.
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#4 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Apr 14, 2007 9:28 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:I know it's too early, just the first sign of action I've seen so far.


I noticed the same thing before I logged in here. Exciting change of the seasons...
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MiamiensisWx

#5 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat Apr 14, 2007 9:29 pm

This is a nontropical feature. It is an outflow dominant region of thunderstorms enhanced by weak surface convergence and vigorous mid-level divergence. It's associated with the surface trough and shortwave trough extending southward from the intense surface low in the eastern CONUS and a secondary surface low over Alabama.

Tropical activity will pick up the pace down the road and in the months of August and September.
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Sat Apr 14, 2007 10:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Coredesat

#6 Postby Coredesat » Sat Apr 14, 2007 9:47 pm

The convection is strongly sheared anyway.
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Opal storm

#7 Postby Opal storm » Sat Apr 14, 2007 9:52 pm

Blob watch alert! :P
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MiamiensisWx

#8 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat Apr 14, 2007 9:53 pm

Opal storm wrote:Blob watch alert! :P

The season is a dud!
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#9 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Apr 14, 2007 9:57 pm

Sure feels tropical on the Florida west coast tonight! Waiting for that strong front to move through after midnight. Flooding forecast for our area. I predicted our first named storm for June -- just have a hunch the tropics will ramp up early this season.
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#10 Postby boca » Sat Apr 14, 2007 10:09 pm

Dixie its 81°F at 11pm here in Boca Raton with a south wind at 15mph.
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#11 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Apr 14, 2007 10:16 pm

Hey Boca, nice to talk with you again. it's just about that warm here in WC Fla. Very hot and humid and the BP has steadily dropped all day. About 1009 mb now ahead of the cold front.
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#12 Postby boca » Sat Apr 14, 2007 10:48 pm

We have are derby car races tomorrow at a local park and I said 2 days ago to have it inside because it would be a rain out. Do they listen no. Funny thing is that the one time it rained last spring was during the derby car races.
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#13 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Apr 14, 2007 10:49 pm

Coredesat wrote:The convection is strongly sheared anyway.



Too much shear! SEASON CANCEL. :lol:
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Opal storm

#14 Postby Opal storm » Sat Apr 14, 2007 10:54 pm

It does look cool though,it's been growing over the past few hours.It should fizzle overnight.

If this was July,there would be a 10 page thread about this thing right now. :lol:

Image
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#15 Postby boca » Sat Apr 14, 2007 10:58 pm

Opal you are right especially if the convection was about 50 miles north of Merida of the north coast of the Yucatan.
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#16 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Apr 14, 2007 11:53 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:
Opal storm wrote:Blob watch alert! :P

The season is a dud!


I second both those motions...
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Scorpion

#17 Postby Scorpion » Sun Apr 15, 2007 1:15 am

The only thing its missing now is an eye
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#18 Postby Jagno » Sun Apr 15, 2007 1:59 am

Opal storm wrote:It does look cool though,it's been growing over the past few hours.It should fizzle overnight.

If this was July,there would be a 10 page thread about this thing right now. :lol:



Opal; If this was here in July I'd be making reservations further north, stocking my freezer with ice and loading my evacuation trailer. LOL
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#19 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Apr 15, 2007 10:46 am

Image

As expected, the Yucatan flare-up dissipated. Florida, on the other hand, is receiving needed rain.
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#20 Postby DanKellFla » Sun Apr 15, 2007 11:42 am

Scorpion wrote:The only thing its missing now is an eye


OK,
Aye.... and the motion passes. :wink:
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