Moderate Tornado Risk and High Severe Risk Today

[Weatherfreak14]

WOW. hopefully greensburg will get a break tonite but that cell in OK may move toward KS later on tonight.

[wx247]

Keep in mind these are reports... not actual separate tornado touchdowns. That number we won't know for days. That said... quite a night!

[Category 5]

WOW. hopefully greensburg will get a break tonite but that cell in OK may move toward KS later on tonight.

They may have had one earlier. TWC reporters saw a funnel cloud earlier.

This whole thing is just a nightmare.

[HurricaneBill]

Fortunately, aside from the Greensburg tornado, no other fatalities.

[Weatherfreak14]

Here is the pic of a tornado in OK.



WWUS54 KOUN 060403
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1102 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

OKC153-060445-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0036.000000T0000Z-070506T0445Z/
WOODWARD OK-
1102 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT FOR WOODWARD
COUNTY...

AT 1102 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED A LARGE TORNADO 7 MILES
SOUTH OF SHARON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. RESIDENTS OF SOUTHERN
WOODWARD COUNTY IN THAT AREAS NEAR VICI... MUTUAL AND SHARON NEED TO
TAKE SHELTER NOW! THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION!

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE MOORELAND...MUTUAL AND SHARON.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If I had to rate this on a scale of 1-10. I would say 6. 2003 I would say 8, and May 30 2004 9. The super outbreak would get the ten. The late March outbreak this year would also get a 5-6 rating.

Whats your rating.

[Weatherfreak14]

MMM i would give this a 6 or 7 maybe a seven cuz lots of these storm are very well orginized.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I'm scared to even look at that post I made yesterday, I was not paying any thought to the season so far. Yes it has been a cold couple of months, I'm very sorry for posting that.

[brunota2003]

If I had to rate this on a scale of 1-10. I would say 6. 2003 I would say 8, and May 30 2004 9. The super outbreak would get the ten. The late March outbreak this year would also get a 5-6 rating.

Whats your rating.

Hmmm...considering there have been deaths associated with this outbreak, I'd give it a 10...but that is just me

[Windspeed]

Still a very volatile situation over night through the AM with a moderate to high risk tommorrow afternoon. This has a chance of being bigger than the 1999 outbreak. For now, I keep watching closely the area near Wichita down into the Texas Panhandle, east of the current intense line of storms. This looks very conducive for more intense super cell development in the next three to four hours.

To reintegrate how this is no where near being over.......



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0717
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NEB...MUCH OF CENTRAL KS...NWRN OK...ERN TX
PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 238...239...240...241...

VALID 060424Z - 060530Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
238...239...240...241...CONTINUES.

HIGH PLAINS N-S CONVERGENCE ZONE APPEARS TO BE TIGHTENING LATE THIS
EVENING FROM SWRN NEB...SWD INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS. LATEST SFC
ANALYSIS/RADAR DATA SUPPORT THIS WITH RECENT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE BOUNDARY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NWRN KS...AND
MORE RECENTLY FROM THE OK/TX PANHANDLES...SWWD TO NEAR LBB. AIRMASS
HAS YET TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY OVERTURNED ACROSS THIS REGION AND WITH
HIGH QUALITY STORM INFLOW AIDED BY INCREASING LLJ...IT SEEMS
REASONABLE THAT STORM COVERAGE WILL ONLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. ALTHOUGH MULTIPLE STORM MERGERS AND LINEAR-TYPE STRUCTURES
MAY EVENTUALLY EVOLVE...NUMEROUS DISCRETE SUPERCELLS HAVE YET TO
LOSE THEIR STRUCTURE WITHIN STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. TORNADO
THREAT PERSISTS...ESPECIALLY WITH SUPERCELLS.

..DARROW.. 05/06/2007


ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...

34130173 35380111 36560066 38420021 40229996 39799744
37689819 36059930 34040097

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0717.html

As far as deaths go, obviously, it only takes one intense tornado going through a populated community to make any outbreak historical. Such a chaotic situation for Kiowa County with these intense lines of storms that keep training nearby. Looks like that line is eventually going to move through that area and hamper any recover effort tonight. Regards.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Based on the 3 hour map with 8 reports of tornado's it has slowed down in that area. But 90 overall for the event is pretty big for 5-5-2007.

[CrazyC83]

If I had to rate this on a scale of 1-10. I would say 6. 2003 I would say 8, and May 30 2004 9. The super outbreak would get the ten. The late March outbreak this year would also get a 5-6 rating.

Whats your rating.

I'd give this a 7. Equalling the rating for the Feb 28-Mar 1 outbreak, and March 28-29 would get a 6.

[CrazyC83]

What is remarkable...91 tornado reports and NO ONE was killed that we know of...

[HurricaneBill]

What is remarkable...91 tornado reports and NO ONE was killed that we know of...

Actually, a fatality occured at a lake in Ottawa County, KS.