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JonathanBelles
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#21 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri May 04, 2007 7:30 pm

Pop up storms to my east.
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#22 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat May 05, 2007 1:37 pm

Big storms developing over interior central and south florida
as i speak

I am reporting a strong west coast seabreeze
moving inland...winds are out of the West
in Saint Petersburg
the seabreeze has moved into
interior central and south florida
thunderstorms will develop
along this seabreeze boundary
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#23 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat May 05, 2007 1:39 pm

SEVEVE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY! HIGH WINDS AND
LIGHTING AND DAMAGING HAIL POSSIBLE!
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#24 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat May 05, 2007 1:58 pm

WOW! I could see the cloud tops from my pool. Its too bad that they are heading east. Its very Breezy here.
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#25 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat May 05, 2007 2:17 pm

fact789 wrote:WOW! I could see the cloud tops from my pool. Its too bad that they are heading east. Its very Breezy here.


fact789 all hope for rain for us is not lost
if that storm in NW hillsboro sends out an outflow boundary
that crosses tampa bay it could interact
with the stiff seabreze to produce
an isolated storm over our area
or some brief gusty winds
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#26 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat May 05, 2007 2:29 pm

When It colides with the easterly seabreeze, Will it move east or west? I dont see that outflow boundary forming a storm that close to the coast.
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#27 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat May 05, 2007 5:57 pm

oh well no rain...looks like the storm missed us again fact789 drought continues
the interior got hammered
that outflow boundary didn't reach pinellas
it was sent Eastward...but sometimes if strong
enough storms can send a westward going
outflow boundary that collides again with
the seabreeze from the west coast and
creates additional storms
but that did not happen today

we're very dry
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#28 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat May 05, 2007 6:36 pm

I didnt think that seabreeze would hit us. Ususally it doesnt start coming this way for another couple weeks when there aere 2 seabreezes (E and W)
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#29 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 06, 2007 12:21 pm

Lets Rumble:


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0725
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1211 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN FL PEN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 061711Z - 061915Z

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF A WW.

HEATING/DESTABILIZATION OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS WELL UNDERWAY.
AND...LATEST RUC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT MIXED LAYER CAPE IS NOW IN
EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...
WHERE INHIBITION IS BECOMING NEGLIGIBLE. IT APPEARS FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK UPPER TROUGHING...DEVELOPING SOUTHWARD WITHIN
NORTH/NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW REGIME NEAR SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS...WILL AID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON.

SURFACE WINDS HAVE ALREADY TURNED TO NORTHWESTERLY ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE PENINSULA...AND IT APPEARS LOW-LEVEL
CONFLUENCE COULD AID INITIATION OF STORMS IN THE VICINITY OF ORLANDO
BY/SHORTLY AFTER 18Z...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY POSSIBLE ALONG EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL SEA BREEZE. LARGE-SCALE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
A SOUTHWARD/SOUTHWESTWARD DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS ACROSS INTERIOR
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PENINSULA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE SEA
BREEZE OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO COULD AID ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.

UNSATURATED MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS. AND...30 KT
NORTHERLY MID-LEVEL WINDS MAY SUPPORT MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR FOR UPDRAFT ROTATION. A SHORT-LIVED SUPERCELL OR TWO
MAY FORM...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO...IN ADDITION
TO ENHANCED RISK FOR LARGE HAIL.

..KERR.. 05/06/2007


ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

29628300 29218146 28698078 27838084 27008040 26418117
26888196 27568246 27798239
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#30 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 06, 2007 12:22 pm

Image
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#31 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 06, 2007 12:38 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC109-061815-
/O.NEW.KJAX.SV.W.0037.070506T1723Z-070506T1815Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
123 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ST. JOHNS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA

* UNTIL 215 PM EDT

* AT 121 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH
. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
SOUTH PONTE VEDRA BEACH...OR ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTH OF GUANA RIVER
STATE PARK...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
VILANO BEACH.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3010 8134 3006 8147 2989 8139 2992 8128

$$

ZIBURA
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#32 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 06, 2007 12:50 pm

YAY!!!

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 244
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2007

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 244 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

FLC001-009-011-015-017-021-027-035-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-
069-071-075-081-083-085-086-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-
111-115-117-119-127-070000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0244.070506T1750Z-070507T0000Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA BREVARD BROWARD
CHARLOTTE CITRUS COLLIER
DESOTO FLAGLER GLADES
HARDEE HENDRY HERNANDO
HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER
LAKE LEE LEVY
MANATEE MARION MARTIN
MIAMI-DADE MONROE OKEECHOBEE
ORANGE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH
PASCO PINELLAS POLK
PUTNAM SARASOTA SEMINOLE
ST. LUCIE SUMTER VOLUSIA
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#33 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 06, 2007 1:35 pm

Storms exploding to the north of me , NW of Daytona. All moving south.
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#34 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 06, 2007 1:37 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC095-061930-
/O.NEW.KMLB.SV.W.0017.070506T1831Z-070506T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
231 PM EDT SUN MAY 6 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 227 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH
. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
AZALEA PARK...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.


* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
CONWAY...PINE CASTLE...BELLE ISLE AND ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 2860 8130 2860 8117 2857 8117 2851 8110
2842 8107 2842 8141 2857 8141 2863 8134
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#35 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun May 06, 2007 1:49 pm

ok this thread i'll post in yes indeed we have severe tstorm watch

i hope those heavy rains hit me today!!!!! WHOHOOO!
But I do not want the severe weather
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#36 Postby TampaSteve » Sun May 06, 2007 2:05 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:ok this thread i'll post in yes indeed we have severe tstorm watch

i hope those heavy rains hit me today!!!!! WHOHOOO!
But I do not want the severe weather


Ditto...we need the rain badly...my lawn is turning brown, and I can only run the sprinklers one day a week.
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#37 Postby jdray » Sun May 06, 2007 4:48 pm

I saw three sprinkles..... then they went away! :break:
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#38 Postby nicdeedoop » Mon May 07, 2007 4:24 pm

Yes we could definatly use some rain!

A fire in Walton County is now estimated at roughly 1200 acres, as firefighters continue to work towards controlling the blaze
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#39 Postby Nimbus » Mon May 07, 2007 8:34 pm

The thunderstorms yesterday just started more fires.

Now we have dry windy conditions behind the front.

Doubt if central/south Florida is going to get much of a soaking from the coastal hybrid storm.
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#40 Postby Bellarose » Tue May 08, 2007 7:21 am

I'm not in NE FL (I'm just north of Tampa), but does anyone know of any links that show fairly exact locations of the fires? I woke up this morning and my car had a little layer ash and the smell of smoke is really bad. Can't find anything on any of the local news sites, other than maps with fire icons. Thanks!
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