Remnants of Andrea-Thread 2

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southerngale
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#221 Postby southerngale » Fri May 11, 2007 9:36 am

Image
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tgenius
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#222 Postby tgenius » Fri May 11, 2007 9:42 am

If Miami can get some of that rain from the revived andrea, I'd be very grateful.. it looks like the weather is forecasted for a little bit of rain, its a 30 percent chance tonight/tomm last I checked.
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AnnularCane
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#223 Postby AnnularCane » Fri May 11, 2007 9:44 am

I guess there's some life left in her yet! :P Are things getting more favorable?
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miamicanes177
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#224 Postby miamicanes177 » Fri May 11, 2007 9:53 am

Since NHC says it is a remnant low, will it be Barry if it becomes a tropical cyclone again?
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#225 Postby wjs3 » Fri May 11, 2007 9:55 am

miamicanes177 wrote:Since NHC says it is a remnant low, will it be Barry if it becomes a tropical cyclone again?
No. It should keep Andrea. Any time a "new" storm clearly (or not so clearly--see Ivan 2004) comes form the remnants of an already named system, it keeps the name. That's clearly the case here.

WJS3
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tailgater
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#226 Postby tailgater » Fri May 11, 2007 9:56 am

miamicanes177 wrote:Since NHC says it is a remnant low, will it be Barry if it becomes a tropical cyclone again?

No, it would still be Andrea since they could still track the remant Low.
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Blown Away
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#227 Postby Blown Away » Fri May 11, 2007 10:03 am

Andrea looks good on the Melbourne radar, and looks like she is moving S, slowly.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
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#228 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Fri May 11, 2007 10:10 am

Moving further south into warmer gulf stream waters
shear is low
convection has developed near the center
possible comeback to tropical depression
or perhaps even tropical storm

It's so smoky outside I can't see the trees beyond
40-50 feet!!!
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HouTXmetro
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#229 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri May 11, 2007 10:11 am

Convection is weakening now.......
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
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#230 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Fri May 11, 2007 10:13 am

For Florida, a trough should allow for some more rain
and thunderstorms all of next week.
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#231 Postby Chacor » Fri May 11, 2007 10:16 am

HouTXmetro wrote:Convection is weakening now.......

Latest NRL IR from an hour ago shows -60°C convection...
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#232 Postby MGC » Fri May 11, 2007 10:18 am

Looks like the NHC was a bit quick in declaring Andrea dead. Nice little come back attempt this morning.....MGC
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caneman

#233 Postby caneman » Fri May 11, 2007 10:18 am

I wish it would move away. It hasn't helped. We've got no rain and it's only fanned the flames and terrible smoke here today. I've attached a link so you can see how bad. Can't even go outside.

http://baynews9.com/Home.html
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MiamiensisWx

#234 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri May 11, 2007 10:24 am

Since the low-level circulation is closer to Cape Canaveral, could the TPC issue a special advisory? As data indicates possible winds of 25KT (30 mph), we might see an upgrade to depression status. In addition, the system is now a larger threat to land. As the upper-air environment has improved, the system might attempt to gain tropical characteristics.
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drezee
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#235 Postby drezee » Fri May 11, 2007 10:28 am

drezee wrote:Andrea is almost done, but...

now that the midlevel low has moved away far enough and the SE quad is over 79-81 degree water. There is a chance that the SE quad could refired this afternoon as one last horray.


I posted this yesterday at 1041 am....man what a call!
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feederband
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#236 Postby feederband » Fri May 11, 2007 10:28 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Moving further south into warmer gulf stream waters
shear is low
convection has developed near the center
possible comeback to tropical depression
or perhaps even tropical storm

It's so smoky outside I can't see the trees beyond
40-50 feet!!!


Fox was showing a beach shot...Looked like a real dense fog...
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cpdaman
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#237 Postby cpdaman » Fri May 11, 2007 10:29 am

wow look at how bad saint pete beach got

http://baynews9.com/Sky9.html#

also andrea convection is pulsing DOWN if you look at the radar next 4 hours will determine wether this is a comback or last hurrah
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drezee
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#238 Postby drezee » Fri May 11, 2007 10:32 am

RECON is going!

096
NOUS42 KNHC 111530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT FRI 11 MAY 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z MAY 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-004

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA
A. 12/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0301A ANDREA
C. 12/1600Z
D. 29.0N 79.0W
E. 12/1700Z TO 12/2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: PSBL MISSION INTO
ANDREA NEAR 32N AND 73W FOR 13/1800Z IF SYSTEM IS
A THREAT.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
WVW
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Thunder44
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#239 Postby Thunder44 » Fri May 11, 2007 10:33 am

Why are they calling it "Subtropical Storm Andrea" again on Recon Plan? Have they upgraded it again? The flight is scheduled for tomorrow by the way. With another one possible on Sunday.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Fri May 11, 2007 10:37 am, edited 2 times in total.
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wxman57
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Andrea Convection

#240 Postby wxman57 » Fri May 11, 2007 10:34 am

I'm not sure who made an earlier post under my nickname - but it wasn't me.
Last edited by wxman57 on Fri May 11, 2007 11:00 am, edited 2 times in total.
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