AUS: Offseason ex-TC Pierre (threatening QLD as Trop Low)

[HURAKAN]

Poofy Pierre.

[Chacor]

Definitely getting ripped apart.

[HURAKAN]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF
METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1224 UTC 18 May 2007

GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA

SITUATION
At 181200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Pierre 998 hPa was centred within 50 nautical
miles of 10.0 S 152.5 E moving west at 11 knots.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 70 nautical miles of the centre of Cyclone Pierre.
FORECAST
Clockwise winds 25/35 knots around Pierre. System is expected to gradually
weaken over the next 12 hours.

Forecast positions
At 0000 UTC 19 May: Within 50 nautical miles of 10.2 south 151.3 east
Central pressure 998 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 19 May: Within 60 nautical miles of 10.5 south 150.2 east
Central pressure 998 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.

REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41
through Land Earth Station Perth 222.
Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 18 May 2007.
WEATHER BRISBANE

[P.K.]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF
METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1806 UTC 18 May 2007

GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA

SITUATION
At 181800 UTC EX Tropical Cyclone Pierre 1002 hPa was centred within 50 nautical
miles of 10.0 S 151.5 E moving west at 11 knots.
AREA AFFECTED
Nil
FORECAST
Winds are no longer expected to exceed 33 knots. The system is expected now to
move onto the New Guinea mainland and weaken.

Forecast positions
At 0600 UTC 19 May: Within 50 nautical miles of 9.8 south 150.0 east
Central pressure 1002 hPa.

At 1800 UTC 19 May: Within 60 nautical miles of 9.5 south 148.7 east
Central pressure 1005 hPa.


REMARKS
All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular
weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either
email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41
through Land Earth Station Perth 222.
No further warnings are expected.
WEATHER BRISBANE

[Aquawind]

Rapidly developing midget system.

Interesting choice of wordage.. A Midget tropical system..hmmm.. very interesting.

[P.K.]

Just had a chance to look at the stats. Atlhough May is after the season ends since 1969-1970 there have been 17 such systems (Including Pierre). Now a June system would be very unusual as that is the only month without a TC back to 1969-1970.

[HurricaneBill]

Just had a chance to look at the stats. Atlhough May is after the season ends since 1969-1970 there have been 17 such systems (Including Pierre). Now a June system would be very unusual as that is the only month without a TC back to 1969-1970.

Hasn't the SPAC had June systems? Keli in 1997 and Gina in 2003?

[Coredesat]

I think both of those were in the South Pacific, P.K. might be talking about TCs in the Australian region.

[P.K.]

I'm purely talking about storms in the Aus BT here. I've not done a similar analysis of the SW Pacific.

[HURAKAN]

8.5S 150.0E T2.0/2.0 PIERRE -- South Pacific Ocean

Pierre trying to make it back!!!

[HURAKAN]

[web]http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDQ65001.gif?1179705794603[/web]

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
for damaging winds and heavy rainfall.
For people on Cape York Peninsula north of about Lockhart River.
Issued at 10:40 am on Monday 21 May 2007

Synoptic Situation: A tropical low, ex TC Pierre, was located over the
north-west Coral Sea about 400 km east of Thursday Island and was moving
westwards at 15 kph.
The low may produce heavy rainfall and thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts
about eastern Cape York Peninsula later today and across Cape York Peninsula
north of about Lockhart River overnight and on Tuesday.

The next warning is due to be issued by 5 pm AEST Monday.

Synoptic Situation
A tropical low of 1006 hPa [Ex-Tropical Cyclone Pierre] was located about 170 nm east of Thursday Island and was moving westwards at 8 knots.

"It's not over until it's over."

[HURAKAN]

Windshear is favorables for development