GOM/Caribbean/Atlantic Ocean SST'S and Anomalies

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HouTXmetro
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#141 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue May 15, 2007 1:09 pm

The Gulf Coast has been Baking recently. Kinda figured the SST temps would start to rebound.
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#142 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed May 16, 2007 6:43 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Over 3/4 of the Gulf is now in th upper 70's. The Gulf Stream is really extending. Looks like Hurricane Seasons almost.
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#143 Postby Aquawind » Wed May 16, 2007 6:58 am

Interesting it actually has more blue than I expected. It's early yet..
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#144 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu May 17, 2007 8:41 pm

Much of the Western Caribbean can now support
a significant category 5 hurricane with pressures
below 880 mb:
Given the loss of shear...by August and September
things are going to EXPLODE over the Caribbean
It doesn't look good in the Caribbean Folks.
Also the Central Atlantic can support Category 5:
http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
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#145 Postby meteorologyman » Mon May 21, 2007 9:52 am

Temperatures are going up in the ocean, you need at least 80 F for a tropical storm or hurricane to form, of course there several other variables to look at as well

http://www.weather.com/maps/geography/o ... large.html
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#146 Postby cycloneye » Mon May 21, 2007 3:44 pm

Image

The heat content in the Western Caribbean is very high and that has been the case in the past few weeks.
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#147 Postby canegrl04 » Mon May 21, 2007 5:25 pm

Its warming up right on time.SSTs in the region should be well into the 80s in July
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#148 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon May 21, 2007 9:08 pm

Once the shear diminishes...
scary!!!
http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
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#149 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 22, 2007 6:59 pm

Image

Above is the latest data of the Atlantic anomalies.The Central Atlantic north of 20n,with the Western Caribbean are the warmest areas at this time.
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#150 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue May 22, 2007 7:28 pm

I don't like what I am seeing with that warm patch showing up off the TX/LA coast. Let's hope that doesn't continue to grow any!
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#151 Postby ROCK » Tue May 22, 2007 8:49 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:I don't like what I am seeing with that warm patch showing up off the TX/LA coast. Let's hope that doesn't continue to grow any!



maybe a warm eddy broke off the LC?.......
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#152 Postby weatherrabbit_tx » Tue May 22, 2007 8:56 pm

like EWG said hope thats not a common thing this summer where warm eddy's start to like the upper texas coast this year! :eek:
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#153 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue May 22, 2007 9:14 pm

That's not an eddy. In fact the WGOM is a bit cooler than last year, especially off the upper Texas coast.

https://www.navo.navy.mil/LIBRARY/Metoc ... mperature/
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#154 Postby windstorm99 » Mon Jun 04, 2007 12:48 pm

Just wanted to post some quick thoughts....

Iam not 100 sure we are going to see a nina at all this season and infact iam leaning towards a more neutral state across the basin during the meat of the season.

On this anomaly image it appears to me that some of the blues near the equater in the pacific are slowly fadeing away which is one of a few reasons iam not buying into a full blown nina this hurricane season.

Image

Also its still early in the season but a quick observation on SST'S across the parts of the atlantic and there just about average across the basin.

One last thing the heat potential across the basin is alot less compared to 05 and even 06 at this time.

June 3,2007

Image

June 3 2006

Image

And of course a view of the incredible heat potential across the basin in 05.

June 3,2005


Image
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#155 Postby KWT » Mon Jun 04, 2007 12:52 pm

I agree, i've not been too convinced of La nina for a little while, subsurface profiles still showing the western side of the Pacific stubbornly neutral-slightly above average and we are going to have to reduce that before a full blown La nina.

By the way how does the heat potential compare to seasons such as 2003-2004??
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#156 Postby windstorm99 » Mon Jun 04, 2007 1:06 pm

KWT wrote:I agree, i've not been too convinced of La nina for a little while, subsurface profiles still showing the western side of the Pacific stubbornly neutral-slightly above average and we are going to have to reduce that before a full blown La nina.

By the way how does the heat potential compare to seasons such as 2003-2004??


Here the heat potential during the 07 season on this date...

Image

Heat potential june 4 2004

Image
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drezee
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#157 Postby drezee » Wed Jun 06, 2007 9:19 am

Caribbean is baking

Image
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#158 Postby windstorm99 » Wed Jun 06, 2007 9:24 am

drezee wrote:Caribbean is baking

Image


Yes indeed...

But look how cool the waters of the florida coast have gotten also notice its quite cool of the african coast.That will slowly change as we get into the meat of the season but yea the caribbean is a hot spot for this time of the year which the nogaps this moring is suggesting some development down there.
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#159 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Jun 06, 2007 9:35 am

It's 82 degrees as of yesterday here at St. Pete Beach and in the mid-upper 70's out farther in the Gulf.
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#160 Postby Sjones » Wed Jun 06, 2007 10:03 am

Anyone have any pic of the current conditions in the Caribbean? Any thoughts of somethings happening there this week?
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