Long Range Models

[Meso]

I didn't know whether to create another topic,but since I couldn't find anything for what models are showing,except for specific events.
And I don't really think this deserves a whole thread on the possible development,so I figured may as well post long-shot model runs.

Possible Development?

NOGAPS 132 Hours
CMC 144 Hours
UKMET 144 Hours Not showing much,but you can see weakness where the others are forecasting
GFS 144 Hours Doesn't do much with it

[Meso]

Canadian,not a very trusted model but still,just for interests sake

144 hours : http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/cmc/20 ... /slp24.png
Loop : http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

[ronjon]

Well the GFS continues it's record of forming low pressure in the western caribbean and moving N-NE over the Fl peninsula. What is this, over 20 model runs in a row? I've got to believe this model is on to something whether it forms into a tropical cyclone or not. There looks like a big moisture push from the tropics over FL by the midde of next week - hopefully dropping copious amounts of rain. Already, it looks like afternoon sea breeze convection to start to fire in S FL on Memorial Day and the whole peninsula on Tuesday and Wednesday next week. Is it the start of the rainy season? I 've included the 18Z run from today. The NAM has latched on to lower pressure there too.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_168s.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_204s.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084s.gif

[Meso]

And more entertainment?
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/cmc/20 ... /slp24.png 144 hour Canadian

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation Loop

[SouthFloridawx]

If you thought those were good, check out this one...

[web]http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_348l.gif[/web]

[JonathanBelles]

I like that forecast Southfloridawx