Tropical Depression Barry Main Thread

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AnnularCane
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#101 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:48 pm

Alacane2 wrote:I can't believe that the second storm of the season formed on my birthday!



Happy birthday to you and Barry!

:12:
Last edited by AnnularCane on Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#102 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:49 pm

I wonder how strong Barry can get... it seems to be intensifying rather quickly
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#103 Postby B'hamBlazer » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:50 pm

I don't think Barry will quite reach Cat. 1 strength... but right now it's a pretty darn strong TS and showing no signs of weakness at the moment.
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#104 Postby miamicanes177 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:51 pm

Remember these florida storms have a history of rapid intensification just prior to landfall (Wilma, Charley, cat 1 katrina come to mind). We see the opposite occur along the central gulf coast as they tend to weaken (dennis, rita, katrina, ivan).
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#105 Postby DrewFL » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:52 pm

I just caught Dr. Masters:

Latest recon has 998 mb, 77 mph winds at 1,500 feet (55-60 mph at the surface).
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#106 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:53 pm

Wow, looks like she now has the convection curved half way around on the northern side....lets see if he will continue this trend
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#107 Postby LaBreeze » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:54 pm

Happy Birthday Alacane2! :)
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#108 Postby ROCK » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:54 pm

Definitly think the LC has something to do with the current intensification.....

some food for thought...


http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
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#109 Postby Category 5 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:54 pm

I just noticed. We're on pace to pass 2005 by light years lol. :eek:
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#110 Postby Nimbus » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:56 pm

Tiny wind field with a small core structure is probably whats helping barry defy the odds and fight the Shear.
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#111 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:57 pm

Category 5 wrote:I just noticed. We're on pace to pass 2005 by light years lol. :eek:



Don't say that :lol:
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#112 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:58 pm

Category 5 wrote:I just noticed. We're on pace to pass 2005 by light years lol. :eek:
Hush your mouth!!! They'll hear you!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek: :lol: :lol: :wink: :wink:
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#113 Postby LaBreeze » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:59 pm

Not always true miamicanes177. In 1957 Hurricane Audrey struck my area here in SW Louisiana and she intensified dramatically just before landfall and claimed over 500 lives.
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#114 Postby B'hamBlazer » Fri Jun 01, 2007 5:00 pm

67knot flight-level winds in the WESTERN quadrant... interesting...
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#115 Postby Category 5 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 5:00 pm

canegrl04 wrote:
Category 5 wrote:I just noticed. We're on pace to pass 2005 by light years lol. :eek:



Don't say that :lol:


Why not, I jinxed it. Now this will be the last storm of the..... I'll stop there.
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#116 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 5:02 pm

Downdraft wrote:Sorry to spoil everyone's day but this isn't going to be a hurricane or even close to it. Look at what's waiting for Barry in the GOMEX. This is a typical early June storm nothing more nothing less, a nice diversion for the really big stuff to come but you can't make a Ferrari from a Ford.


You might be right.But the 2005 season proved anything can happen.Barry just needs to muster 10 more mph to officially become a hurricane so I wouldn't completely rule it out
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#117 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Jun 01, 2007 5:06 pm

Category 5 wrote:
canegrl04 wrote:
Category 5 wrote:I just noticed. We're on pace to pass 2005 by light years lol. :eek:



Don't say that :lol:


Why not, I jinxed it. Now this will be the last storm of the..... I'll stop there.



Can anybody say GREEK? :P
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#118 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jun 01, 2007 5:07 pm

no greek storms!
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#119 Postby abjolly » Fri Jun 01, 2007 5:08 pm

I realize the various computer models have their strengths and weaknesses, depending on conditions, data, etc. I have misplaced a link I once had to one of the "spaghetti" maps, which displayed numerous model projections. Could someone offer another?
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Mike Doran

#120 Postby Mike Doran » Fri Jun 01, 2007 5:12 pm

http://webflash.ess.washington.edu/WWLL ... as_BIG.gif

This image shows the heavy lighting activity all around the GOM--which is the area I think that is most electrostatically 'coupled'. Notice in the last few frames how the fair weather regions darken--that's cloud microphysics being altered in these couplings IMHO. Convection then were it occurs is explosive.
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