HUGE blowup of convection near BOC

#1 Postby **N2FSU** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 9:33 pm

Anyone else notice this?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

boca · #2 Postby **boca** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 9:47 pm

I was wondering if that has anything to do with Barbara's remnants.

#3 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 9:48 pm

I agree Boca. That was my first thought.

southerngreen · #4 Postby **southerngreen** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 11:04 pm

i posted on this yesterday, but today it has really exploded

NHC still has it listed as Barbara - she's been resurrected - now where's she going ????? :hmm:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t7/loop-avn.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/hurricane/s ... region=GUL

?

Regit · #5 Postby **Regit** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 11:13 pm

It'll be interesting to see if this persists.

If it's still there in 24 hours, we're on to something.

HouTXmetro · #6 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 11:15 pm

I noticed it to, but I think it will probably poof by morning.

Jinkers · #7 Postby **Jinkers** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 11:16 pm

Have to keep an eye on this one, it looks interesting.

mempho · #8 Postby **mempho** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 11:17 pm

boca wrote:I was wondering if that has anything to do with Barbara's remnants.

I wonder what they would name it if it was easily identifiable as Barbara's remnants....remember the second incarnation of Ivan in 2004?

Regit · #9 Postby **Regit** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 11:18 pm

mempho wrote:
boca wrote:I was wondering if that has anything to do with Barbara's remnants.

I wonder what they would name it if it was easily identifiable as Barbara's remnants....remember the second incarnation of Ivan in 2004?

As it's in a new basin, it would be Chantal.

#10 Postby **Stormcenter** » Mon Jun 04, 2007 11:50 pm

Way too much southwesterly shear down there right now for anything to develop.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #11 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 2:08 am

This is how Bret and Jose in 2005 formed. Could be something to watch if it moves northward over the BOC.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #12 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 2:15 am

Also shear is low over this at 5-10 knots because of a upper level Anticyclone moving into the area. Also the 500-850 winds shows a ridge forming to its east, which could help move it slowly northward. But overall flow is fairly weak in this area, so that should be slow. Unless the ridge builds a few hundred miles westward...Something to watch.

#13 Postby **StormTracker** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 6:32 am

Meteorologists here in Miami are talking a 30% chance of rain(isolated)today & a 50% chance(scattered)tomorrow in reference to this "tropical wave" which is good news! We're expecting to get at least an inch or more rain!!!

Frank2 · #14 Postby **Frank2** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 6:37 am

They're just referring to moisture associated with the weak trough that was once the tail end of Barry - not related to any convection over the BOC...

#15 Postby **O Town** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 6:42 am

Have been watching that area for 2 days now. Looks like it mostly went poof this morning. May re fire later but I don't think it will ever make it in the BOC or Gulf. Its still pretty hostile in there as far as the shear is concerned.

#16 Postby **hial2** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 7:03 am

Berwick,my new BEST friend...can you please PM me with the Fla lotto #s for this Wed?..C'mon,be a pal...Thanks!

#17 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 7:38 am

I thought that this was going to have some type of effect in the gulf. I wonder if it hangs around when the cold front moves towards the Northern Gulf Coast. Although, shear is a bit high and it's on the northern end of a surface high. Once the high moves out, if there is still some energy we might be able to get something going. Maybe....

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 6&start=20

Weatherfreak000 · #18 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 11:38 am

Yeah, IMO absolutely 0% chance of development in the BOC at this time.

My reasoning? Look at an Infrared Loop, the shear is oppressive in the GOM right now, it's blowing apart any convection that even forms in the Gulf.

This isn't gonna happen I would say.

#19 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 11:40 am

IF this sticks around, this could play into BB's forecast.

#20 Postby **skysummit** » Tue Jun 05, 2007 11:51 am

Weatherfreak000 wrote:Yeah, IMO absolutely 0% chance of development in the BOC at this time.

My reasoning? Look at an Infrared Loop, the shear is oppressive in the GOM right now, it's blowing apart any convection that even forms in the Gulf.

This isn't gonna happen I would say.

...and the key words for today?

HUGE blowup of convection near BOC

HUGE blowup of convection near BOC

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