Severe weather outbreak - June 6-8 - Plains to Northeast
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
- Pebbles
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1994
- Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
- Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)
They are doing special briefings at 11am and 4pm on NOAA weather radio.. here are some links where you can listen in on the net.
http://weather.admin.niu.edu/liveaudio/
On a side note.. i stopped at ACE hardware this morning trying to pick up a weather radio. They didn't have any :*(
P.S. me and the hubby were just out in the yard putting away lawn furniture and bikes and toys and other loose objects. It was hot and sunny and wind definately picking up.
http://weather.admin.niu.edu/liveaudio/
On a side note.. i stopped at ACE hardware this morning trying to pick up a weather radio. They didn't have any :*(
P.S. me and the hubby were just out in the yard putting away lawn furniture and bikes and toys and other loose objects. It was hot and sunny and wind definately picking up.
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-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Pebbles wrote:They are doing special briefings at 11am and 4pm on NOAA weather radio.. here are some links where you can listen in on the net.
http://weather.admin.niu.edu/liveaudio/
On a side note.. i stopped at ACE hardware this morning trying to pick up a weather radio. They didn't have any :*(
11 and 4 Central time I assume? Anyway, that is definitely a sign that people are preparing if they are out of weather radios. They are not sold at all around here, so I am basically on my own if the high risk reaches me tomorrow. The regional media around here don't seem to really care either about major threats.
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- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Another new watch soon (mainly W Minnesota and E Dakotas, probably not PDS):
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1037
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 AM CDT THU JUN 07 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN SD...SERN ND THROUGH NWRN MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 071548Z - 071715Z
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INITIALLY OVER PARTS OF NERN SD AND
SHIFT NEWD INTO SERN ND AND NWRN MN. STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.
THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWD THROUGH WRN MN FROM A DEEP SURFACE LOW NEAR
THE ND-MN BORDER. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWWD FROM THE LOW
FROM NERN THROUGH SWRN SD. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDS NEWD FROM
THE LOW THROUGH NWRN MN. BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW HAS VEERED ACROSS ERN
SD...EAST OF SECONDARY COLD FRONT...AND DEWPOINTS HAVE DROPPED INTO
THE 50S WITH LOWER 60S IN NWRN MN. HOWEVER...DESPITE THE MORE
LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN THIS REGION...COLDER AIR ALOFT CLOSER
TO THE UPPER LOW CENTER...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SURFACE HEATING IN
DRY SLOT REGION WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY
WITH MLCAPE FROM 500 TO 1000 J/KG. STRONGER DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OF THIS REGION...BUT MAY
REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR SOME LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS..ESPECIALLY TOWARD
NWRN MN. THE STEEP LAPSE RATES...CAPE DENSITY AND COLD AIR ALOFT
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL ESPECIALLY WITH ANY STORMS
THAT DEVELOP ROTATION. LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS SOMEWHAT LIMITED...SO ANY
TORNADO THREAT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH UPDRAFTS INTERACTING WITH LOW
LEVEL VORTICITY ALONG THE SW-NE ORIENTED BOUNDARY.
..DIAL.. 06/07/2007
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...BIS...
45649522 44949723 44929851 45299864 45999813 46519749
47809588 47789432 46879438
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1037
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 AM CDT THU JUN 07 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN SD...SERN ND THROUGH NWRN MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 071548Z - 071715Z
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INITIALLY OVER PARTS OF NERN SD AND
SHIFT NEWD INTO SERN ND AND NWRN MN. STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.
THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWD THROUGH WRN MN FROM A DEEP SURFACE LOW NEAR
THE ND-MN BORDER. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWWD FROM THE LOW
FROM NERN THROUGH SWRN SD. A STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDS NEWD FROM
THE LOW THROUGH NWRN MN. BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW HAS VEERED ACROSS ERN
SD...EAST OF SECONDARY COLD FRONT...AND DEWPOINTS HAVE DROPPED INTO
THE 50S WITH LOWER 60S IN NWRN MN. HOWEVER...DESPITE THE MORE
LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN THIS REGION...COLDER AIR ALOFT CLOSER
TO THE UPPER LOW CENTER...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SURFACE HEATING IN
DRY SLOT REGION WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY
WITH MLCAPE FROM 500 TO 1000 J/KG. STRONGER DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OF THIS REGION...BUT MAY
REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR SOME LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS..ESPECIALLY TOWARD
NWRN MN. THE STEEP LAPSE RATES...CAPE DENSITY AND COLD AIR ALOFT
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL ESPECIALLY WITH ANY STORMS
THAT DEVELOP ROTATION. LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS SOMEWHAT LIMITED...SO ANY
TORNADO THREAT WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH UPDRAFTS INTERACTING WITH LOW
LEVEL VORTICITY ALONG THE SW-NE ORIENTED BOUNDARY.
..DIAL.. 06/07/2007
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...BIS...
45649522 44949723 44929851 45299864 45999813 46519749
47809588 47789432 46879438
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- Pebbles
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1994
- Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
- Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)
CrazyC83 wrote:11 and 4 Central time I assume? Anyway, that is definitely a sign that people are preparing if they are out of weather radios. They are not sold at all around here, so I am basically on my own if the high risk reaches me tomorrow. The regional media around here don't seem to really care either about major threats.
yes that central. They didn't run out of radios.. they just didn't have any! *rolls eyes* And when I asked the sales woman if they had them she's says "Are you looking for one because your expecting bad weather"

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- Pebbles
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1994
- Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
- Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)
interesting briefing... they are expecting winds to be 75+ miles per hour and hitting chicago land sometimes between 9pm and midnight local time. To the west expect the action to begin around 7pm local time.
I was thinking radio shack was best bet too. Unfortunately thats 25 miles down the highway too *rolls eyes* and just no time to run and get it now. Just gotta get me one of them though. Put it off too long.
P.S. They did have a cranking radio with a flash light that got "weather bands" I wasn't sure if that gave NOAA stations and it's not digital so wasn't sure how reliable those kind are?
I was thinking radio shack was best bet too. Unfortunately thats 25 miles down the highway too *rolls eyes* and just no time to run and get it now. Just gotta get me one of them though. Put it off too long.
P.S. They did have a cranking radio with a flash light that got "weather bands" I wasn't sure if that gave NOAA stations and it's not digital so wasn't sure how reliable those kind are?
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You can do that. But that means for you to hear any NOAA alerts, you have to keep the radio on at all times. You should be able to find what weather band you need to tune into for your area. Your local NWS page should have links to the weather radio coverage and what channels cover your area.
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- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
First watch of the day:
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 357
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND PARTS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA
PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1110 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF ABERDEEN
SOUTH DAKOTA TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF INTERNATIONAL FALLS
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...DEEP SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO NWRN MN WITH SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING NORTHERN AND SERN ND INTO NRN MN. AIR MASS HAS
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE SOUTH OF BOUNDARY WITH HEATING AND
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF SURFACE AND UPPER
SYSTEM SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF LOW VICINITY
BOUNDARY. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 357
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND PARTS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA
PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1110 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF ABERDEEN
SOUTH DAKOTA TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF INTERNATIONAL FALLS
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...DEEP SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO NWRN MN WITH SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING NORTHERN AND SERN ND INTO NRN MN. AIR MASS HAS
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE SOUTH OF BOUNDARY WITH HEATING AND
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF SURFACE AND UPPER
SYSTEM SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF LOW VICINITY
BOUNDARY. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 071608
WOU7
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 357
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
TORNADO WATCH 357 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
MNC001-005-007-011-021-027-029-035-041-051-057-061-071-087-097-
107-111-113-119-121-125-149-153-155-159-167-072300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0357.070607T1610Z-070607T2300Z/
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI
BIG STONE CASS CLAY
CLEARWATER CROW WING DOUGLAS
GRANT HUBBARD ITASCA
KOOCHICHING MAHNOMEN MORRISON
NORMAN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON
POLK POPE RED LAKE
STEVENS TODD TRAVERSE
WADENA WILKIN
NDC003-017-021-045-073-077-081-097-072300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0357.070607T1610Z-070607T2300Z/
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
LAMOURE RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT TRAILL
SDC013-025-029-037-051-091-109-115-072300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0357.070607T1610Z-070607T2300Z/
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLARK CODINGTON
DAY GRANT MARSHALL
ROBERTS SPINK
ATTN...WFO...DLH...ABR...FGF...BIS...MPX...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 357 TORNADO MN ND SD 071610Z - 072300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25N ABR/ABERDEEN SD/ - 65SSE INL/INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /24N ABR - 56SSE INL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 46979841 48869287 46549287 44659841
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 357 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 357
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND PARTS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA
PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1110 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF ABERDEEN
SOUTH DAKOTA TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF INTERNATIONAL FALLS
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...DEEP SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO NWRN MN WITH SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING NORTHERN AND SERN ND INTO NRN MN. AIR MASS HAS
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE SOUTH OF BOUNDARY WITH HEATING AND
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF SURFACE AND UPPER
SYSTEM SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF LOW VICINITY
BOUNDARY. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 357
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND PARTS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA
PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1110 AM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF ABERDEEN
SOUTH DAKOTA TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF INTERNATIONAL FALLS
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...DEEP SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO NWRN MN WITH SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING NORTHERN AND SERN ND INTO NRN MN. AIR MASS HAS
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE SOUTH OF BOUNDARY WITH HEATING AND
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF SURFACE AND UPPER
SYSTEM SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF LOW VICINITY
BOUNDARY. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 071608
WOU7
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 357
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
TORNADO WATCH 357 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
MNC001-005-007-011-021-027-029-035-041-051-057-061-071-087-097-
107-111-113-119-121-125-149-153-155-159-167-072300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0357.070607T1610Z-070607T2300Z/
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI
BIG STONE CASS CLAY
CLEARWATER CROW WING DOUGLAS
GRANT HUBBARD ITASCA
KOOCHICHING MAHNOMEN MORRISON
NORMAN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON
POLK POPE RED LAKE
STEVENS TODD TRAVERSE
WADENA WILKIN
NDC003-017-021-045-073-077-081-097-072300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0357.070607T1610Z-070607T2300Z/
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
LAMOURE RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT TRAILL
SDC013-025-029-037-051-091-109-115-072300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0357.070607T1610Z-070607T2300Z/
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLARK CODINGTON
DAY GRANT MARSHALL
ROBERTS SPINK
ATTN...WFO...DLH...ABR...FGF...BIS...MPX...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 357 TORNADO MN ND SD 071610Z - 072300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25N ABR/ABERDEEN SD/ - 65SSE INL/INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /24N ABR - 56SSE INL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 46979841 48869287 46549287 44659841
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 357 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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- Category 2
- Posts: 581
- Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:17 pm
- Location: The Mad City, WI
PDS Tornado Watch up.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 358
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN IOWA
SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
PART OF WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN
PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA
MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN WISCONSIN
LAKE SUPERIOR
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1135 AM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
KENNEDY WISCONSIN TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF OTTUMWA IOWA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 357...
DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE ACROSS WATCH WITH
APPROACH OF VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH AND DEEP SURFACE LOW. AIR MASS
HAS BECOME STRONGLY UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED. SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY ALONG W EDGE OF WATCH WHERE
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY GRADIENT LOCATED. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
STRONG/LONG LIVED TORNADOES TO DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON ALONG WITH
VERY DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.

SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 358
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN IOWA
SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
PART OF WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN
PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA
MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN WISCONSIN
LAKE SUPERIOR
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1135 AM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
KENNEDY WISCONSIN TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF OTTUMWA IOWA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 357...
DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE ACROSS WATCH WITH
APPROACH OF VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH AND DEEP SURFACE LOW. AIR MASS
HAS BECOME STRONGLY UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED. SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY ALONG W EDGE OF WATCH WHERE
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY GRADIENT LOCATED. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
STRONG/LONG LIVED TORNADOES TO DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON ALONG WITH
VERY DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
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- angelwing
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4462
- Age: 64
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
099 WFUS53 KDMX 071626 TORDMX IAC159-071700- /O.NEW.KDMX.TO.W.0012.070607T1627Z-070607T1700Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1127 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... RINGGOLD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA... * UNTIL NOON CDT * AT 1124 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR MOUNT AYR...OR ABOUT 32 MILES NORTH OF ALBANY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... ELLSTON AND TINGLEY BY 1135 AM CDT... ELLSTON AND BEACONSFIELD BY 1140 AM CDT... THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. LAT...LON 4076 9440 4090 9423 4090 9402 4080 9402 4079 9401 4072 9402 4066 9432
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-
- Category 2
- Posts: 581
- Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 9:17 pm
- Location: The Mad City, WI
First warning in Wisconsin ... near Red Wing, MN
Tornado Warning for Pierce Co, WI and Goodhue Co, MN
...
1156 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM CDT FOR PIERCE
AND GOODHUE COUNTIES...
AT 1151 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF GOODHUE...OR ABOUT 6 MILES
NORTH OF ZUMBROTA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM JUST
NORTH OF GOODHUE...TO RED WING...TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF ELLSWORTH. ONE
STORM LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF RED WING REMAINS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
A TORNADO. THESE STORMS WERE ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE HAGER CITY...ESDAILE...
FRONTENAC...RED WING...GOODHUE...MAIDEN ROCK AND BAY CITY.
...
Tornado Warning for Pierce Co, WI and Goodhue Co, MN
...
1156 AM CDT THU JUN 7 2007
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM CDT FOR PIERCE
AND GOODHUE COUNTIES...
AT 1151 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF GOODHUE...OR ABOUT 6 MILES
NORTH OF ZUMBROTA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM JUST
NORTH OF GOODHUE...TO RED WING...TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF ELLSWORTH. ONE
STORM LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF RED WING REMAINS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
A TORNADO. THESE STORMS WERE ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE HAGER CITY...ESDAILE...
FRONTENAC...RED WING...GOODHUE...MAIDEN ROCK AND BAY CITY.
...
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- Pebbles
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1994
- Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
- Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)
First damage report!!! Tree down in my neighbors yard. BIG ONE. I am thanking my lucky stars as my kid plays there on a daily basis and there are 6 children that live between the two yards the tree is laying across! The trunk fell across their play set! And for once no one little ones were out there *wipes brow* which is a rarity actually considering school let out couple days ago and it's hot and sunny outside at the moment. Also it just missed both houses by less then 6 feet. Lemme tell you many thankful people right now around here.
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-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 99
- Joined: Tue Sep 27, 2005 9:13 pm
- Location: Minnesota, USA
- wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
New outlook from SPC dramatically expands the Moderate risk like I expected.
Our local NWS will have a conference call at 3:05 pm on NOAA Weather Radio.
Our local NWS will have a conference call at 3:05 pm on NOAA Weather Radio.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Pebbles wrote:First damage report!!! Tree down in my neighbors yard. BIG ONE. I am thanking my lucky stars as my kid plays there on a daily basis and there are 6 children that live between the two yards the tree is laying across! The trunk fell across their play set! And for once no one little ones were out there *wipes brow* which is a rarity actually considering school let out couple days ago and it's hot and sunny outside at the moment. Also it just missed both houses by less then 6 feet. Lemme tell you many thankful people right now around here.
Wow, already! It is just exploding out there!
They surprisingly did not go MDT for day 2 (tomorrow) but threw a 45% in - just needs to be hatched for a MDT. Much of the maximum risk is over Canada though tomorrow.
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-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
New watch coming soon to the south on the dry line in Kansas and Missouri; unclear if it will be PDS.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1038
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0116 PM CDT THU JUN 07 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS THROUGH WRN AND NRN MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 071816Z - 072015Z
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY FROM PARTS OF
ERN AND NERN KS THROUGH PARTS OF WRN AND NRN MO. ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. TRENDS
ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW.
VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES BOUNDARY LAYER CUMULUS INCREASING ALONG
WITH A FEW SHOWERS FROM NERN KS THROUGH NWRN MO. ACTIVITY IS
DEVELOPING ALONG HYBRID DRYLINE-PACIFIC FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM THE
UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD THROUGH NWRN MO AND ERN KS. PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH MLCAPE FROM 1500 TO 2000 J/KG.
MID LEVEL WARM AIR WITH -5 TO -6 C/KM AT 500 MB HAS BEEN ADVECTING
NEWD ALONG THE MID LEVEL JET CORE. WHILE THIS WILL NOT INHIBIT DEEP
CONVECTION...IT WILL LIMIT 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES TO GENERALLY AOB 7
C/KM IN THIS AREA. GIVEN THE STRONG 50 TO 60 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND
WARM AIR ALOFT...INITIAL UPDRAFTS MAY BE STRONGLY TILTED AND
STRUGGLE TO DEVELOP. HOWEVER...ACTIVITY SHOULD GRADUALLY INTENSIFY
AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE. DEEP LAYER FLOW IS
LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL AND LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE IS LIMITED.
HOWEVER...SHEAR IN THE 0-6 KM LAYER WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES AND SOME STORMS MAY ALSO EVOLVE INTO LINE SEGMENTS.
..DIAL.. 06/07/2007
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
39119281 37589486 37939607 39409498 40359412 40269240
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1038
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0116 PM CDT THU JUN 07 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS THROUGH WRN AND NRN MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 071816Z - 072015Z
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY FROM PARTS OF
ERN AND NERN KS THROUGH PARTS OF WRN AND NRN MO. ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. TRENDS
ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW.
VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES BOUNDARY LAYER CUMULUS INCREASING ALONG
WITH A FEW SHOWERS FROM NERN KS THROUGH NWRN MO. ACTIVITY IS
DEVELOPING ALONG HYBRID DRYLINE-PACIFIC FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM THE
UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD THROUGH NWRN MO AND ERN KS. PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH MLCAPE FROM 1500 TO 2000 J/KG.
MID LEVEL WARM AIR WITH -5 TO -6 C/KM AT 500 MB HAS BEEN ADVECTING
NEWD ALONG THE MID LEVEL JET CORE. WHILE THIS WILL NOT INHIBIT DEEP
CONVECTION...IT WILL LIMIT 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES TO GENERALLY AOB 7
C/KM IN THIS AREA. GIVEN THE STRONG 50 TO 60 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND
WARM AIR ALOFT...INITIAL UPDRAFTS MAY BE STRONGLY TILTED AND
STRUGGLE TO DEVELOP. HOWEVER...ACTIVITY SHOULD GRADUALLY INTENSIFY
AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE. DEEP LAYER FLOW IS
LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL AND LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE IS LIMITED.
HOWEVER...SHEAR IN THE 0-6 KM LAYER WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES AND SOME STORMS MAY ALSO EVOLVE INTO LINE SEGMENTS.
..DIAL.. 06/07/2007
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
39119281 37589486 37939607 39409498 40359412 40269240
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-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1206
- Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:25 pm
- Location: Oklahoma
- Contact:
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