From the Mobile AFD...
AT THIS TIME...AM STILL EXPECTING MOST AREAS TO RECEIVE AT LEAST ONE
INCH OF RAINFALL IN THE MON->WED TIME FRAME...WITH POTENTIAL 2-4 INCH
AMOUNTS WHERE THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTENTLY ADVECT OVER THE SAME AREA
LOCALLY. NOT A `DROUGHT BUSTER`...BUT EVERY EVENT HELPS. THIS AMOUNT
OF RAINFALL HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY SUPPORTED BY THE SREF BOTH IN
TERMS OF MEAN AREAL AMOUNTS AND CORRESPONDING PROBABILITY OF
OCCURRENCE. ON THIS PACKAGE...MAX TEMPS WERE LOWERED A BIT ON WED TO
REFLECT NEW TIMING ADJUSTMENTS. OTRW...NO CHANGES. STUCK WITH MAV MOS
ON MIN TEMPS AND NUDGED 10-20% ABOVE MAV MOS DURG THE ABOVE DESCRIBED
"WET" TIME FRAME. OVERALL...IT LOOKS LIKE THINGS ARE PRETTY MUCH ON
TRACK.
Well I sure hope this pans out, especially for northern and central Alabama. It won't put a end to the drought but at least some relief is very welcomed.
