Low press. off/on FL coast

[Aric Dunn]

it appears to me the circulation is a bit more broad and that about 75 percent is offshore

while the backside is still over downtown jacksonville

actaully if you run the full zoom.. loop 25 images you can clearly see it moving ene and is offshore... its a farelly small and tight center...

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[Cyclone1]

Ok, now, low... We'll need you to stop in a few miles, so you can be Chantal.... ... ... ... ... ... ... Did I just talk to a sfc low?

[Aric Dunn]

it is easily evident on the Doppler velocities... but you need to see the loop ... you can try the jax radar from the nws site

[cpdaman]

ok u got me it is tighter

i don't detect ENE however but maybe i'm wrong again

it appears to be sinking south while sliding slowly east

[Aric Dunn]

ok u got me it is tighter

i don't detect ENE however but maybe i'm wrong again

it appears to be sinking south while sliding slowly east

its slow.. but the sat loop i posted earlier.. is very clear it exited jax and is now ene of jax a little it maybe more eastler .. but its moving slow

[Cyclone1]

its slow.. but the sat loop i posted earlier.. is very clear it exited jax and is now ene of jax a little it maybe more eastler .. but its moving slow

Gives it more time to develop.

[Aric Dunn]

its slow.. but the sat loop i posted earlier.. is very clear it exited jax and is now ene of jax a little it maybe more eastler .. but its moving slow

Gives it more time to develop.

yep

[AnnularCane]

Ok, now, low... We'll need you to stop in a few miles, so you can be Chantal.... ... ... ... ... ... ... Did I just talk to a sfc low?

If you do it often enough, eventually it seems like a natural thing to do.

Ummm, not that I ever do it.

[tailgater]

In these types of systems the center may form and reform many times,(usally nearer the strongest T storms).

[cpdaman]

fernandina beach bouy 29.89 hour ago up to 29.91 now nw winds for last hour

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=FRDF1

bouy just east of there has 79.5 degree water 81 yesterday borderline

[flwxwatcher]

ok u got me it is tighter

i don't detect ENE however but maybe i'm wrong again

it appears to be sinking south while sliding slowly east

Yes, it looks to me also to be moving just South of East

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[Cyclone1]

Ok, now, low... We'll need you to stop in a few miles, so you can be Chantal.... ... ... ... ... ... ... Did I just talk to a sfc low?

If you do it often enough, eventually it seems like a natural thing to do.

Ummm, not that I ever do it.

Oh, I do it all the time. In fact, I'm convinced I was the reason Barry formed. Gave him some moral support, ya know. I need help, really. Maybe we all do.

[StormTracker]

The JAX AFD info that I posted earlier was from their 2:30 p.m. discussion. I was waiting for an update but apparently the NWS has not posted anything more recent! Anywho, here's an excerpt(did I spell that correctly)from our(Miami)8:05 p.m. TWD:

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
NLY UPPER LEVEL WINDS DOMINATES MOST OF THE GULF ASSOCIATED WITH
AN UPPER HIGH THAT REMAINS CENTERED OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. AN
UPPER TROUGH IS DIGGING ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS AND A CUT OFF
LOW JUST IS N OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THESE UPPER WINDS ARE
ADVECTING UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE WESTERN GULF. AS OF
21Z...A 1012 MB LOW IS LOCATED OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA WITH A
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 27N89W. DOPPLER RADAR DEPICTS SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER N-CENTRAL FL ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW.
MODEST HIGH PRES RIDGING IS BUILDING SE W OF THE LOW. THIS
OVERALL WEAK PRES PATTERN IS PROVIDING THE AREA WITH LIGHT WINDS
AND LOW SEAS. THE GFS MODEL SHOWS THE WEAK LOW MOVING SLOWLY
INTO THE NE CORNER OF THE GULF THU TO FRI. SFC WINDS AND
MOISTURE MAY INCREASE ACROSS THE SRN WATERS AS THE CARIB
TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES SAT.

[Aric Dunn]

very clear.. ... its seems stationary now.. need to watch tonight .. its going to be interesting if it can stay offshore

[Cyclone1]

I like that red next to green. That's lookin good!

[Aric Dunn]

I like that red next to green. That's lookin good!

yep.. it needs to stay offshore.. or actually move further offshore would be better!!

[StormTracker]

Before posting the JAX AFD earlier I was baffled by the fact that they were saying this thing was gonna go into the GOM! IMO, I've gotta feeling this thing might just gather up enough energy on it's own and do what it wants to do(yes, I am aware of all the other forces that are at work in this scenario)! Remember, timing is everything!!!

[StormTracker]

I like that red next to green. That's lookin good!

yep.. it needs to stay offshore.. or actually move further offshore would be better!!

OK all S2K members in the vicinity of the low, go to the coastline and BLOW!!!

[jrod]

I won't see any development until I wake up tommorow. This thing needs to go offshore get into the OBX swell window.

[Cyclone1]

I like that red next to green. That's lookin good!

yep.. it needs to stay offshore.. or actually move further offshore would be better!!

OK all S2K members in the vicinity of the low, go to the coastline and BLOW!!!

It'll be about a 4 hour drive, which will be really hard because I don't have a car, BUT I'M ON MY WAY!