Thanks...Na...Looks like it will stay a wave. 0Z GFS doesn't develop it. Model does show deep tropical moisture surging to Texas and Louisiana next week.artist wrote:KFDM Meteorologist- have any updated thoughts? Thanks for posting here - it's good to hear what the pros think!
12Z GFS 6/20
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KFDM Meteorologist
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Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
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Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
Darnit! My son just closed on his first home and I started painting the exterior today (previous owner had it painted Ti++y Pink) 
. Looks like I'd best kick the ole paint brush in overdrive if I'm going to beat the rain AGAIN. Our soils are completely saturated as it is. Today is the first day it hasn't rain in a week.
. Looks like I'd best kick the ole paint brush in overdrive if I'm going to beat the rain AGAIN. Our soils are completely saturated as it is. Today is the first day it hasn't rain in a week.
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KFDM Meteorologist
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I hear ya!
Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
Hurricane Season Cancelled...Wouldn't suprise me one bit if we had a year like last year. I'm not educated on all of the forecast models like most on here, but it seems that if the season were going to be busy, some kind of tropical system of at least a tropical storm would have shown up by now...
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skysummit
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Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
Sjones wrote:Hurricane Season Cancelled...Wouldn't suprise me one bit if we had a year like last year. I'm not educated on all of the forecast models like most on here, but it seems that if the season were going to be busy, some kind of tropical system of at least a tropical storm would have shown up by now...
LOL....that's hilarious. Here's a quick answer for you.... June 21st.
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Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
People still base hurricane season on 2005.Last year was below average. The UK calls for 10 storms. These are just predictions. Under neutral conditions I think an above average year is expected.
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Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
skysummit wrote:Sjones wrote:Hurricane Season Cancelled...Wouldn't suprise me one bit if we had a year like last year. I'm not educated on all of the forecast models like most on here, but it seems that if the season were going to be busy, some kind of tropical system of at least a tropical storm would have shown up by now...
LOL....that's hilarious. Here's a quick answer for you.... June 21st.
Yes, it is June 21st...I do have a calendar...Thanx
. What I was referring to was that the Caribbean isn't "heating up" at this time, just a little system that will probably poof in the next 24 hours.
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fwbbreeze
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Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
but it seems that if the season were going to be busy, some kind of tropical system of at least a tropical storm would have shown up by now...
Ummm I might be mistaken...but havent we already had an A and B named system with the B system originating in the NW carib. ????
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HURAKAN
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Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
Sjones wrote:Hurricane Season Cancelled...Wouldn't suprise me one bit if we had a year like last year. I'm not educated on all of the forecast models like most on here, but it seems that if the season were going to be busy, some kind of tropical system of at least a tropical storm would have shown up by now...
June and July are not good months to judge a season. For example, on 2004 the first depression of the season formed on July 31st, and the season had at the end 15 system, well above average and with four hurricanes impacting Florida. In 1997 by the end of July the season had already 5 systems, including 2 hurricanes, but at the end the season ended with 8 storms. Years like 2005 are very uncommon. It's not normal to start active early and continue being active the entire season. Usually seasons can start early but then the end is slow, or start very slow and have a very big finish. That's why I don't averages because every season must be treated differently.
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Opal storm
Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
The only statement in your post that actually made sense.Sjones wrote:I'm not educated on all of the forecast models like most on here
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Scorpion
Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
Sjones wrote:Hurricane Season Cancelled...Wouldn't suprise me one bit if we had a year like last year. I'm not educated on all of the forecast models like most on here, but it seems that if the season were going to be busy, some kind of tropical system of at least a tropical storm would have shown up by now...
Funny how you should say that.... in 2005 Bret did not form until June 28. In 2004 there was absolutely nothing until July 31.
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Wx_Warrior
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Re: 12Z GFS 6/20
Just messing with you Cheezy...Need good weather for outdoor sports!
Cane season cancelled? Dang..I thought they fired Larry Coker so they wouldnt have to!
Cane season cancelled? Dang..I thought they fired Larry Coker so they wouldnt have to!
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