Wave in Caribbean Sea

[Opal storm]

This is a pretty impressive disturbance through my amateur eyes. It's in a hot spot for development during this time of the season, have too keep an eye on it.

[Sjones]

This is a pretty impressive disturbance through my amateur eyes. It's in a hot spot for development during this time of the season, have too keep an eye on it.

Wow, looks like I'm not the only "amateur" on this site. However back to the weather, the "Blob" does catch some eyes, and bares watching. Interesting to see if it will be an invest tomorrow morning

[Cyclone1]

This is a pretty impressive disturbance through my amateur eyes. It's in a hot spot for development during this time of the season, have too keep an eye on it.

Wow, looks like I'm not the only "amateur" on this site. However back to the weather, the "Blob" does catch some eyes, and bares watching. Interesting to see if it will be an invest tomorrow morning

Maybe even later tonight. (PS: I'd say maybe 85%* of all posters on this site are amateurs. )

*Statistics may be extremely false, because I have no clue.

[hial2]

Maybe even later tonight. (PS: I'd say maybe 85%* of all posters on this site are amateurs. )
.

I'd say closer to 97% would be more accurate..

[hawkeh]

What do the pro mets think about this? Don't be afraid guys

[x-y-no]

The great majority of us are amateurs - some very advanced, some less so.

The pro mets are labelled as such, and their names display in blue.

[punkyg]

If your not a pro met, then who is?

[Derek Ortt]

I'm seeing some hints of a very very weak MLC trying to form about 90km SE of the Nicaragua/Honduras border. Some low level inflow flowing into that region.

However, system is about to move inland, meaning the system would need to get into the BOC to have a chance, meaning nothing for at least 2-3 days, and by then, it could be ripped to shreds

Not much to be worried about at the monent regarding this weak disturbance, except for rain

[Ivanhater]

If your not a pro met, then who is?

You will see their user name in blue...Derek Ortt, wxman57, and Airforcemet are some of the main ones...

[x-y-no]

If your not a pro met, then who is?

Look for the names in blue, like Derek Ortt, KFDM Meteorologist, wxman57 and so on.

[Opal storm]

This is a pretty impressive disturbance through my amateur eyes. It's in a hot spot for development during this time of the season, have too keep an eye on it.

Wow, looks like I'm not the only "amateur" on this site. However back to the weather, the "Blob" does catch some eyes, and bares watching. Interesting to see if it will be an invest tomorrow morning

Wait a second, I thought you said the season was over?

[Sjones]

This is a pretty impressive disturbance through my amateur eyes. It's in a hot spot for development during this time of the season, have too keep an eye on it.

Wow, looks like I'm not the only "amateur" on this site. However back to the weather, the "Blob" does catch some eyes, and bares watching. Interesting to see if it will be an invest tomorrow morning

Wait a second, I thought you said the season was over?

Ha! Yes! I did! Wishful thinking...guess I jinxed it

[wxman57]

The thunderstorms certainly grab my attention, but as Derek said, the wave axis is right on the coast and moving westward (inland) Wind shear is forecast to increase across the NW Caribbean and southern Gulf over the next 2-3 days, so tropical development chances are low. But it does appear to be in a small area of low shear now. I think it'll be inland before it is "invest-worthy".

Long range, GFS continues to bring at least some of its moisture NW into Texas by Tuesday. 12Z ECMWF isn't as strong with the moisture moving into TX, but it does show increased SE flow across the western Gulf early next week.

[miamicanes177]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 212110
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2007

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE CONDITIONS DO
NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD.

As I have been saying, upper level winds are not favorable for development in this region.

[Cyclone1]

I'm going crazy, every storm keeps dying....

[Opal storm]

I'm going crazy, every storm keeps dying....

Hold your horses for a few more weeks.

[Cyclone1]

I'm going crazy, every storm keeps dying....

Hold your horses for a few more weeks.

Ok.... I'm ok.... I'd be fine with it if we had no storms till August. It's just these disturbances keep popping up and dying. Getting a little tiring.

[Normandy]

How it dead? It looks very alive to me...

[Cyclone1]

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. WHILE CONDITIONS DO
NOT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD.

Yep, it's another dud.

EDIT: Tropical cyclone-wise. This could still be dangerous because of torrential rainfall.

[Cyclone1]

How it dead? It looks very alive to me...

Not dead, just not developing. It'll soon crash into land.