Low press. off/on FL coast

[flwxwatcher]

Florida Surface OBS

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... SUS42.KTBW

[drezee]

I will say one thing, last night it was one heck of a lighning show at about 11pm from my 2nd story window! Titusville, FL

[Aric Dunn]

I will say one thing, last night it was one heck of a lighning show at about 11pm from my 2nd story window! Titusville, FL

well lightning is not very tropical ..

[Aric Dunn]

although the surface low did reform to the east as i said .. but the shear is just to strong .. unless it can drift further to the south

[artist]

I love the angle of the satellite here - looks pretty good -

[BigA]

The swirl does look like it is moving south at a fairly good clip, but it remains to be seen whether shear will be significantly less if it moves to the south.

[HURAKAN]

Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on June 22, 2007

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

The area of low pressure located about 100 miles off the East Coast
of northern Florida is producing disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity that extends a few hundred miles eastward
into the Atlantic. Upper-level winds remain unfavorable for
tropical cyclone formation.

Cloudiness and showers over the western Caribbean Sea and portions
of Central America are associated with a westward-moving tropical
wave. The shower activity has mostly diminished this morning and
significant development of this system is not anticipated.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

[JonathanBelles]

Its dark here. I give the shuttle landing a 10% chance right now for landing at KSC.

[Patrick99]

I've seen worse looking little lows. Hopefully the WSW flow it seems to be generating across S. Florida will spur some afternoon storms this way.

[cpdaman]

what is the shear values over the area ranging from fort pierce thru northern bahamas?

this low could be there (northwest bahamas) later this evening and flaring again maybe a last chance

[artist]

what is the shear values over the area ranging from fort pierce thru northern bahamas?

this low could be there (northwest bahamas) later this evening and flaring again maybe a last chance

here is a link for you -
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html

[cpdaman]

thanks for link i will save it still i wish i could see a shear loop because even the maps you provided leave some questions unanswered but this is the map i was looking for anyway

also to ammend my last post i'm not so sure the low is moving to the south that much maybe a drift-3 miles an hour

[cpdaman]

last hour seems to have started nudging on a generally SSE movement

here we go, this has about the same odds of developing into a named system as the marlins do of winning the world series? what does that mean?

small yes, but more than you think

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Nice naked LLC but no convection over it. Shear is very strong...Maybe I was wrong to say it was more favorable then normal. It appears that it switched to more unfavorable, which is normal...But that also go's to say that the season won't get going for another few weeks or months at that.

[lester]

The chances of this lp developing is pretty slim atm

[Aric Dunn]

would not count it out yest.. shear is forecast to lighten and the LLC or low cloud swirl which by the way is till well defined is moving south again in to a 10 kt shear environment .. and it is expected to decrease or the next 12 hour down to near five kt.. now im not saying believe this has a chance i just never say never till its gone.... oh and the mid level dry air that has been plaguing it will also moisten up

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

i wish it would rain more in florida.

[Aric Dunn]

would not count it out yest.. shear is forecast to lighten and the LLC or low cloud swirl which by the way is till well defined is moving south again in to a 10 kt shear environment .. and it is expected to decrease or the next 12 hour down to near five kt.. now im not saying believe this has a chance i just never say never till its gone.... oh and the mid level dry air that has been plaguing it will also moisten up

let me add this ...

[flwxwatcher]

i wish it would rain more in florida.

Well... the models are showing a Tropical Wave affecting Florida Mid-week.. Lets hope it pans out and brings us some much needed precip :)

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

hopefully the tropical wave gives
florida rain cause right now it
is very hot and very dry....

The intensity of the sun's angle is
unbearable on a rainless dry day
like today