No big deal [Florida straits]

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Aric Dunn
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#21 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 11:25 am

well how about that its a satellite image!
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Re: No big deal

#22 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 12:19 pm

Just take a look ... hmmm.. sometimes you just need not to disregard things so quickly .. need to wait and see.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

thats is three runs of the CMC
and yes the CMC is not the greatest but it does have a tendency to show things everything else does not right away..
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Derek Ortt

Re: No big deal

#23 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jun 27, 2007 12:28 pm

not seeing any surface organization, unless you consider outflow boundaries organization
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Re: No big deal

#24 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 12:32 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:not seeing any surface organization, unless you consider outflow boundaries organization


i agree not much there .. there may not be anything ever.. but i have similar situations ...
not the outflow.. the over all curvature
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#25 Postby Cyclone1 » Wed Jun 27, 2007 3:23 pm

Hmm looks like no big deal. Maybe if a low forms, it'll still be no big deal. Because it's looking like it could form. Oh well, who cares. Certainly not me. I don't even know why I'm posting.
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#26 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 3:24 pm

because you know its no big deal!! hint hint clue clue
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#27 Postby Cyclone1 » Wed Jun 27, 2007 3:27 pm

hint hint clue clue? Why, my dear Aric, I haven't any idea of what you speak. I am not using sarcasm and I am not interested in this area WHATSOEVER. Really. I'm not. It's no big deal.... ... r-really.
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Re: No big deal

#28 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Jun 27, 2007 3:31 pm

Actually this could be a big deal because
persistent low level convergence may produce very
heavy rains over the next 2 days over
especially south florida.

Now as for tropical development, I do not
know...I'll wait until forecast discussions later
this afternoon.
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#29 Postby fci » Wed Jun 27, 2007 3:32 pm

Quick!
Something happen soon since everyone is SO BORED.
Just read this thread and you will see that the natives are definitely restless! :roll: :roll:
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Re:

#30 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 3:35 pm

fci wrote:Quick!
Something happen soon since everyone is SO BORED.
Just read this thread and you will see that the natives are definitely restless! :roll: :roll:


wow thats cool .. yep
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Re: No big deal

#31 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Jun 27, 2007 3:49 pm

:lol:
This thread's joke-satire is comical....

Have no fear
Big Blob to the rescue!!!
:cheesy: :cheesy: :cheesy:
The blob near florida will
become a BIG deal tonight
and tomorrow
as it brings bands of very
heavy rain across the state.

Just wait, this could be a pretty
good washout for parts of
florida the next couple days.
There is a lot of low level convergence...
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Re: No big deal

#32 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 3:56 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote::lol:
This thread's joke-satire is comical....

Have no fear
Big Blob to the rescue!!!
:cheesy: :cheesy: :cheesy:
The blob near florida will
become a BIG deal tonight
and tomorrow
as it brings bands of very
heavy rain across the state.

Just wait, this could be a pretty
good washout for parts of
florida the next couple days.
There is a lot of low level convergence...

awesome .. there you go !!
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Re: No big deal

#33 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 4:02 pm

Image
Image
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Re: No big deal

#34 Postby boca » Wed Jun 27, 2007 4:02 pm

This wave was only pencil thin approaching Puerto Rico on Monday, it matured to a convection mess over the Bahamas today thanks to the divergence caused by the upper low.
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#35 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 4:06 pm

things are changing.. most south Florida and Bahamas reporting stations show either ene or NE winds.. verse earlier today everything was ese to e
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Re: No big deal

#36 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 4:07 pm

boca wrote:This wave was only pencil thin approaching Puerto Rico on Monday, it matured to a convection mess over the Bahamas today thanks to the divergence caused by the upper low.


yep ..
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Re: No big deal

#37 Postby boca » Wed Jun 27, 2007 4:07 pm

The wave looks better today than yesterday,if pressures in the Central Bahamas lower than its a shot of more organized rain then this diarnal effects a wave can have.
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#38 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 4:10 pm

000
ABNT20 KNHC 272105
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM CUBA NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE BAHAMAS...AND THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FOR
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...
FLORIDA...AND CUBA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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#39 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 27, 2007 4:11 pm

no big deal !
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Re:

#40 Postby boca » Wed Jun 27, 2007 4:12 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:000
ABNT20 KNHC 272105
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM CUBA NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE BAHAMAS...AND THE WESTERN ATLANTIC FOR
SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...
FLORIDA...AND CUBA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Notice the NHC doesn't give movement to this tropical wave.
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