SE TX / SW LA Discussion - Hot! Hot! Hot!

[jasons2k]

I think we're going to see a lot more today than we did yesterday; I think the NWS will end-up raising rain chances upward from 30%. We're getting plenty of heating this AM and I expect the storms currently popping to our west to head this way in the afternoon.

[jasons2k]

So far not that much, I might end-up busting on this as the subsidence ahead of the next wave is winning out so far.

[Ptarmigan]

So far not that much, I might end-up busting on this as the subsidence ahead of the next wave is winning out so far.

I don't see much dry air in the satellite image.
WV Satellite

Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 N Lon: 95.35 W Elev: 95 ft
Last Update on Jun 27, 4:53 pm CDT

Mostly Cloudy

90°F
(32°C) Humidity: 56 %
Wind Speed: S 18 MPH
Barometer: 29.99" (1015.2 mb)
Dewpoint: 72°F (22°C)
Heat Index: 97°F (36°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi

Camp Mabry / Austin City
Lat: 30.32 N Lon: 97.77 W Elev: 621 ft
Last Update on Jun 27, 4:51 pm CDT

A Few Clouds

88°F
(31°C) Humidity: 52 %
Wind Speed: W 6 MPH
Barometer: 29.96" (1013.1 mb)
Dewpoint: 68°F (20°C)
Heat Index: 92°F (33°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.

Burnet Municipal Craddock Field
Lat: 30.74 N Lon: 98.23 W Elev: 1283 ft
Last Update on Jun 27, 4:53 pm CDT

Mostly Cloudy

79°F
(26°C) Humidity: 69 %
Wind Speed: SW 13 MPH
Barometer: 30.00" (1014.4 mb)
Dewpoint: 68°F (20°C)
Heat Index: 81°F (27°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.

[Extremeweatherguy]

we lucked out today. I didn't get a drop of rain!

[Tireman4]

I do wonder what the weekend will be like

[srainhoutx]

afternoon AFD from HOU/GAL concerning this weekend and next week...

000
FXUS64 KHGX 281949
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
250 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

.DISCUSSION...
SLOWLY INCREASING MOISTURE AND LESS MID/UPPER SUBSIDENCE ON FRIDAY
WILL LEAD TO A BIT MORE PRECIP COVERAGE WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND
SEABREEZE. DEEPER GULF MOISTURE STILL FCST TO ARRIVE THIS
WEEKEND...POSSIBLY PEAKING SUNDAY AND MONDAY. POPS MAY EVENTUALLY
NEED TO BE INCREASED TO THE LIKELY CATEGORY THOSE 2 DAYS BUT WILL
HOLD THEM AT 50% FOR NOW. SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
STORMS EXPECTED AGAIN TUE-THURS WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN OVERALL WX
PATTERN OTHER THAN SLIGHTLY LOWER PW`S. H5 TROF/WEAKNESS STILL
ON THE TEXAS CHARTS THRU NEXT WEEK. MODEL CONSENSUS SHOWS A GRADUAL
SOUTH & WESTWARD SHIFT OF THE TROF TOWARD THE BIG BEND AREA BY THIS
TIME NEXT WEEK AS MID LEVEL RIDGE TRIES TO BUILD TO ITS NORTH. 47

[Tireman4]

Great. Another day I may have to run indoors. Lovely.

[srainhoutx]

Great. Another day I may have to run indoors. Lovely.

I feel the same way Tireman4. With company in from the UK and more arriving from the FL Keys Monday for a big 4th of July party, I'm just thrilled

[Extremeweatherguy]

wow! What a crazy, crazy day on the runway at IAH! When I was about to take off for Seattle around 1pm an amazing storm moved in. Winds picked up and shook the plane everywhere (they were easily 50mph+), and it was pretty scary. I felt like I was in a full-blown tropical storm! I have never seen anything like it while in an airplane, and it resulted in a 1+ hour weather delay. Not fun at all..

How did everyone else fare from the storms today? Any damages?

[JenBayles]

EWG - that line of storms developed just outside the BC Dome and we got clipped. Just as they got out of Dome range, they just blew up! The Houston Barnacle had a report about it in the paper saying people lost fences, roof shingles and tree branches. Good thing the plane wasn't in the air! I flew through a storm going from OK City to Houston and pretty much prayed the whole way. We got knocked around bad enough that the barf bags came out somewhere south of Dallas, and lightning flashed all around the plane just about continuously. I finally had to close the window shade it was so freaky. Don't think I've ever prayed so hard in my life.

[JenBayles]

I have to laugh - TWC says 40% for tomorrow, so of course that's the one Dave believes - he SO wants to play in the pool this weekend! Now the HGX crew have us at 60% tomorrow, tomorrow night, 70% Sunday and Sunday night, 50% on Monday....

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
741 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

.DISCUSSION...
ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN THIS EVENING
AND THOSE SHOULD BE DISSIPATING RATHER QUICKLY WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. UPDATED FORECAST SHOULD BE OUT WITH LOWER RAIN
CHANCES TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE
MORNING HOURS AS DEEP MOISTURE MOVES ONSHORE ONCE MORE.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BE MORE NUMEROUS THAN TODAY. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST PACKAGE LOOKS ON TRACK SO NO NEED FOR
FURTHER UPDATES.

39

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 317 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007/

DISCUSSION...
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUING TO MOVE INTO SE TX IN OFF THE
GULF THIS AFTN. RADAR STILL FAIRLY ACTIVE AS PCPN KEEPS DEVELOP-
ING OVER THE WATERS/MOVING NORTH INLAND. WET WEEKEND FCST STILL
ON TRACK WITH PWS PEAKING AOA 2.3"-2.4" ON SUN AS THE UPPER LOW
(THAT HAS CAUSED ALL THE PROBLEMS OVER SC TX THIS PAST WEEK) TO
LINGER ON (TRAPPED BETWEEN RIDGES ON BOTH COASTS). THE LOW FCST
TO MOVE OFF TO THE SW DURING THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK AS THE
RIDGE OUT WEST AMPLIFIES AND A TROF DEVELOPING TO THE EAST WILL
HELP PUSH A FRONT DOWN TOWARD THE STATE. THE FRONT NOT EXPECTED
TO REACH THE TX COAST...BUT INSTEAD SHOULD SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
(MAINLY AFTN/EVE) CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE WEEK. ALONG
WITH THE SEABREEZE...DAYTIME HEATING AND PROGS OF NEARLY PERSIS-
TENT PWS AOA 2"...WE SHOULD MAINTAIN A GOOD CHC OF POPS FOR THE
WEEK (INCLUDING THE HOLIDAY). LOOKING AHEAD THERE DOES NOT SEEM
TO BE MUCH OF A BREAK FROM THE WET STUFF AS LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE
INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL WEAKNESS/ELONGATED SHEAR AXIS REDUX AT
AT 240HRS (NEXT SUN) OVER THE REGION...AND POSSIBLY ANOTHER LOW
DEVELOPING ALOFT. PERSISTENCE LOOKS GOOD FOR TEMPS. ALSO...WILL
HOLD OFF ON THE MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ZONES ATTM
BUT IT IS ALREADY MENTIONED IN THE HWO FOR THE WEEKEND.

[Yankeegirl]

My wedding is on the 7th of July... It better stop raining by then!!!

[KatDaddy]

It only lasted a few minutes but the weather station recorded a high rainfall rate of 6.78". Setting at only .28" for the day. Its nice having the weather station online so I can track the weather.

http://www.flanakins.com

[JenBayles]

Well done KD! Well done! What "flavor" of weather station are you using?

[JenBayles]

The sky just turned BLACK here and thunder rumbling around. Here we go again with the daily question: will the Bear Creek Dome win another round?

[southerngale]

There's some pretty intense pop-up showers around here. Someone posted on a local board that there was hail in Port Arthur and they got a pic of a funnel cloud. Someone said it touched down in Groves (Port Arthur, Groves, Nederland, Port Neches, etc. all run together), but someone else said that they thought it didn't.

Anyhow, here's the pic:

[KatDaddy]

Hey Jen thanks! I am using the Davis Wireless Vantage Pro 2 weather station.

[JenBayles]

As usual, the Dome prevails this morning as evidenced by that little circle of nothing on the west side of Houston's radar image.

Yankee - have you been down Hiway 6 through Addics Reservoir lately? I was shocked to see it within a couple feet of the highway yesterday. I've lived here since 1980, and twice seen Hiway 6 and Eldridge shut down by flood waters - not a pretty sight to see. Much more rain in our watershed to the NW and there's gonna be some seriously PO'd commuters!

[Yankeegirl]

No, I havent gone down that way... I try no too... Hate the traffic... Whats with the storms all around Houston?

[JenBayles]

Yankee, you know the answer to that question - it's the DOME!