Daily tropical updates and advisories

mf_dolphin · #101 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Thu Jun 19, 2003 6:27 pm

We asked the Forecast Team to just post the link as a way of getting people to explore the Weather Central :-)

#102 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jun 19, 2003 8:57 pm

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#103 Postby **vbhoutex** » Fri Jun 20, 2003 7:49 am

8am tropical update for Friday June 20, 2003 is posted at: http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#104 Postby **vbhoutex** » Fri Jun 20, 2003 11:04 am

11am tropical update for Friday June 20, 2003 is posted at: http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#105 Postby **vbhoutex** » Fri Jun 20, 2003 5:04 pm

5Pm tropical update for Friday June 20, 2003 is posted at: http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#106 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jun 20, 2003 9:13 pm

Tropical weather outlook 10:00 PM EDT June 20 2003

A tropical wave located south of the capeverde islands is moving west 10-20 mph but it has lost convection however a weak mid-level low pressure is with the wave.But development if any will be slow to occur.The storm2k forecasters will monitor the wave for any sign that it might develop.

For the entire atlantic basin tropical storm formation is not expected thru sunday.

Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) Storm2k forecasters

#107 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:02 am

8am tropical update for Friday June 21, 2003 is posted at: http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#108 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sat Jun 21, 2003 11:29 am

11:30am tropical update for Saturday June 21, 2003 is posted at: http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#109 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jun 21, 2003 5:19 pm

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#110 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jun 21, 2003 9:06 pm

Tropical weather outlook 10:00 PM EDT 6/21/03 atlantic basin Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)

1| A westward moving tropical wave located around 900 miles SW of the cape verde islands has gained convection in the past hours but hostile conditions are ahead of the wave and because of that tropical cyclone formation is not expected but the storm2k forecasters will monitor the wave.

1| Elsewhere...Tropical storm formation is not expected thru monday.

#111 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jun 22, 2003 7:01 am

1|Tropical weather outlook 8:00 AM EDT 6/22/03 Atlantic basin Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)

1|A tropical wave is moving west 10-20 mph and is with scattered showers but development is unlikely as it will go to southamerica.

1|Elsewhere tropical storm formation is not expected thru monday.

Stormsfury · #112 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sun Jun 22, 2003 3:55 pm

Tropical Weather Outlook
Issued: June 22nd, 2003
5:00 pm EDT (2100z)

Another wave has come off of Africa, however, environmental conditions are not favorable for development as it moves westward. A small area of low pressure continues to spin in the Central Atlantic but is in conjunction with an ULL and not expected to develop. There are no other significant features in the North Atlantic at this time ... thus tropical storm formation is not expected thru Monday ...

Forecaster: SF

Don't forget to visit Weather Central to stay up to date on the tropics plus USA weather ...

#113 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jun 22, 2003 9:06 pm

1|Tropical weather outlook 10:00 PM EDT 6/22/03 Atlantic basin Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)

1| A strong tropical wave has just emerged africa with a cyclonic pattern and plenty of convection.Surface observations indicates a good windfield with it and low pressures but development if any will be very slow to occur but the storm2k forecasters will be monitering the wave for signs of development.

1|Elsewhere tropical storm is not expected thru tuesday.

#114 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Jun 23, 2003 6:40 am

The current 6:30am tropical update for Monday June 23, 2003 is posted at: http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#115 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 23, 2003 10:18 am

1|Tropical weather outlook 11:00 AM EDT 6/23/03 atlantic basin Luis martinez (Cycloneye) storm2k forecaster

1|The ITCZ is fairly active in the atlantic with some tropical waves embedded in it but development is not expected.

1|Elsewhere...Tropical storm is not expected thru tuesday.

#116 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 23, 2003 4:11 pm

Tropical weather outlook 5:00 PM EDT 6/23/03 atlantic basin Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) Storm2k forecaster

The ITCZ is fairly active with tropical waves embedded in it but conditions are not favorable for development.

Elsewhere...Tropical storm formation is not expected thru wendesday.

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#117 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 23, 2003 9:08 pm

Tropical weather outlook 10:00 PM EDT 6/23/03 Atlantic basin Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)

Tropical storm formation is not expected thru wendesday.

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

#118 Postby **wxman57** » Mon Jun 23, 2003 9:43 pm

That system in the Caribbean Sea has me concerned for a couple of reasons. What I see now is a tropical wave SSW of Jamaica interacting with an upper-level low NE of Honduras. The low is moving to the west at 10-15 mph. Now there isn't much convection associated with the wave, but there's a tremendous amount of moisture (see water vapor loop). The GFS has been hinting at something developing in the Gulf for the past few days as the upper low kicks out to the west and disappears and high pressure (aloft) builds over the southern Gulf and NW Caribbean. I think the GFS may have the right idea here. Systems like this need to be watched <b>very closely</b>. They can go from nothing (like today) to near TD strength in 24 hours. This is a time-bomb ready to go off in the NW Caribbean or southern Gulf this coming weekend.

As for its chances, I still give it no more than a 10-15% shot at developing into a storm. But if convection begins to increase NE of Honduras in the next few days then the chances are going to go up considerably.

Another reason I'm concerned about this system is that I'll be flying to Mississippi on Wednesday and not coming back until Sunday night. I can just see this thing ruining my hurricane seminar in Alabama and my vacation in Mississippi! :wink:

#119 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 23, 2003 9:49 pm

Yes agree 100% on your anaylisis of that area that we will have to watch it and if it develops more convection definitly it will be a player in the comming days and for sure the storm2k forecast team will monitor it but in base of what is out there tonight there is little to add it to the tropical weather outlook of storm2k but tommorow I will be mentioning it at those outlooks definitly.

ColdFront77 · #120 Postby **ColdFront77** » Mon Jun 23, 2003 10:24 pm

I've been watching this feature in the western Caribbean, today (Monday) and it does have an interesting appearance. We shall see.

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