C/S TX Weather: Seasonal with some rains

[srainhoutx]

WOW! What a terrible event...


FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC019-031-053-171-259-265-299-281845-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1042 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BANDERA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BANDERA...
BLANCO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ROUND MOUNTAIN...BLANCO...
BURNET COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MARBLE FALLS...BURNET...BERTRAM...
GILLESPIE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG...
KENDALL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...COMFORT...BOERNE...
KERR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF KERRVILLE...
LLANO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...LLANO...KINGSLAND...BUCHANAN DAM...

* UNTIL 145 PM CDT

* AT 1037 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED
TO DETECT THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED
AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED FLASH FLOODING. RAINFALL RATES
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WERE INDICATED FROM THE OAKALLA TO
BURNET TO KINGSLAND TO HYE TO BOERNE TO PIPE CREEK. LOCAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. SOME STREAMS ARE RUNNING NEAR
BANKFULL. SOME OF THIS RAIN WILL FALL OVER AREAS THAT EXPERIENCED
MAJOR FLOODING ON WEDNESDAY. THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WILLOW
CITY...TOW...SUNRISE BEACH VILLAGE...SPICEWOOD...PEDERNALES FALLS
STATE PARK...MEADOWLAKES...LBJ STATE PARK...JOHNSON CITY...INKS
LAKE STATE PARK...HORSESHOE BAY...GRANITE SHOALS...ENCHANTED ROCK
STATE PARK...CYPRESS MILL AND CASTELL

WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROAD...TURN AROUND DON`T DROWN. THE LIFE YOU
SAVE MAY BE YOUR OWN.

[Portastorm]

Here we are ... some 10 days after I started this thread and not much has changed.

More rain for central and south central Texas through the Fourth of the July and (more) flooding in some parts of our area is likely!

Not sure how today will shake out though as I suspect the massive complex of storms along the middle and upper Texas coast ought to be shutting off the Gulf inflow.

[Kelarie]

Well I came to work with my water wings and inflatable rubber ducky. So I am all set when the flash flooding starts.

Good graces, I have not seen weather like this. It is crazy. But it looks like Houston is taking a beating this morning.

[cctxhw]

Over 9 inches here at the Corpus Airport this morning. My five inch rain guage on the far northwest side of town was full at my home when I went home for lunch.

More on the way? No thank you.

[Kelarie]

Latest from Austin/San Antonio NWS

IN THE SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-WEDNESDAY NIGHT) COPIOUS MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN WHILE A LOW PRESSURE CENTER SLIDES SOUTHWEST BACK INTO THE
HILL COUNTRY EARLY TUESDAY, THEN DOWN THROUGH THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY, THEN SIT JUST WEST OF WEBB COUNTY
ALL DAY WEDNESDAY. UNTIL NOW WE HAVE HAD LIMITED HIGH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OVER SMALL AREAS. BUT ONCE THE LOW CENTER MOVES IN, THIS
WILL KEEP RAINS GOING IN ITS VICINITY CONTINUOUSLY. ALSO A SURFACE
BOUNDARY WILL APPEAR IN THE AREA, THUS HIGH RAINFALL COVERAGE WILL
INCREASE. WILL REISSUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO COVER ALL COUNTIES
AND RUN THROUGH MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED TO RUN 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH HIGHER TOTALS APPROACHING 15
INCHES. THE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXPANDED IN TIME AS THIS EVENT
EVOLVES.

IN THE LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY) THE UPPER LOW CONTINUE
TO DRIFT WEST AWAY FROM THE COUNTY WARNING AREA AS THE UPPER HIGH
NOSES INTO THE CENTRAL U.S., THEN POKES SOUTH INTO TEXAS. RAIN
CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF FROM THE EAST FOR THE WEEKEND. ONCE THE
UPPER HIGH SITS OVER US FOR A FEW DAYS, THE RAINS WILL BE LIMITED
TO HEAT INDUCED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

[Portastorm]

Amazingly enough, the metro area has avoided any rainfall of significance since last week. Wonder if our "luck" will hold out.

[Portastorm]

Once again, we dodged a bullet on Monday. The Austin metro area received some general quarter-inch rainfall last evening but nothing that created flash flood conditions.

The streams/creeks/rivers/lakes remain at bankfull and it won't take much to put them over the edge.

Lake Travis is predicted to be at 701 feet today, about 15 feet below the emergency spillway mark. The lake is only 9 feet below it's all-time level (710 ft).

[Shoshana]

from KXAN.com: (agreeing with the NWS...)

There is potentially very bad news today for Central Texas areas threatened by continued flooding. An upper level low pressure area now situated over North Texas is forecast to move southwest, centering over the Hill Country Today into Wednesday.

This could bring rainfall totals as high as 8-15 inches, would could create disastrous flooding in areas affected by the runoff.

I sure hope it doesn't happen!!!!

[Portastorm]

As I sit here wondering if that massive blob of rain is truly heading our way ... here's some reading:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
502 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2007

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-051015-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
502 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD WILL COMBINE
WITH A VERY MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE AREA. THERE IS A MODERATE
TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM WAVES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.

[Shoshana]

From watching the news, they seem to think that most of the heavy rain will be west and south of Austin... we'll see.

So far today we've had some brief but heavy downpours. We're east of I35 on the far north side of town. We don't tend to get the heaviest rainfalls over here - the blobs tend to steer around us for some reason.

Which is ok with me.

[Portastorm]

From watching the news, they seem to think that most of the heavy rain will be west and south of Austin... we'll see.

So far today we've had some brief but heavy downpours. We're east of I35 on the far north side of town. We don't tend to get the heaviest rainfalls over here - the blobs tend to steer around us for some reason.

Which is ok with me.

Yeah Shoshana, it hasn't been too bad here in far north Austin either. We've received between a quarter and half inch of rain. All of this though will only compound the river flooding from Austin downstream. Our neighbors to the south and southeast are really getting hammered.

[Shoshana]

More brief but very heavy rain today. No thunderstorm like yesterday though.

[Shoshana]

Looks like possible big floods again -

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
AREAS...ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...
BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...DE WITT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...
GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...
KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MEDINA...REAL...
TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON AND WILSON COUNTIES.

* THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

* NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OVER ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS ACROSS A LARGE PART OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS EVENING. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING RAINFALL
RATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES PER HOUR...AND THE TRAINING OF
STORMS COULD RESULT IN SPOTTY 5 TO 10 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS BY
TONIGHT.

* THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS TO
RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING WITH AS LITTLE AS ONE INCH OF RAIN.
MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE BANKFULL...AND
WILL QUICKLY RISE WITH THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS.

[vbhoutex]

I'm becoming convinced that most of South Central and South East will float away into the Gulf relatively soon unless we get a break from all this rain!!!!

[Shoshana]

No break today. Thunderstorms in progress.

Flash flood warning. Flood advisory.

We haven't seen any hail though ... yet.

[Portastorm]

We had some amazing flash flooding in my part of AUstin, including a high-water rescue. The creek beds and low-water crossings were nearly at the road level last night. I don't think I've ever seen that happen.

Meanwhile, Austin hit its yearly average total rainfall yesterday ... and we still have 5 months to go. What a weird summer!

[Shoshana]

Glad you're ok!!!

We didn't get much here. Seems like most rain goes west of us... right now it's rumbling and cloudy, no rain.

[Starburst]

we got another 4 inches here yesterday early and we have had an inch already this morning from a stray shower... I think we may float away if that blob in the gulf comes anywhere near.

[Portastorm]

Yeah Starburst, y'all have been under the gun down there in the last 24 hours.

I share your concern about the "Gulf blob." That's the last thing we need right now.

Btw, been raining here in downtown Austin the last hour or so. Next verse, same as the first!

[Kelarie]

It has most certainly been interesting with this years weather. I don't know if summer has hit or not. But I had heard on one of the local casts, that this wet weather could keep up until October. Wouldn't it be interesting if it kept up until December/January? Just imagine the impact with a real good cold front....

Stay dry