Could this just maybe have some bearing on what is going on? This is from March of this year.
3. Key Events:
o Monday=s Keynote Address by VADM Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Jr., USN (Ret.), Under
Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere/Administrator of the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). VADM Lautenbacher began by highlighting the
success we have achieved with track forecasts, noting the 48-hour track forecasts have
improved 3.5 percent per year on average since 1985. Intensity forecasts, however, have
only improved about 0.8 percent per year—that’s where the challenge lies. Whether we’re
talking about data collection and observations; modeling and prediction; transition from
research to operations; or preparedness, response, and recovery; the key to future success is
collaborative partnerships and coordination among the federal agencies, non-government
organizations, the international community, the academic community, and the private sector.
One initiative that VADM Lautenbacher highlighted was the Geo-Targeted Alerting...
and a quote from Mr. Proenza from the same conference -
- Mr. Proenza began by stating that despite the high level of national concern over the
threat to life and the Nation’s economic well-being, insufficient resources prevents
needed operational science and technology infusion into the Nation’s hurricane warning
program. As a result, the tropical cyclone community is compelled to make
extraordinary efforts to “partner” our national talents and resources to meet operational
needs. In fact, the interagency strategic research plan for tropical cyclones cites the need
for large investments in operational hurricane research and development efforts. The
success of the plan, however, will rest on the federal agencies’ ability to develop and
fund an interagency implementation strategy under the sponsorship of the OFCM.
There is a lot more. This is from The 61st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference (IHC)
There are a total of 5 pages. The link is -
http://www.ofcm.gov/ihc07/61ihc_summary ... 032107.pdf
I just am thinking this is much more complex than we are all seeing - maybe having to do with the future of operations as has been mentioned before, etc. Just thinking here. I'd love to get some others thoughts.
