Tropical Wave in Western Caribbean

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Aric Dunn
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Re: Disturbed Area In Eastern Caribbean

#281 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:22 pm

windstorm99 wrote:According to the NHC pressures continue to fall and outflow is becoming better defined per the 8:05pm discussion i posted above.


i have a werid question .. why is it .. that some people on here ... can post a very short sentence.. but the post be so big .. but most of it blank..
















its really annoying..
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#282 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:24 pm

oh and sorry for all the weird.. posts... its just sometimes a break from the monotonous.. frame by frame loop watching.. is a good thing..
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#283 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:27 pm

CourierPR,I edited the title to put Strong Tropical Wave instead of Disturbed weather as the Strong Tropical Wave is referenced in the 8 PM EDT discussion by TPC.
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#284 Postby Recurve » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:29 pm

oh and sorry for all the weird.. posts... its just sometimes a break from the monotonous.. frame by frame loop watching.. is a good thing..


Thankfully, we're not staring at a naked swirl and trying to blow some life into it.

[and thanks for the title change Cycloneye.]
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#285 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:33 pm

...Anyway, convection has definately concentrated over the northeastern Lesser Antilles. It will be interesting to see whether this persists overnight or not because if so we could possibly begin to see some cyclogensis begin tomorrow IMO.
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#286 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:35 pm

Exverpt from 8:05 NHC Disc:

STRONG EASTERN CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 66W/67W IS BECOMING
ACTIVE WITH NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION DEVELOPING
OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...ANTIGUA...ST MAARTEN AND
ANGUILLA. SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE FALLEN 2-3 MB OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT WINDWARD ISLANDS AND
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS EXPANDING AND BECOMING
BETTER DEFINED WITH TIME. IN ADDITION SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE NOTED
OVER THE PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WAS OCCURRING OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC
FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 61W-66W.
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#287 Postby canegrl04 » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:37 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Exverpt from 8:05 NHC Disc:

STRONG EASTERN CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 66W/67W IS BECOMING
ACTIVE WITH NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION DEVELOPING
OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...ANTIGUA...ST MAARTEN AND
ANGUILLA. SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE FALLEN 2-3 MB OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT WINDWARD ISLANDS AND
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS EXPANDING AND BECOMING
BETTER DEFINED WITH TIME. IN ADDITION SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE NOTED
OVER THE PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WAS OCCURRING OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC
FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 61W-66W.



Why don't they just go ahead and make this INVEST97 already ? :roll:
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#288 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:39 pm

because.. its not .. a invest yet... until it is..


its the wheel of fortune tropical game show.. :)
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Re: Disturbed Area In Eastern Caribbean

#289 Postby Berwick Bay » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:40 pm

Okay, 285 is somewhat W of WNW. I spoke of WNW and was quoted by others about where a WNW course would lead. My point was that true WNW will lead to where I said. But I am aware that these things are rounded off, with 285 being W of WNW. We'll see if the actual course turns out to be closer to 285 or 270.
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#290 Postby vaffie » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:41 pm

if it continues to organize as rapidly as it did today, it will be an invest by tomorrow night.
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Re: Disturbed Area In Eastern Caribbean

#291 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:43 pm

Berwick Bay wrote:Okay, 285 is somewhat W of WNW. I spoke of WNW and was quoted by others about where a WNW course would lead. My point was that true WNW will lead to where I said. But I am aware that these things are rounded off, with 285 being W of WNW. We'll see if the actual course turns out to be closer to 285 or 270.


give it up...

your talking semantics now...

for instance.. its heading 280.32456
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#292 Postby hial2 » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:43 pm

canegrl04 wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Exverpt from 8:05 NHC Di

Why don't they just go ahead and make this INVEST97 already ? :roll:


Does it really matter to the board? It's like being married vs living together..only thing missing is to make it official..
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Re: Disturbed Area In Eastern Caribbean

#293 Postby cpdaman » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:43 pm

WNW indicates a motion anywhere from 282-303 degrees (within more than one degree of accuracy)

the exact median of a WNW direction is 292.5 degrees (but then again this is just a matter of semantics)
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Re:

#294 Postby canegrl04 » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:46 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:because.. its not .. a invest yet... until it is..


its the wheel of fortune tropical game show.. :)



Here we go C_ _ N _ _ L :lol: Vanna,I'd like to buy an "A"
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#295 Postby Recurve » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:47 pm

Low-level flow currently (2100 UTC 19 July)

Image
Shot at 2007-07-19



From: CIMSS-WISC.EDU

[Sorry messed up image link. Use the CIMSS link to see fullsize]
Last edited by Recurve on Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#296 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:47 pm

Oh boy.Already some are talking about 270,280,285,300 etc,etc etc? when there is no well defined surface low to track? :)
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#297 Postby vaffie » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:48 pm

A 1010.1 mb reading reported at 16.4N, 65.7 W. That's the lowest reading we've seen so far.--110 miles due south of eastern Puerto Rico.

20/00 V7CY9 16.4 -65.7 25.5 080 8 1010.1 0.2 V7CY9
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#298 Postby srainhoutx » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:49 pm

cycloneye wrote:Oh boy.Already some are talking about 270,280,285,300 etc,etc etc? when there is no well defined surface low to track? :)

:notworthy:
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Re: Strong Tropical Wave in Eastern Caribbean

#299 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:50 pm

cycloneye wrote:Oh boy.Already some are talking about 270,280,285,300 etc,etc etc? when there is no well defined surface low to track? :)



you did not hear.. its the wheel of fortune tropical game...
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#300 Postby storms in NC » Thu Jul 19, 2007 7:51 pm

OMG I have been gone for 7 hours and it was only on page 4. now let me see what is going on I guess I will be reading for a bit. LOL
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