Signs of change from global models

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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Signs of change from models

#21 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu Jul 19, 2007 10:48 am

Best looking wave of the season pushing off Africa

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Re: Signs of change from models

#22 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Thu Jul 19, 2007 11:00 am

More to come in the next coming weeks 8-)
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Re: Signs of change from models

#23 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 19, 2007 12:14 pm

12z GFS Loop

:uarrow: :uarrow:

Nothing to open eyebrows,however this 12z run shows some weak lows in the Eastern Atlantic that later go away.
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Re: Signs of change from models

#24 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 19, 2007 6:12 pm

18z GFS Loop

:uarrow: :uarrow:

The 18z GFS shows a series of weak lows in the Atlantic and guess what,it shows a low going up the east coast aka CMC. :)
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Re: Signs of change from models

#25 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 20, 2007 6:13 am

00z NOGAPS

:uarrow: :uarrow:


NOGAPS shows two things in this 00z run.One is a weak low going up the east coast and second,at the end of the run a hint of something SSW of the Cape Verde islands.

6z GFS Loop

:uarrow: :uarrow:

Nothing of special interest in this 6z run of GFS except for some lows that appear in the eastern atlantic that later vanish.
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Re: Signs of change from models

#26 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 21, 2007 6:51 am

6z GFS

:uarrow: :uarrow:


A bit more interesting.Take a look.
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#27 Postby punkyg » Sat Jul 21, 2007 7:00 am

Did you see the nam model today?
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Re:

#28 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 21, 2007 7:04 am

punkyg wrote:Did you see the nam model today?


I never haved seen that model as it's not good. :)
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Re: Signs of change from models

#29 Postby ronjon » Sat Jul 21, 2007 7:07 am

Yeah Luis, the long range GFS has been pretty consistently showing weak lows developing out of the African waves - since these models aren't real good at cyclogenesis, we will have to watch the Atlantic more closely toward the end of July.

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Re: Signs of change from models

#30 Postby flwxwatcher » Sat Jul 21, 2007 8:08 am

cycloneye wrote:6z GFS

:uarrow: :uarrow:


A bit more interesting.Take a look.

The GFS sends you a visitor Luis:):)... It does look like things are falling into place as August approaches for the 2007 season to get going..
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Re: Signs of change from models

#31 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 21, 2007 5:55 pm

18z GFS

:uarrow: :uarrow:

Two things to note from this run.First the weak lows that appear in the Eastern Atlantic are from the wave that just came out of Africa or the next wave that will emerge.Second,the high pressure of Azores which is strong (Around 1033 mbs) in the first part of the run goes down to around 1024 mbs-1027mbs and joins with the Bermuda High in the second part of this 18z run.
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Re: Signs of change from models

#32 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:39 pm

18z GFS

:uarrow: :uarrow:

It has been a few days that I haven't post a run,as I was waiting for something interesting and here is something that the members may want to look at.I want more models latching on this before trusting this scenario.
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#33 Postby jaxfladude » Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:42 pm

Nothing to note of as of this post's time or anything in the next few weeks to late Aug......
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Re:

#34 Postby caneman » Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:52 pm

jaxfladude wrote:Nothing to note of as of this post's time or anything in the next few weeks to late Aug......



Do you have any back up data/hypothesis to support this. Otherwise, it's just discounted.
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Re:

#35 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:55 pm

jaxfladude wrote:Nothing to note of as of this post's time or anything in the next few weeks to late Aug......



Jaxfldude ive been seeing alot of trolly posts lately..
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Re:

#36 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 23, 2007 7:14 pm

jaxfladude wrote:Nothing to note of as of this post's time or anything in the next few weeks to late Aug......


You haved been posting false statements about different themes in the past few days.Please,even if you are being sarcastic,stop doing that because we have many new members that dont know a lot about the different things that makes tropical weather and may see those one liners as true things.
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Re: Signs of change from models

#37 Postby flwxwatcher » Mon Jul 23, 2007 7:18 pm

cycloneye wrote:18z GFS

:uarrow: :uarrow:

It has been a few days that I haven't post a run,as I was waiting for something interesting and here is something that the members may want to look at.I want more models latching on this before trusting this scenario.


The UKMET has been hinting at this as well.
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Re: Signs of change from models

#38 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 23, 2007 7:28 pm

12z CMC

:uarrow:

Oh,the famous CMC also hints. :)
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#39 Postby Cyclone1 » Mon Jul 23, 2007 7:31 pm

Ok, so that's what I call model agreement. I officially buy into this scenario.
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Re: Signs of change from models

#40 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Jul 23, 2007 7:39 pm

cycloneye wrote:12z CMC

:uarrow:

Oh,the famous CMC also hints. :)



Also shows one of the meanest july troughs in history for the E Coast..LOL
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