Trough hanging in the gulf( low forming noth central gulf)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Trough hanging in the gulf( low forming noth central gulf)

#1 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 21, 2007 9:02 am

Any thoughts on what might happen with the trough that will hanging in the gulf for the next couple of days..

the nogaps develops a low ..

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ngptc2.c ... =Animation
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Meso
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1609
Age: 38
Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: South Africa
Contact:
Contact Meso

Re: Trough hanging in the gulf

#2 Postby Meso » Sat Jul 21, 2007 9:04 am

I also saw that earlier.. There was another model I saw that also develops a low with it,not very deep and right before it reaches land though
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15455
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#3 Postby NDG » Sat Jul 21, 2007 9:25 am

I just think UL conditions will not be right for tropical development in the gulf.
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

#4 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 21, 2007 9:26 am

probably..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#5 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sat Jul 21, 2007 7:56 pm

Tropical or not this system unloaded on FL today...
0 likes   
Top
Cyclone1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2739
Age: 33
Joined: Tue Jun 12, 2007 12:03 pm
Location: Florida

Re:

#6 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Jul 21, 2007 7:59 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Tropical or not this system unloaded on FL today...

Seriously! I'm pretty sure I caught at least two funnel clouds on film, maybe three. Crazy lightning, too.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6110
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Re:

#7 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jul 21, 2007 8:10 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Tropical or not this system unloaded on FL today...

Seriously! I'm pretty sure I caught at least two funnel clouds on film, maybe three. Crazy lightning, too.


Can you post the footage?
0 likes   
Top
Cyclone1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2739
Age: 33
Joined: Tue Jun 12, 2007 12:03 pm
Location: Florida

Re: Re:

#8 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Jul 21, 2007 8:55 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
Cyclone1 wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Tropical or not this system unloaded on FL today...

Seriously! I'm pretty sure I caught at least two funnel clouds on film, maybe three. Crazy lightning, too.


Can you post the footage?

Man, I wish I could, but I don't have a firewire to capture the footage with me. Sorry. And both funnel clouds (if they were actually funnel clouds) were pretty small. Someday, I'll open another youtube account focusing on weather and I'll upload all my good footage to that channel.
0 likes   
Top
Cyclone1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2739
Age: 33
Joined: Tue Jun 12, 2007 12:03 pm
Location: Florida

#9 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Jul 21, 2007 9:22 pm

Upon further examination, both vorticies I filmed were funnel clouds. That's awesome! That makes 5 I've seen, 3 I've filmed, 2 of them today! Sorry, I love weather a little too much....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ftolmsteen
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 122
Joined: Mon Jun 25, 2007 6:34 am
Location: Port Richey, FL

Re:

#10 Postby ftolmsteen » Sat Jul 21, 2007 9:35 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Tropical or not this system unloaded on FL today...


Yeah... everywhere except my house. I live on the west coast in Pasco County and I watched all the rain either go around me or dissapate as it approached land. Hernando County just north of me gets sopped. Pinellas, Hillsborough & Polk... all rain. I swear, I think some genius lives by me that invented a weather shield that prevents any rain to come within West Pasco territory. :cheesy:
0 likes   
Top
JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:
Contact JonathanBelles

Re: Re:

#11 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Jul 21, 2007 9:59 pm

ftolmsteen wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Tropical or not this system unloaded on FL today...


Yeah... everywhere except my house. I live on the west coast in Pasco County and I watched all the rain either go around me or dissapate as it approached land. Hernando County just north of me gets sopped. Pinellas, Hillsborough & Polk... all rain. I swear, I think some genius lives by me that invented a weather shield that prevents any rain to come within West Pasco territory. :cheesy:


I could say that too in most cases, but today I got .39".
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
A1A
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 156
Joined: Mon Oct 17, 2005 1:03 pm
Location: Central Texas

Re: Trough hanging in the gulf

#12 Postby A1A » Sun Jul 22, 2007 8:22 am

What weather feature is now clearing out the clouds in the GOM? It looks like a front is dropping down.
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: Trough hanging in the gulf

#13 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 22, 2007 11:57 am

A1A wrote:What weather feature is now clearing out the clouds in the GOM? It looks like a front is dropping down.

thats what it is.. a late season front.. thats why i said we may need to watch it of it hangs around long enough..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9623
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Not a state-caster

Re: Trough hanging in the gulf

#14 Postby Steve » Sun Jul 22, 2007 12:25 pm

>>What weather feature is now clearing out the clouds in the GOM? It looks like a front is dropping down.

Might be the front that ushers in summer to South Louisiana and the spark for reinforcing the Bermuda high. I think we may get one more front (or the southeast will) that should set up for a return of deep easterlies in conjunction with Atlantic Ridging building in from the east.

Steve
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
A1A
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 156
Joined: Mon Oct 17, 2005 1:03 pm
Location: Central Texas

Re: Trough hanging in the gulf

#15 Postby A1A » Sun Jul 22, 2007 11:04 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
A1A wrote:What weather feature is now clearing out the clouds in the GOM? It looks like a front is dropping down.

thats what it is.. a late season front.. thats why i said we may need to watch it of it hangs around long enough..


Thanks - that's what it looks like - just when I checked NWS Fronts on the Gulf of Mexico - Water Vapor Loop, it did not show up as a front. Now, I see they do have some front lines in the GOM.
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

#16 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:08 am

Ok people we have two areas of of low pressure forming in the gulf.. one just off the west of of florida near tampa ..

and the other south of LA... both need to be watch very closely..

shear may begin to lighten up some more.. but already marginal..

the north gulf coast low looks as though it would have a better shot..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#17 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:32 am

Same situation as Bertha and Cristóbal in 2002.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
A1A
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 156
Joined: Mon Oct 17, 2005 1:03 pm
Location: Central Texas

Re:

#18 Postby A1A » Mon Jul 23, 2007 6:55 am

HURAKAN wrote:Same situation as Bertha and Cristóbal in 2002.

Image

Image
0 likes   
Top
Berwick Bay

Re: Trough hanging in the gulf( low forming noth central gulf)

#19 Postby Berwick Bay » Mon Jul 23, 2007 7:20 am

A1A, you have a good memory reflecting back to '02 for Bertha and Cristobal. But now that you mention it, I remember them too. I thought of them as twins, because they were born from the same front coming off the continent. Bertha had her beginnings in the Gulf, and then shortly thereafter Cristobal formed from the trough which had come off the Atlantic Coast. But they existed together for awhile, sort of like twins born from the same system.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15455
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#20 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 23, 2007 7:30 am

I still think shear will keep anything from developing much on the northern gulf through the week, cut off trough retrograding a bit west will keep strong SW winds aloft, 30-40 knots, ouch!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bobbyh83, Jonny, kenayers, Kludge, riapal and 42 guests