Area's of interest in Western Atlantic

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NDG
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Re: Western Atlantic near Bermuda

#181 Postby NDG » Sun Jul 22, 2007 1:16 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
NDG wrote:
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN JUL 22 2007

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A BROAD BAND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDS
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB SFC LOW
CENTERED IN THE WEST ATLC NEAR 34N73W. FURTHER EAST...AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 34N65W IS GENERATING A LINE OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS FROM 32N61W SW
TO 24N71W. TWO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS EXIST BELOW THIS
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM...THE FIRST IS JUST EAST OF BERMUDA...AND THE
SECOND IS AT THE FAR SOUTH END NEAR 25N70W. A LARGE CLUSTER OF
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION BETWEEN 24N-27N AND 67W-71W
APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN CIRCULATION CENTER.
THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLANTIC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG
1034 MB SFC HIGH ANCHORED NEAR 39N42W. ONLY PATCHES OF LOW/MID
CLOUDS ARE SEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS SYSTEM. PRES
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING A AREA OF 20 TO 25
KT NELY WINDS FROM 20N TO 30N EAST OF 45W.



see told you.. lol ..


Aric, they most think that we just started watching the tropics yesterday, LOL.
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Re: Western Atlantic near Bermuda

#182 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 22, 2007 1:19 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
NDG wrote:
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN JUL 22 2007

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A BROAD BAND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDS
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB SFC LOW
CENTERED IN THE WEST ATLC NEAR 34N73W. FURTHER EAST...AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 34N65W IS GENERATING A LINE OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS FROM 32N61W SW
TO 24N71W. TWO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS EXIST BELOW THIS
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM...THE FIRST IS JUST EAST OF BERMUDA...AND THE
SECOND IS AT THE FAR SOUTH END NEAR 25N70W. A LARGE CLUSTER OF

MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION BETWEEN 24N-27N AND 67W-71W
APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN CIRCULATION CENTER.
THE
REMAINDER OF THE ATLANTIC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG
1034 MB SFC HIGH ANCHORED NEAR 39N42W. ONLY PATCHES OF LOW/MID
CLOUDS ARE SEEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS SYSTEM. PRES
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING A AREA OF 20 TO 25
KT NELY WINDS FROM 20N TO 30N EAST OF 45W.



see told you.. lol ..[/quote]

[/quote]Aric, they most think that we just started watching the tropics yesterday, LOL.[/quote]

right tell me about... maybe its a "im a pro met complex im always right" ... :) j/k
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Re: Area of interest in Western Atlantic

#183 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 22, 2007 1:25 pm

I lost count of the times I haved edited the title. :) Well I did it again,but this time Iit covers all the bases. :)
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Re: Area of interest in Western Atlantic

#184 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 22, 2007 1:27 pm

cycloneye wrote:I lost count of the times I haved edited the title. :) Well I did it again,but this time Iit covers all the bases. :)



lol.. maybe you should listen to me... :) :) ... lol :double: :double:


maybe it should AREA's of interest..
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#185 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 22, 2007 1:28 pm

i did it for you... :)
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Re: Area's of interest in Western Atlantic

#186 Postby Recurve » Sun Jul 22, 2007 3:01 pm

What's it possessive of?
Two LLCs, two "areas" of interest, not one "area's" interest.

Sorry, professional copy editor.
Don't worry about editing the title again Cycloneye. This/These is/are not going to be anything, IMHO.
:lol:
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Re: Western Atlantic southeast of Bermuda

#187 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jul 22, 2007 3:08 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:Is recon still planning on going into this thing?


NOUS42 KNHC 221400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT SUN 22 JULY 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z JULY 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-060

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NEGATIVE.
3. THE INVEST SCHEDULED FOR 22/1800Z WAS CANX BY NHC AT 22/0100Z.
THE FIX MISSION SCHEDULED FOR 23/0600Z WAS CANX BY NHC AT
22/1400Z.

Nada.


Didn't think they would. It is still a long way away from developing...
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Re: Area's of interest in Western Atlantic

#188 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 22, 2007 3:16 pm

Recurve wrote:What's it possessive of?
Two LLCs, two "areas" of interest, not one "area's" interest.

Sorry, professional copy editor.
Don't worry about editing the title again Cycloneye. This/These is/are not going to be anything, IMHO.
:lol:

i quit caring about .. grammer a long time ago..
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#189 Postby pojo » Sun Jul 22, 2007 3:27 pm

There were crews ready to fly.... NHC CNX early enough to call the crews.
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#190 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 22, 2007 4:06 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN JUL 22 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM JUST NORTHEAST
OF BERMUDA SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES...WITH A
WELL-DEFINED SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY PASSING JUST
TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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Re: Area's of interest in Western Atlantic

#191 Postby NDG » Sun Jul 22, 2007 4:22 pm

The area near 25N/70W which earlier indicated a surface low circulation, has opened up this afternoon, seems to be just an open trough now, somewhat attached to the system near Bermuda.
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Re: Area's of interest in Western Atlantic

#192 Postby MGC » Sun Jul 22, 2007 4:34 pm

The NHC has been saying that "some slow development is possible over the next day or so" for several days. I've been looking at the satellite loops this afternoon and I don't see what the NHC is seeing. The shear is still pretty high. Upper level conditions over the Western Atlantic are just too hostile at this time......MGC
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Re: Area's of interest in Western Atlantic

#193 Postby cpdaman » Sun Jul 22, 2007 4:37 pm

ARIc it could be time for the eulogy of the little dominican born low

or do you think the upper levels will be more favorable tommorrow
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Re: Area's of interest in Western Atlantic

#194 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 22, 2007 4:52 pm

cpdaman wrote:ARIc it could be time for the eulogy of the little dominican born low

or do you think the upper levels will be more favorable tommorrow


I think the whole thing .. all of it is done for.. unless something changes here soon..

i do see what the NHC sees near brumuda.. but its quickly moving over sub 26 degree water..

i doubt anything will happen.. but its still possible i guess.
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Re: Area's of interest in Western Atlantic

#195 Postby Berwick Bay » Sun Jul 22, 2007 4:55 pm

Eulogy?? "We are gathered here today..."
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#196 Postby Cyclone1 » Sun Jul 22, 2007 5:00 pm

Your know your a hurricane nut when you hold eulogies for tropical waves that didn't make it.
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Re: Area's of interest in Western Atlantic

#197 Postby NDG » Sun Jul 22, 2007 5:04 pm

MGC wrote:The NHC has been saying that "some slow development is possible over the next day or so" for several days. I've been looking at the satellite loops this afternoon and I don't see what the NHC is seeing. The shear is still pretty high. Upper level conditions over the Western Atlantic are just too hostile at this time......MGC


Actually, the area near 25N/70W has had a break in the windshear of about 10-15 knot shear, not that bad, could be worst.
Image
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#198 Postby storms in NC » Sun Jul 22, 2007 5:39 pm

I just don't see any thing at all that is going to happen any time soon.JMO

Deb
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