Invest 97L dead.??. LOL ..take a look..seriously

[Aric Dunn]

there is a new burst of convection .. firing..




http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

[Aric Dunn]

very close to a depression.. if the convection.. can stay around for another 6 hours or so.. it will be one..

[flwxwatcher]

very close to a depression.. if the convection.. can stay around for another 6 hours or so.. it will be one..

000
ABNT20 KNHC 240156
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Aric Dunn]

very close to a depression.. if the convection.. can stay around for another 6 hours or so.. it will be one..

000
ABNT20 KNHC 240156
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

...

already .. read that.. it will be a post analysis..

[Weatherfreak000]

It's 1019 Millibar Low Aric...just...throwing that out there for you.

[WindRunner]

very close to a depression.. if the convection.. can stay around for another 6 hours or so.. it will be one..

000
ABNT20 KNHC 240156
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

...

already .. read that.. it will be a post analysis..

Post-season analysis? No. Re-analysis in something like five years? Possibly, depending on how it does tonight and how badly calibrated the nearby ship anenometers are . . .

[cheezyWXguy]

NHC has it at 1019mb..... lol i guess thats low. lol ... well

It is low compared to the massive 1030mb high to its east. And if you look at one of the SSD loops posted above and check off NCEP fronts, you'll notice that there is a stalled front to its north..if that front has the same effect that the big east coast trof had on it, its journey north may have slowed, and it looks like it has, at least to some extent, so there maybe a very slim chance it gets its act together just before moving away from that warm pocket

[cheezyWXguy]

It's 1019 Millibar Low Aric...just...throwing that out there for you.

In 2003 Hurricane Danny formed near the Bermuda High and was initialized with I believe...1018mb? I think its lowest pressure was 1008 or something...either way, its 11mb lower than the high to its east

[Bane]

sorry, there is nothing there. the storms look like they're being blown towards the east as well.

[Ptarmigan]

It's dead.

[Aric Dunn]

nah..
alive and well ..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-avn.html

[Weatherfreak000]

I'm not one to say this, because I think the term is rather immature..but..."Lol".

This area isn't going to become a TS, I agree it is definitely deepening and gaining some impressive convection, however it's moving to high latitudes quickly, it's soon to move into even colder waters.

How are they going to classify a system that could only reach TS Status for a few hours, probably not even a whole Advisory period?

[Aric Dunn]

I'm not one to say this, because I think the term is rather immature..but..."Lol".

This area isn't going to become a TS, I agree it is definitely deepening and gaining some impressive convection, however it's moving to high latitudes quickly, it's soon to move into even colder waters.

How are they going to classify a system that could only reach TS Status for a few hours, probably not even a whole Advisory period?

done it before..

never said TS either..

[cpdaman]

this blow up has "later named" in post season summary written on it, probably as a depression

[Chris_in_Tampa]

use this link http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html .. and near the bottom where it says " Enter X location (0-531):[482] Enter Y location (0-442):[151]... put the numbers "482" for X and "151" for Y..

and make sure you set it to animate.. and do 30 images... and 100% quality if you like.. then click the "extrack sub image button

My site has an easier method to select what area you want to view if you know the coordinates:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/satellite/custom/

[philnyc]

Here Aric,
Try this one too (limited shelf life):
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/rtwx/ewall/SAT_ATL/anim16vis.html

There's something going on out there, but really hard to discern.

[curtadams]

I'm not seeing any low-level counterclockwise rotation. There's a clockwise upper spin, but that doesn't mean anything.

[wxman57]

Aric is pulling your legs, guys. There is no low associated with that small area of convection. The convection he's pointing to is east of 65W where pressures are 1025-1030mb, not along the frontal boundary to the west where that 1019mb low was analyzed. It's just remnants of the upper low. There is anticyclonic turning on the surface analysis. Aric knows there's nothing of significance in the area, at least I hope so!

Gotta catch a plane to New Orleans for a hurricane talk.

[Aric Dunn]

Aric is pulling your legs, guys. There is no low associated with that small area of convection. The convection he's pointing to is east of 65W where pressures are 1025-1030mb, not along the frontal boundary to the west where that 1019mb low was analyzed. It's just remnants of the upper low. There is anticyclonic turning on the surface analysis. Aric knows there's nothing of significance in the area, at least I hope so!

Gotta catch a plane to New Orleans for a hurricane talk.

Actually there was a LOw there yeserday.. it is now heading over sub 24 degree water.. if you were one of the people that was able to see it before the nasa site went dark then you saw it.. but all the other post of satellite loops were not sufficient.. and you probably missed.. it..

but its over for sure now.. LLC is racing north.. leaving behind.. the convection.. its dead//

and it was analyzed... as being there.. by the nhc..

[wxman57]

Nope, that was a frontal low 300 miles west of the lat/lon you pointed to on the satellite which the NHC analyzed. Cut out the pranks, pls.