Saharan dust and sst's

[robbielyn]

Seems that the saharan dust has kept the sunlight from warming up the atlantic meaning less fuel for these storms. so hopefully if we do get canes they won't be major ones. but cant count out the carribean can we?

[Dionne]

We've been keeping a watch on SAL. It seems like it kind of drops out of sight once it hits the windwards and leewards in the eastern Caribbean. The UV index out there has been unusually low some days, making us wonder about whether or not SAL is the cause.

I attempted to get some input on another thread and didn't get any response. ??????

[robbielyn]

I was also thinking since everything weather wise seems to be a whole month behind that maybe we will have more storms in october and our season could go into december possibly I don't know but our local weatherman said last week that our hot and humid rainy season was a month behind so maybe hurricane season is too.

[vacanechaser]

I was also thinking since everything weather wise seems to be a whole month behind that maybe we will have more storms in october and our season could go into december possibly I don't know but our local weatherman said last week that our hot and humid rainy season was a month behind so maybe hurricane season is too.

not sure i understand what you mean... a month behind???? not in the tropics... things are right were they should be this time of year... lets not forget that even as recent as 2004 we did not get our first storm until the end of july and the first of august.. alex.... everyone wants to say since we have not seen any action, that the season is slow, or dead.. not saying that you said that.. but it is typical of the atlantic basin to be quiet until august... 2005 was just a freak season...1999, bret did not develop until late august, around the 20th i think...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[jrod]

SAL was present in '05. I frequented this board then and we had many post saying the season is over from August till because of SAL. While we won't have another record season this year, prime time hasn't even started and any speculation on this being a weak season is ignorant.

[benny]

SAL was present in '05. I frequented this board then and we had many post saying the season is over from August till because of SAL. While we won't have another record season this year, prime time hasn't even started and any speculation on this being a weak season is ignorant.

I'd say the SAL is weaker than average right now. Take a look at the moisture over the Atlantic.. it is rather plentiful:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... inTPW.html

[hurricanetrack]

Yes, the SAL seems to be letting up a bit. The GFS is seeing conditions getting better as more and more runs are showing tropical cyclone development. Things seem to be moving right along where they should be for an active season where we follow a typical ramp up of named storms and hurricanes. Of course, there is always that slight chance that we see a very slow year where nothing gets going. Odds are against that however so we must be ready for what ever comes our way. Remember too that we are talking about much more than just the U.S. coast here. Lots of islands scattered out there between Africa and Florida, Texas or the Carolinas....it's been some time since they have been battered; though Ivan was pretty bad in '04.

Hang on tight, it appears that most of August and September will be quite busy for us once again.

[Weatherfreak14]

The waves that are out off the coast of afrcia seems to have the chance and even more waves to come after these, i just have a feeling with all the moisture in that area these wave are going to take off in the next 48-72 hrs.