Tropical Wave in Western GOM

[Sanibel]

False satellite illusion of spin. All shear induced convection. Never was anything there but rain.

[Steve]

>>False satellite illusion of spin. All shear induced convection. Never was anything there but rain.

Lots of rain in some places. If the disorganized area of weather follows its trends, it should be exploding during the morning and into the early afternoon tomorrow before fizzling out again. That probably spells trouble for some people. As you will note from the following NWS Field Offices:

Lake Charles Office:
http://www.srh.weather.gov/lch/

Hazardous Weather Outlooks, Flash Flood Warnings, Small Craft Advisories

Houston:
http://www.srh.weather.gov/hgx/

Flash Flood Watches and Warnings, Small Craft Advisories

National Page (all advisories posted graphically):
http://www.weather.gov/view/nationalwarnings.php?map=on

There's a better one for national other than the one I put up, but I'm not sure where it's at as I don't have that link on this computer.

Should be an interesting Friday for somebody.

Steve

[Normandy]

Nothing tropical came out of this....that is the good news.

Now the bad news? Its 1:15 AM and a line of heavy rain is ALREADY developing and threatening to train right over metro Houston.....This could get nasty....Allison nasty perhaps. Good luck to all in SE Texas.

[tailgater]

Looking at this mornings WV loop. the entire western Atlantic should be threat free for the next 4or 5 days.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

[vaffie]

Pressures off the coast of SE Texas starting to drop rapidly however. Buoy 42019 with the lowest pressure and fastest dropping pressure in the Gulf at 1011.1 mb.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php? ... wdpr&uom=M

[Normandy]

There is a surface low just inland near Victoria, its shown on the NWS Fronts on the radar. It should further enhance showers in the short term for areas east of its location.

[NDG]

What's on radar one thing but by the surface reports I'll say that the low pressure center is along the coastal area appraoching Galveston Bay.

[TexWx]

NDG, I was noticing that earlier too.

[NDG]

I would say this our west wind at buoy 42019:

Wind Direction (WDIR): WSW ( 250 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 15.5 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 19.4 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 7.5 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 8 sec
Average Period (APD): 6.0 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWD): ESE ( 121 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.86 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.01 in ( Falling )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 82.0 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 82.6 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 75.6 °F
Heat Index (HEAT): 89.1 °F

[srainhoutx]

greatest flood threat will be from trough axis Eastward currently located from Brownsville to just SW of Houston. Storms and MLC should continue to fire as the morning continues...


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tropical/satpix ... v_loop.php

[HouTXmetro]

Looks Like the rain is on the East side of Houston.. We might be lucky if everything scoots off to the east. Can anyone explain? I thought the Greatest threast would be to out SW?

[srainhoutx]

Looks Like the rain is on the East side of Houston.. We might be lucky if everything scoots off to the east. Can anyone explain? I thought the Greatest threast would be to out SW?

continue to watch radar for refiring storms to the SW of Houston as day continues.

[Berwick Bay]

And the storms that are coming inland near Houston and eastward to the central La. coast have some semblance tropical squalls or lines producing that training effect that you often see with legit depressions and tropical storms. You know where the squall lines are well separated by gaps of 30-40 miles or so but then train over given areas with heavy rains. Some semblance of that with this weak tropical system. It really did "want" to organize, but it just didn't have the wherewithal to do it.

[NDG]

Looks Like the rain is on the East side of Houston.. We might be lucky if everything scoots off to the east. Can anyone explain? I thought the Greatest threast would be to out SW?

continue to watch radar for refiring storms to the SW of Houston as day continues.

The heaviest rains should be from the Houston area on east towards SW LA, as the surface trough has pushed east off the coast of the TX lower coasts.

Which by the way, I'm surprised they have not placed coastal SW LA into a tornado watch, because some of these cells moving onshore are indicating weak rotations.

[skysummit]

I'm getting concerned about a training affect here in southeast Louisiana. KLIX shows a long line of heavy showers and thunderstorms south of Terrebonne and Lafourche Parishes moving north. I'm surprised the entire Gulf Coast is not under a Flood Watch.

[srainhoutx]

becoming more concerned for SE TX/SW LA as day unfolds. Big build up of MLS and influence of ULL moving slowy NW near Abilene should draw moisture inland and move it NW...


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tropical/satpix ... v_loop.php

[srainhoutx]

becoming more concerned for SE TX/SW LA as day unfolds. Big build up of MLS and influence of ULL moving slowy NW near Abilene should draw moisture inland and move it NW. Remember this has been the pattern of this wave to build up during daytime hour to only die off during evening the last few day. Just an observation in my humble opinion...


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tropical/satpix ... v_loop.php

[tailgater]

Pressures off the coast of SE Texas starting to drop rapidly however. Buoy 42019 with the lowest pressure and fastest dropping pressure in the Gulf at 1011.1 mb.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php? ... wdpr&uom=M

I'm glad this thing has moved on shore, because it is probably is a little better organized today than before.

[Steve]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

Yep. Rain's a coming for my home turf in Lafourche Parish, but I'm downtown today. Looks like we may get a couple of inches here in downtown New Orleans.

TPS

[jasons2k]

Check out the surface wind directions in the stations surrounding Houston: