Signs of change from global models

[Meso]

A whole lil train of low pressures.Will edit this post as the new GFS is released

at 120 hours it's looking boring,nothing worth talking about..


my my johnny,whats that in the gulf ;p


240 hours


384 hours

[Extremeweatherguy]

A whole lil train of low pressures.Will edit this post as the new GFS is released

Looks like they would be headed for the Caribbean too. That is never a good thing! If something develops there, it really has no place to go but a landmass.

[cycloneye]

12z GFS at 120 hours.

[cycloneye]

12z GFS at 144 hours.Oh what is that in the Central Gulf?

[Aric Dunn]

GFS not doing anything out in the atlantic... anymore ..

[cheezyWXguy]

GFS not doing anything out in the atlantic... anymore ..

It still has the system out there, although it is much weaker...however, I would discount most of what happens after day 4 or 5 beacause of lack of reliability

[cycloneye]

12z CMC



The Canadian model is bullish with this.

12z GFS loop



This 12z GFS does not develop strong systems,however it has different low pressures in different areas.Take a look.

[Meso]

12z UKmet
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation

[Aric Dunn]

yeah the ukmet still trying to develop the Low near 45 west.

[Meso]

Aaaand the 12z Nogaps
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ngptc2.c ... =Animation

[Aric Dunn]

Aaaand the 12z Nogaps
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ngptc2.c ... =Animation

yeah the nogaps still hanging onto that low.. gfs has lost it

[DESTRUCTION5]

Aaaand the 12z Nogaps
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ngptc2.c ... =Animation

yeah the nogaps still hanging onto that low.. gfs has lost it

they don't call it the
Good
For
Sh**

for nothing....It will find them again tommorow

[Meso]

The Euro still showing something

[cycloneye]

Well,this 12z run from the global models are showing that all agree on something forming,some more stronger than others and with different scenarios.Now let's wait for the 00z run from them.

[KWT]

Yeah and from the looks of it the system would be fairly strong as well given global models rarely go as low as they end up going in reality. Also develops a couple of other interesting systems, a weak low enters the caribbean around 144-168hrs, a weak low forms to the east of the main one at 240hrs and also we have the Gulf system that the GFs develops.

[AnnularCane]

Yeah and from the looks of it the system would be fairly strong as well given global models rarely go as low as they end up going in reality. Also develops a couple of other interesting systems, a weak low enters the caribbean around 144-168hrs, a weak low forms to the east of the main one at 240hrs and also we have the Gulf system that the GFs develops.

I think my head is spinning!

[Meso]

The 18z at 36 hours develops a closed low

I'll post the pictures from 114 hours,204 hours and 384 hours (unless there is something significant between,as to not have a flood of images)



Nothing special at 204 hours,but the 300 hours out image shows a low out there,nothing worth posting though.. will check if it holds it up until 384 hours

here we go 384 hours

Looking very much like what the ECMWF shows

[Vortex]

This would be a potentially bad-setup for the SE/FL/Gulf Coast heading into August if it materialized as suggested by the GFS with ridging anchored across the south and western Atlantic.


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_300l.gif

[cycloneye]

18z GFS Loop

Here is the complete loop of the 18z run by GFS.

[cycloneye]

18z UKMET.Only shows a weak low.